• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Democrats are losing their most loyal voters: Black Women

kirblar

Member
If the next GOP nominee runs a populist, socially conservative, economically liberal platform, they won't "switch back". Why settle, when you can get exactly what you want?

Thus far Trump has been typical Socially Conservative / Economically Conservative with the exception of Trade. Trump was so vague on policy that everybody heard exactly what they wanted to hear during the GE. I'm not sure that will work again in a great enough capacity, especially given shifting demographics. So there is some hope.

The 2016 election was deceptively close.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/19/polit...s-white-kaiser-family-foundation-infographic/

Lots of stuff in here and a lot of it is still in the "poltical theory" world. But a lot of the rural WWC voters in the midwest have some very uncomfortable positions on minority rights, and a good chunk of those voted for Bernie in the primary.

Trump running to the left of Hillary on trade and protectionism certainly helped move them over. But it's very possible they voted for Obama while opposing lots of his policies because of economic issues and fears of globalization they had with Republicans.

We don't really "know" anything right now, but there are real fears in the Democratic ranks that we were relying on voters who don't align with progressive ideals to win elections and there are most torubling, some Dems in high ranks of power who want to try and get them back even it if means ditching (or at least only whispering about) some of our progressive ideals.
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.
 

Enzom21

Member
Why? is there something he could have said that wouldn't seem disingenuous?

Yeah, what he's actually doing to "earn back the trust of black women".
I am sure he got that letter back in June, he has had plenty of time to put a plan in place.
A tepid tweet doesn't mean shit.

Meh. When you dislike someone everything they do seems disingenuous, no matter whether it is or not.

Did I comment on whether or not I like Perez? It was a nothing response.
 

lenovox1

Member
Yeah, but frankly the Demsocs are mostly going to fall in line or vote Green anyway, and generally live in areas where we don't really need votes.

Not to argue the merits of the policy or not, I feel like Bernie was going after one very particular sort of voter in the primary (DemSocs) and wound up unintentionally pointing out a very uncomfortable line that exists within the democratic voting bloc. Had we paid better attention to that in the primary we might not be where we are today, but I don't know an answer to how to win those voters back in a way that helps me sleep at night.

Hopefully Hillary Clinton being the very representation of women's mobility from the 90s made them extra apt to hate her, and Trump is a one-off and the Republicans will spurn economic populism with their next candidate.

But, I think we were winning elections with a lot of voters who simply vote Dem because of economics and have never been on board with the progressive planks of the party platform.

Clinton went at it at the wrong angle. Plainly, voters in the Midwest were not here for, "America already is great!"

Because what they hear is, "She doesn't want anything to change."

I don't see why you can't successfully incorporate both messages in a campaign.
 
Black women been getting done dirty. That said my question is: Where would their vote go?

They'd probably abstain. They're one of the most educated block of voters so if they chose not to vote Dem, I couldn't see them being suckered into voting for the next Gary Johnson/Jill Stein
 

Shaanyboi

Banned
Better the devil you know, huh?

This isn't a lesson for black women to learn. This is for everyone else to get a grip on reality. Get right, or keep failing. It's that simple.
If this is purely a tactic of scaring the DNC into admitting the fragility of their most reliable voters, power to 'em. Shit isn't going to change without that kind of shakeup. But if they are in any way actually convinced they will be better served elsewhere, they would be kidding themselves.

And clearly no one is going to actually go to bat for them, otherwise this wouldn't be an issue.
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.

So we hope. I tend to agree with you when I'm in a better mood. But stuff like this makes me super sad. I'm that white guy that liked to think that we had a race problem in America, but that most of the country was trying to move past it.

These last 8 years have basically been one giant slap in the face to just how bad minorities in this country have it, how racist white people actually are and just how much privileged I've been displaying.
 
The problem with voting in such high numbers is you will be taken advantage of. The party can be both economically and socially left. Nothing in either cancels the other out. We just need them to push in all directions. The GOP have this way worse, so dems can do it (in terms of split factions).
 

royalan

Member
I get it. But we also have a broken 2 party system. Want more Trump, ladies?

To be frank, tell that to the WWC who couldn't be arsed to not vote for a damn-near Nazi who wants nothing more than to rob them blind.

Don't tell that to the voting block who consistently comes out rock fucking solid for Democrats. You give that block what the fuck they want, and plot a course from there.
 

kirblar

Member
Clinton went at it at the wrong angle. Plainly, voters in the Midwest were not here for, "America already is great!"

Because what they hear is, "She doesn't want anything to change."

I don't see why you can't successfully incorporate both messages in a campaign.
NAFTA was an albatross for Clinton that I don't think anyone realized was as big an issue as it was until it was way too late.

It's a reason Dems need to be going with younger, new-to-the-national-stage candidates. These trade deals are a net positive for the country. But in places like the Rust Belt where change is accelerated because of them, you don't want to be running with them on your record. (Obama leveraged it against her in the '08 primaries, along with him pandering to paternatlistic whites -they were the ones real unhappy with the Trayvon comments.)
So we hope. I tend to agree with you when I'm in a better mood. But stuff like this makes me super sad. I'm that white guy that liked to think that we had a race problem in America, but that most of the country was trying to move past it.

These last 8 years have basically been one giant slap in the face to just how bad minorities in this country have it, how racist white people actually are and just how much privileged I've been displaying.
I was gay and grew up in a state where it was still illegal to have sex until Kennedy swing-voted Lawrence v Texas, so I knew it was not as good as it looked, but yeah, it's so much worse than we thought.
 
Kodos said it best. "Go ahead. Throw your vote away."

You're going from getting nothing to getting less than nothing.

Centrism.biz

Bkack women don't owe the current shitshow of a dnc ANYTHING for being worthless beyond lip service every 4 years and not being the GOP.

You earn votes not deserve them by default.
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
Clinton went at it at the wrong angle. Plainly, voters in the Midwest were not here for, "America already is great!"

Because what they hear is, "She doesn't want anything to change."

I don't see why you can't successfully incorporate both messages in a campaign.

I mean, I think the problem is Clinton was brutally honest that Trump was race-baiting. She gave the basket of deplorable speech. She consistently called out his racism. She gave the alt-right speech. She routinely pushed back against racism coming out of the Trump camp... and she bet wrong on how many people were with him on the racist shit.
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
Why do well-off white people even vote for the Democratic party? Why don't they just vote in their own economic interests?

They don't all. But well-off white people tend to live in large cities that are ethnically diverse and wind up not hating the people who live around them. This is clearly not 100% true, but it's why urban white voters tend to vote better.
 
I don't know why dems haven't pushed for some sort of election or gerrymandering reform. I think it would play super well in this time and it could help them a lot.
 

kirblar

Member
I don't know why dems haven't pushed for some sort of election or gerrymandering reform. I think it would play super well in this time and it could help them a lot.
It doesn't help drive turnout/enthusiasm. Look at the survey results in the OP - only 5% were bringing it up as an issue, and it's explicitly meant to disenfranchise black people above all else.

edit: to be clear, the party is pushing for this, but the tradeoff in US politics is that when you have the Presidency, you lose everything else because the opponents are energized. So we're at the low-ebb power wise.
 

legacyzero

Banned
I would argue that many people felt he same way. There was a whole lot of "Fall in line!" Being tossed around. And I'm sorry, but Hillary did a horrible job of earning votes, especially from the Bernie base.

5RYCFOl.png

This seems quite disingenuous to me.

Why? is there something he could have said that wouldn't seem disingenuous?
It's Tom Perez. So yeah, I'm not surprised
 

Kelsdesu

Member
They'd probably abstain. They're one of the most educated block of voters so if they chose not to vote Dem, I couldn't see them being suckered into voting for the next Gary Johnson/Jill Stein

Abstaining? I don't think thats an option. Like you said they ARE one of the most educated block of voters.

That said they need to earn their vote.
 
I get it. But we also have a broken 2 party system. Want more Trump, ladies?

Vote for us or else!

Seriously, you can't hold a gun to black women's head and say that if they don't vote for Democrats, they'll get Trump again. The party should be actively courting these votes, not the other way around.

Perhaps the Dems should align themselves more with their base. The party has been moving right for a long time. Shit, even Obama said that he would have been considered a moderate Republican in the 80s. It hasn't been a winning strategy.
 

D i Z

Member
If this is purely a tactic of scaring the DNC into admitting the fragility of their most reliable voters, power to 'em. Shit isn't going to change without that kind of shakeup. But if they are in any way actually convinced they will be better served elsewhere, they would be kidding themselves.

And clearly no one is going to actually go to bat for them, otherwise this wouldn't be an issue.

Funny thing about that is if you ever go somewhere for service and are ignored, you leave. Go somewhere else. That's a social and economical fundamental truth we all observe.
No service is no service no matter where you are. Better to close ranks and create your own until there is something worth the time and effort to go out for. In the meantime, everyone else can get a good solid dose of this life, and figure their shit out. Really get pressed on what they really want.
 

Not

Banned
Yeah I had no idea Democrats were fucking up so bad solely courting white people in response to Trump. The First White President article by Ta-Nehisi Coates opened my eyes a bit.
 
Vote for us or else!

Seriously, you can't hold a gun to black women's head and say that if they don't vote for Democrats, they'll get Trump again. The party should be actively courting these votes, not the other way around.

Perhaps the Dems should align themselves more with their base. The party has been moving right for a long time. Shit, even Obama said that he would have been considered a moderate Republican in the 80s. It hasn't been a winning strategy.
Maybe but the country itself at it's core is very conservative. And will a party risk going too far to the left in hopes of getting young people and minorities out to vote in large enough and reliable enough numbers to move forward?

I'm not sure.
 
Vote for us or else!

Seriously, you can't hold a gun to black women's head and say that if they don't vote for Democrats, they'll get Trump again. The party should be actively courting these votes, not the other way around.

Perhaps the Dems should align themselves more with their base. The party has been moving right for a long time. Shit, even Obama said that he would have been considered a moderate Republican in the 80s. It hasn't been a winning strategy.

Obama won twice. He would've won again. (not that the other elections going on still wouldn't have been fucked then, now, and in the future)
 

sangreal

Member
Yeah, what he's actually doing to "earn back the trust of black women".
I am sure he got that letter back in June, he has had plenty of time to put a plan in place.
A tepid tweet doesn't mean shit..


Okay, sure, but he didn't. And this is just a tweet you are calling disingenuous so bringing up future actions or lack thereof is... disingenuous.. So given that he fucked up months ago or whatever, my question remains -- is there something he can say in a tweet today that you won't call disingenuous?
 

FStubbs

Member
Trump running as an EL/SC populist is really important here, because he has governed as a EC/SC. This is a problem for the GOP in 2020 because the same trick won't work twice there.

You underestimate Fox news and the Hate Industry. They can make people believe anything.
 
Maybe but the country itself at it's core is very conservative. And will a party risk going too far to the left in hopes of getting young people and minorities out to vote in large enough and reliable enough numbers to move forward?

I'm not sure.

Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.

Obama won twice. He would've won again. (not the other elections still wouldn't have been fucked)

Just the presidency, though. Meanwhile, the Democrats as a party has lost hundreds of seats in state and congressional legislatures since Obama was elected the first time.
 

kirblar

Member
You underestimate Fox news and the Hate Industry. They can make people believe anything.
Him not having a record beforehand is an advantage no longer has.

They're powerful, but they're not going to rescue him from the toilet.
Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.
Yes. The racism and white supremacy are directly tied to the conservatism. Where do your friends live?
 

sangreal

Member
at least he doesnt play politics like a game. this only really makes me like him more tbh.

fuck this game.

Bernie doesn't play politics like a game? Why exactly do you think he ran in 2016? Why does he vote against good bills (like funding the FDA) only when his vote doesn't matter?
 

Kelsdesu

Member
Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.



Just the presidency, though. Meanwhile, the Democrats as a party has lost hundreds of seats in state and congressional legislatures since Obama was elected the first time.


They just trolling you, man.
 
Is the country really that conservative? Right now, Bernie is the most popular active politician and he's constantly described as being socialist. I have diehard conservative friends who said that they would have voted for Bernie.



Just the presidency, though. Meanwhile, the Democrats as a party has lost hundreds of seats in state and congressional legislatures since Obama was elected the first time.

Yes, he passed significant health reform and immediately his party gets gobsmacked because of it, never recovering. I'm well aware.
 
Top Bottom