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[Lonestar]

Will it still be a category 4 when it hits Jupiter?

I'd say the storm would probably still be at that level. If the hurricane winds are at a 75 mile radius, that's a good width of the state down there. Obviously, the further west, the better for you at Jupiter. If it lands on the keys, it's bad, if it lands at like Naples or Ft. Myers, it might be "better."

Mostly, I'd just rather be inland away from any surge, and then its a solid concrete building to withstand the winds, and hopefully avoid flying trees and debris.

 

[Kino_]

For anyone in Kendall or SW Miami, how severe of a flood will we receive? I'm actually in Atlanta rn but my family's house is along 104th St. I can imagine the hysteria over there.

 

[Kusagari]

I don't know what to expect in North Lauderdale at this point.

 

[boredofcanada]

0 days without it in sarasota for charley or wilma

i'm not asking what some areas are likely to get, i'm asking how widespread it's going to be. everything i've been watching locally doesn't make it sound that serious, but people in this thread are acting like it's a guarantee that all of florida will be without power for several weeks

You are asking us to predict the future

 

[qcf x2]

^

Is this accurate? I don't think I've ever seen green lines in Miami.

ok, so fpl is preparing people for the possibility of being without power for weeks, but how likely is that? i'm in the sarasota/bradenton area.

Idk, I'd guess most will get power back within a couple days, they are a lot better at these things than they used to be. In the Caribbean I once went 3 months without power after a hurricane. Now that was tough (but it was pre internet so I just played outside).

 

[17 Seconds]

The middle ground is that going through a hurricane of this size at this strength is not fun, either during or after. Even if your safety is 100% guaranteed it's going to be a nightmare, and if I was in it's path I'd gtfo just so I could sleep soundly for the next few days before having to return to devastation.

"return to devastation" is that unnecessarily dramatic shit i was talking about. i know that i'm not going to get the positive responses that i seek, but i feel like this thread is full of people trying to scare other people.

 

[Snaku]

***THIS IS AS REAL AS IT GETS***

***NOWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SAFE***

***YOU STILL HAVE TIME TO EVACUATE***

Please RT. #Irma https://t.co/VWLMEDWoUs

https://twitter.com/NWSKeyWest/status/906266219304685568

My home will be unrecognizable after this.

 

[sflufan]

Is this accurate? I don't think I've ever seen green lines in Miami.

I'm willing to bet that you could cruise down the Palmetto Expressway right about now and not encounter a single other vehicle.

Everyone has either fled or has hunkered down.

 

[theBmZ]

I work at a hotel in Gainesville, if anybody happens to be looking for a room there while heading north, nobody has any rooms here as far as I'm aware.

 

[Ferrio]

"return to devastation" is that unnecessarily dramatic shit i was talking about. i know that i'm not going to get the positive responses that i seek, but i feel like this thread is full of people trying to scare other people.

It's a cat 4/5 hurricane, devastation is what it will do. Whether it affects your area that badly who knows, but it's going to tear shit up badly. The worst hurricane I was in was a Cat 3 (Alicia-Houston), and the amount of damage it did was unreal.

 

[sflufan]

"return to devastation" is that unnecessarily dramatic shit i was talking about. i know that i'm not going to get the positive responses that i seek, but i feel like this thread is full of people trying to scare other people.

You asked the question if being in the area that the eye passes over is a "good" thing. That demonstrates a terribly flawed understanding of the situation to begin with.

 

[17 Seconds]

It's a cat 4/5 hurricane, devastation is what it will do. Whether it affects your area that badly who knows, but it's going to tear shit up badly.

yeah, no shit

 

[Ponn]

I'm not real worried about myself here in JAX. It is looking more and more like a Matthew repeat for us but without the beaches area being in as much peril. Tornadoes and flooding is my main concern.

I'm scared to death for my sis and family in Bonita Springs though. They are in a flood area and their house is older. Could not convince them to leave because of her animals and birds. I'm dreading when power goes out down there and phones go down and wont be able to check on her for who knows when.

 

[boredofcanada]

I'm willing to bet that you could cruise down the Palmetto Expressway right about now and not encounter a single other vehicle.

Everyone has either fled or has hunkered down.

You will still see cars because people are doing things. Miami isn't completely shut down yet.

 

[17 Seconds]

You asked the question if being in the area that the eye passes over is a "good" thing. That demonstrates a somewhat flawed understanding of the situation to begin with.

because somebody literally said that in this thread. i think i should just stop reading this thread, because it's not doing me any good.

 

[teh_pwn]

will Miami burn?

Most large buildings are steel reinforced concrete.

 

[sflufan]

You will still see cars because people are doing things. Miami isn't completely shut down yet.

I was being a bit deliberately hyperbolic

 

[RoKKeR]

Just got a CNN notification that this is shifting further west and is going to become a Cat5 again? Holy hell, this storm is insane.

I hope nobody is playing games with this and gets the hell out of there. My aunt and cousin are in Tampa and just caught a flight out today. I hope everybody is able to get somewhere safe.

 

[Sunster]

Most large buildings are steel reinforced concrete.

They meant looting and general lawlessness like in New Orleans.

 

[Lonestar]

Is there any portion of South Florida that is over 20-30ft above sea level? Worrying about the surge being higher than that :/

 

[17 Seconds]

I was being a bit deliberately hyperbolic

which is just what we need in a time like this!

 

[boredofcanada]

Is there any portion of South Florida that is over 20-30ft above sea level? Worrying about the surge being higher than that :/

Nope

 

[eBay Huckster]

holy shit at that central pressure on sunday night

 

[sflufan]

which is just what we need in a time like this!

What the hell is it that you're looking for? Seriously - what do you want from it?

 

[teh_pwn]

^

For those of you heading north now it seems that Jacksonville is the safest bet

 

[Lonestar]

Nope

:O

Using an elevation map is depressing. Only thing in the keys visible might be billboards.

 

[Valkyr Junkie]

I'm not real worried about myself here in JAX. It is looking more and more like a Matthew repeat for us but without the beaches area being in as much peril. Tornadoes and flooding is my main concern.

I'm scared to death for my sis and family in Bonita Springs though. They are in a flood area and their house is older. Could not convince them to leave because of her animals and birds. I'm dreading when power goes out down there and phones go down and wont be able to check on her for who knows when.

Matthew was really nothing outside the beaches. I think this will be a good bit more of an event than Matthew.

 

[habithipster]

NHC: "It's not clear that it's a survivable situation for anybody that is still there in the Keys".

 

[sflufan]

NHC: "It's not clear that it's a survivable situation for anybody that is still there in the Keys".

I don't recall ever hearing that type of dire language before from the NHC.

 

[Snaku]

NHC: "It's not clear that it's a survivable situation for anybody that is still there in the Keys".

Doesn't matter how sturdy your home may be, the whole place is gonna be swallowed by the sea. It was always my greatest fear growing up there, and we dodged a bullet with Andrew. But this is gonna be the end of the Keys as they are. It'll be rebuilt I'm sure, but it won't be my home anymore.

 

[Master Yoshi]

I don't recall ever hearing that type of dire language before from the NHC.

Reminds me of that Shep Smith segment. "You will die. And your kids die too."

 

[NihonTiger90]

I don't recall ever hearing that type of dire language before from the NHC.

Yeah, only time I've heard that is from individual NWS offices (Slidell/New Orleans office during Katrina; and the Corpus Christi office during Harvey being two examples that come to mind).

 

[sflufan]

If political leaders had any sense, permanent residency would be prohibited in the Florida Keys.

 

[GoldenEye 007]

I don't recall ever hearing that type of dire language before from the NHC.

Katrina was pretty dire. Some of the harshest language used in such a context.

 

[III-V]

Doesn't matter how sturdy your home may be, the whole place is gonna be swallowed by the sea. It was always my greatest fear growing up there, and we dodged a bullet with Andrew. But this is gonna be the end of the Keys as they are. It'll be rebuilt I'm sure, but it won't be my home anymore.

I am holding out hope for you. How far inland did you go?

 

[Jag]

West Broward here. Got an invite for a free private plane ride out with my family and dog early this morning. Hard to say no to that, so threw a bunch of crap in a bag and left. Riding it out in Ohio. Stay safe FL GAF.

 

[teh_pwn]

NHC: "It's not clear that it's a survivable situation for anybody that is still there in the Keys".

Watch that guy livesteam again from there.

 

[ViciousDS]

Watch that guy livesteam again from there.

You talking that Emmy winning storm chaser? That dude is nuts


Jeff piotrowski, his studio just installed hurricane/storm shutters at the office to keep svcs going

 

[Jigorath]

Watch that guy livesteam again from there.

Hey, if he could cheat death once...

 

[dickroach]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b0SMAP4a-xE

 

[Syder]

NHC: "It's not clear that it's a survivable situation for anybody that is still there in the Keys".

Watch that guy livesteam again from there.

You talking that Emmy winning storm chaser? That dude is nuts


Jeff piotrowski his studio just installed storm shutters at the office to keep svcs going

Hey, if he could cheat death once...

https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski

 

[Z3M0G]

If political leaders had any sense, permanent residency would be prohibited in the Florida Keys.

Perhaps after this...

 

[Wag]

Is..errr...that bad?

I mean, detaining doesn't sound good, but if it saves their lives.

They're a danger to themselves by refusing shelter so it's fine.

 

[twinturbo2]

I'd say the storm would probably still be at that level. If the hurricane winds are at a 75 mile radius, that's a good width of the state down there. Obviously, the further west, the better for you at Jupiter. If it lands on the keys, it's bad, if it lands at like Naples or Ft. Myers, it might be "better."

Mostly, I'd just rather be inland away from any surge, and then its a solid concrete building to withstand the winds, and hopefully avoid flying trees and debris.

Sounds like it may be a category 1 where I am.

https://twitter.com/weatherprof/status/906281630255472641

 

[GoldenEye 007]

Saw a release from Delta on Facebook. Adding capacity to Florida to get people out. Even bringing in some wide body international 747 aircraft for domestic flights. 5,000 seats added so far.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

What is the effect for Orlando area? Got a cousin there.

 

[Link]

Doesn't matter how sturdy your home may be, the whole place is gonna be swallowed by the sea. It was always my greatest fear growing up there, and we dodged a bullet with Andrew. But this is gonna be the end of the Keys as they are. It'll be rebuilt I'm sure, but it won't be my home anymore.

Yeah, I'm afraid all of the history there is going to be wiped away.

 

[SoundofSilence]

Saw a release from Delta on Facebook. Adding capacity to Florida to get people out. Even bringing in some wide body international 747 aircraft for domestic flights. 5,000 seats added so far.

Yea, they were supposed to retire their entire fleet of 747s in a few months. It's great to see them being used in this circumstance. I love the 747.

 

[Amagon]

Saw a release from Delta on Facebook. Adding capacity to Florida to get people out. Even bringing in some wide body international 747 aircraft for domestic flights. 5,000 seats added so far.

Good stuff, hopefully others will follow suit.

 

[I H8 Memes]

holy shit at that central pressure on sunday night

891 before landfall? This cant be true.