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[17 Seconds]

Say goodbye to Naples and Sanibel Island. They will never be the same again.

this isn't helpful

 

[fluffydelusions]

 

[geomon]

this isn't helpful

I just want people to get out of there.

 

[Dre3001]

Very much doubt it. For anyone who leaves, more will come.

In South Florida, anyone who wants to sell for cheap will have no problem finding buyers. I'd buy a place in Orlando if people got desperate.

Outside of hurricanes, South Florida will never have trouble attracting people to move there. Hell, I am in North Florida now, and have been looking at relocating to south florida for the last few months. This hurricane changes nothing.

 

[Lonestar]

https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/status/905994959182024704

Marshall Shepherd‏Verified account
@DrShepherd2013
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this image of SST temperature is one thing that really concerns me as #HurricaneIrma approaches Florida. It is warm and deep-warm

 

[Dark_3nergy]

Say goodbye to Naples and Sanibel Island. They will never be the same again.

I fear for Marco Island as well. A lot of places are gonna get flooded. Last time I seen it there, they still had a couple of 1 story houses that aren't up on 16 foot stilts.

I just want people to get out of there.

My folks are staying, and they pretty much live in a bunker. They aren't leaving.

 

[everyday math]

Lies. All week lies saying it was turning north. Fuck em I dont believe them now with their track of lies. This thing is going to circle the bottom of florida, ride along the coast, and come to port right through the bay of tampa.

It's called a prediction for a reason.

 

[Seiniyta]

Disneyland is in California, so sure.

I meant Disney World

 

[17 Seconds]

how likely are the current models to end up being accurate? i'm looking for a no-hype no-bs response here.

 

[Linkura]

I meant Disney World

I know, decided to do it anyway. And you're right, it's probably the safest place to be in the area.

 

[Vinsanity.]

how likely are the current models to end up being accurate? i'm looking for a no-hype no-bs response here.

I mean, nothing is 100%. It seems to keep drifting further west..

 

[cntr]

how likely are the current models to end up being accurate? i'm looking for a no-hype no-bs response here.

We can't be completely certain until it happens, but they've been very accurate. I wouldn't bet against them.

 

[neurosisxeno]

how likely are the current models to end up being accurate? i'm looking for a no-hype no-bs response here.

The hurricane should be within 25-50 miles of the current track--in terms of where it hits Florida at least.

 

[MartyStu]

Tally looking less and less safe

 

[Sephzilla]

oh wow lol the eye's going right into tampa now?
I was talking to my friend last night who was sitting in traffic on 75 driving from Boca to Tampa

this thing just keeps trending father and farther west though.
it could pull a Katrina

I'm just curious, is there any remote possibility this thing swings further west and goes into the gulf? cuz wouldn't getting into the gulf make this storm even worse?

 

[III-V]

Tampa FL has been within the cone of uncertainty since , I dunno, Wednesday? What has not been accurate? Thats the idea behind the cone, don't be surprised when it lands anywhere within it.

 

[Generate]

No way there isn't a New Orleans-style population drain after all this, but people aren't going to completely abandon the place. The people who stick behind will just keep on preparing for hurricanes.

New Orleans situation involved a lot of poverty and made some areas uninhabitable for years afterwards. Florida has a lot of money and will rebuild much of what is destroyed. Florida cities also arent fundamentally screwed by being below sea level. At least not yet.

 

[killertofu]

My parents live west of Gainesville in Levy County. Apparently there's also an evacuation warning there but they don't know where to go.

Maybe toward Nashville?

 

[xKilltheMx]

The most recent track looks like tally is getting fucked hard. I'm officially worried. I'm gonna start packing tonight to drive up to Alabama and gtfo.

 

[Kusagari]

The entire point of the cone was that anywhere in FL was basically in danger. Nobody should have taken a storm this mammoth for granted. All it was ever going to take was a couple wobbles west for Tampa to be in the crosshairs.

 

[SparkleMotion]

Is the size of this storm considered to be caused by climate change?

 

[Generate]

oh wow lol the eye's going right into tampa now?
I was talking to my friend last night who was sitting in traffic on 75 driving from Boca to Tampa

this thing just keeps trending father and farther west though.
it could pull a Katrina

It wont do that. There is a weakness in the ridge above it and its going to follow that. The storm wants to move poleward.

 

[Zackat]

Is the size of this storm considered to be caused by climate change?

It is a factor

 

[17 Seconds]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

 

[mattp]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

its the opposite of good

 

[JVIDICAN]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

Strongest winds are around the eye

 

[fluffydelusions]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

If you have a deathwish...

 

[StopMakingSense]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

No. Maybe a tiny less bad than being just to the right of it. But you get the full force of the eye wall

 

[Randolph Freelander]

its the opposite of good

For an hour or so, it's nice, though.

 

[GoldenEye 007]

For an hour or so, it's nice, though.

One of the most surreal things possible.

 

[Ferrio]

For an hour or so, it's nice, though.

Passing through the eye is a really odd feeling. Very eerie calmness.

 

[mckmas8808]

I'm just curious, is there any remote possibility this thing swings further west and goes into the gulf? cuz wouldn't getting into the gulf make this storm even worse?

Can someone answer Sephzilla's question? If it goes 40 miles more west than we think and it touches the Gulf....what happens?

 

[17 Seconds]

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

 

[offtopic]

Is the size of this storm considered to be caused by climate change?

Maybe. It is certainly stronger due to the warming of the oceans.

 

[Tyrant Rave]

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

Extremely likely. Wilma left many of us in Broward without power for at least two weeks. If you take damage beyond that too, it will be even longer.

 

[boredofcanada]

I just want people to get out of there.

That's not how you do it

 

[MartyStu]

Can someone answer Sephzilla's question? If it goes 40 miles more west than we think and it touches the Gulf....what happens?

Powers up and then proceeds to fuck up anyone in the direction it chooses.

It is perhaps the disaster scenario for people in the panhandle.

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

In 2004, I was without power for 3.5 weeks in West Palm.

 

[fluffydelusions]

Well damn
http://google.org/crisismap/2017-ir...252,30,1,31,32,5,49,15,11,20,12,layer9,layer8

 

[sflufan]

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

I'd say that is practically a certainty.

 

[Lonestar]

Powers up and then proceeds to fuck up anyone in the direction it chooses.

It is perhaps the disaster scenario for people in the panhandle.

Yeah, if it somehow just kept going west and then landed on the panhandle, I'd just about expect it to still be a hurricane up here in Birmingham.

 

[17 Seconds]

I'd say that is practically a certainty.

no power for weeks? a certainty?

 

[MiamiWesker]

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

My friend works for FPL, he says prep for a week without power minimum. There will be places with no power for much longer.

 

[chekhonte]

Is..errr...that bad?

I mean, detaining doesn't sound good, but if it saves their lives.

Police have a right to detain people who are placing their lives in jeopardy.

 

[Syder]

so being in the area that the eye passes directly over is "good"?

 

[Tahnit]

Man I hope it turns north soon. Really really don’t want it coming and hitting us full force at the panhandle.

 

[Suikoguy]

I'd say that is practically a certainty.

3 weeks without it after Charley.

 

[Piano]

Please please please don't swing west into the Gulf. I drove all day to get up to the Panhandle. I don't want to keep running.

 

[Sunster]

a couple of pages back I told a guy we'd be fine here in St. Pete. I take that back.

 

[Captainbojanglesiii]

a couple of pages back I told a guy we'd be fine here in St. Pete. I take that back.

I'm out of there, but like it's not looking good at all

 

[cntr]

Holy crap.