If the next GOP nominee runs a populist, socially conservative, economically liberal platform, they won't "switch back". Why settle, when you can get exactly what you want?
Thus far Trump has been typical Socially Conservative / Economically Conservative with the exception of Trade. Trump was so vague on policy that everybody heard exactly what they wanted to hear during the GE. I'm not sure that will work again in a great enough capacity, especially given shifting demographics. So there is some hope.
The 2016 election was deceptively close.
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/19/polit...s-white-kaiser-family-foundation-infographic/
Lots of stuff in here and a lot of it is still in the "poltical theory" world. But a lot of the rural WWC voters in the midwest have some very uncomfortable positions on minority rights, and a good chunk of those voted for Bernie in the primary.
Trump running to the left of Hillary on trade and protectionism certainly helped move them over. But it's very possible they voted for Obama while opposing lots of his policies because of economic issues and fears of globalization they had with Republicans.
We don't really "know" anything right now, but there are real fears in the Democratic ranks that we were relying on voters who don't align with progressive ideals to win elections and there are most torubling, some Dems in high ranks of power who want to try and get them back even it if means ditching (or at least only whispering about) some of our progressive ideals.
There was a big difference in all the ads and tv spots that were on TVWhat?
The Deplorables speech was on 9/9/2016.There was a big difference in all the ads and tv spots that were on TV
Ok it wasn't "entirely". But Primary approach was different the general. And for the worse.
I get it. But we also have a broken 2 party system. Want more Trump, ladies?
Why? is there something he could have said that wouldn't seem disingenuous?
Meh. When you dislike someone everything they do seems disingenuous, no matter whether it is or not.
Yeah, but frankly the Demsocs are mostly going to fall in line or vote Green anyway, and generally live in areas where we don't really need votes.
Not to argue the merits of the policy or not, I feel like Bernie was going after one very particular sort of voter in the primary (DemSocs) and wound up unintentionally pointing out a very uncomfortable line that exists within the democratic voting bloc. Had we paid better attention to that in the primary we might not be where we are today, but I don't know an answer to how to win those voters back in a way that helps me sleep at night.
Hopefully Hillary Clinton being the very representation of women's mobility from the 90s made them extra apt to hate her, and Trump is a one-off and the Republicans will spurn economic populism with their next candidate.
But, I think we were winning elections with a lot of voters who simply vote Dem because of economics and have never been on board with the progressive planks of the party platform.
Black women been getting done dirty. That said my question is: Where would their vote go?
If this is purely a tactic of scaring the DNC into admitting the fragility of their most reliable voters, power to 'em. Shit isn't going to change without that kind of shakeup. But if they are in any way actually convinced they will be better served elsewhere, they would be kidding themselves.Better the devil you know, huh?
This isn't a lesson for black women to learn. This is for everyone else to get a grip on reality. Get right, or keep failing. It's that simple.
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.
Good. Parties shouldn't feel comfortable getting votes by default. They should feel the need to fight for those votes.
I get it. But we also have a broken 2 party system. Want more Trump, ladies?
NAFTA was an albatross for Clinton that I don't think anyone realized was as big an issue as it was until it was way too late.Clinton went at it at the wrong angle. Plainly, voters in the Midwest were not here for, "America already is great!"
Because what they hear is, "She doesn't want anything to change."
I don't see why you can't successfully incorporate both messages in a campaign.
I was gay and grew up in a state where it was still illegal to have sex until Kennedy swing-voted Lawrence v Texas, so I knew it was not as good as it looked, but yeah, it's so much worse than we thought.So we hope. I tend to agree with you when I'm in a better mood. But stuff like this makes me super sad. I'm that white guy that liked to think that we had a race problem in America, but that most of the country was trying to move past it.
These last 8 years have basically been one giant slap in the face to just how bad minorities in this country have it, how racist white people actually are and just how much privileged I've been displaying.
Kodos said it best. "Go ahead. Throw your vote away."
You're going from getting nothing to getting less than nothing.
Clinton went at it at the wrong angle. Plainly, voters in the Midwest were not here for, "America already is great!"
Because what they hear is, "She doesn't want anything to change."
I don't see why you can't successfully incorporate both messages in a campaign.
Black women been getting done dirty. That said my question is: Where would their vote go?
Why do well-off white people even vote for the Democratic party? Why don't they just vote in their own economic interests?
Odds are they just wont vote. So not quite as bad as if they flipped for Democrats, but still not good.
It doesn't help drive turnout/enthusiasm. Look at the survey results in the OP - only 5% were bringing it up as an issue, and it's explicitly meant to disenfranchise black people above all else.I don't know why dems haven't pushed for some sort of election or gerrymandering reform. I think it would play super well in this time and it could help them a lot.
This seems quite disingenuous to me.
It's Tom Perez. So yeah, I'm not surprisedWhy? is there something he could have said that wouldn't seem disingenuous?
They'd probably abstain. They're one of the most educated block of voters so if they chose not to vote Dem, I couldn't see them being suckered into voting for the next Gary Johnson/Jill Stein
I get it. But we also have a broken 2 party system. Want more Trump, ladies?
If this is purely a tactic of scaring the DNC into admitting the fragility of their most reliable voters, power to 'em. Shit isn't going to change without that kind of shakeup. But if they are in any way actually convinced they will be better served elsewhere, they would be kidding themselves.
And clearly no one is going to actually go to bat for them, otherwise this wouldn't be an issue.
The entire black population of America could sit out and you'd still have enough people left to vote sensibly
Clean your own houses first
Maybe but the country itself at it's core is very conservative. And will a party risk going too far to the left in hopes of getting young people and minorities out to vote in large enough and reliable enough numbers to move forward?Vote for us or else!
Seriously, you can't hold a gun to black women's head and say that if they don't vote for Democrats, they'll get Trump again. The party should be actively courting these votes, not the other way around.
Perhaps the Dems should align themselves more with their base. The party has been moving right for a long time. Shit, even Obama said that he would have been considered a moderate Republican in the 80s. It hasn't been a winning strategy.
Vote for us or else!
Seriously, you can't hold a gun to black women's head and say that if they don't vote for Democrats, they'll get Trump again. The party should be actively courting these votes, not the other way around.
Perhaps the Dems should align themselves more with their base. The party has been moving right for a long time. Shit, even Obama said that he would have been considered a moderate Republican in the 80s. It hasn't been a winning strategy.
Yeah, what he's actually doing to "earn back the trust of black women".
I am sure he got that letter back in June, he has had plenty of time to put a plan in place.
A tepid tweet doesn't mean shit..
Not gonna happen as long as fptp is still a thing.Time for a new party? Time for a new party.
Not gonna happen as long as fptp is still a thing.
Time for a new party? Time for a new party.
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.
Interestingly that's a Trump/Pence/Kobach/GOP goal. To deny African Americans the right to vote.
Maybe but the country itself at it's core is very conservative. And will a party risk going too far to the left in hopes of getting young people and minorities out to vote in large enough and reliable enough numbers to move forward?
I'm not sure.
Obama won twice. He would've won again. (not the other elections still wouldn't have been fucked)
You underestimate Fox news and the Hate Industry. They can make people believe anything.
Him not having a record beforehand is an advantage no longer has.You underestimate Fox news and the Hate Industry. They can make people believe anything.
Yes. The racism and white supremacy are directly tied to the conservatism. Where do your friends live?Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.
at least he doesnt play politics like a game. this only really makes me like him more tbh.
fuck this game.
Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.
Just the presidency, though. Meanwhile, the Democrats as a party has lost hundreds of seats in state and congressional legislatures since Obama was elected the first time.
They just trolling you, man.
Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.
Just the presidency, though. Meanwhile, the Democrats as a party has lost hundreds of seats in state and congressional legislatures since Obama was elected the first time.