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Next-Gen PS5 & XSX |OT| Console tEch threaD

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Fake

Member
Its just like saying that because the Navi GPU don't have RT means PS5 will not have RT as well.
C'mon guys...
 
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Gamernyc78

Banned
They'd tell you they're "socializing" ;)

When all they do is either post about themselves or find something to rage about, both revolve around attention seeking.


I don't know about your surroundings and culture, but believe me it's still looked at that way in many places. I still hide (cover) mine when guests come over. I don't want that stigma hovering over me. People love talking shit. It's not right, but I'd rather stay away from all that and keep it to myself than having to deal with shitty looks and backbiting.


Heh. Almost similar story re NES. I got my Famicom in '90, when SNES was released. Like, imagine buying a PS4 next year, right after the PS5 is released. And all I had to play with until '90 was my Atari 2600. Ugh.

I was lucky my friend had a SNES that I played a lot, which he also lent me a good number of times, which was very cool of him.

I'm in NYC and almost every home I go to has a console as it's Centerpiece media hub. My living room has literally a shrine to gaming, bought a projector just for my ps4 and when I throw parties my ps4 goes right on to YouTube and thts how I play music. The last time I think anybody viewed gaming as kiddy in my immediate circle was when I was 11, mind you I'm 40 now. I'm not saying around your circle is not viewed that way but definitely not around mine. Plus like I said adult sports stars, rappers, actors alike talk about gaming more often than I remember before.
 

SonGoku

Member
For you to have a 13TF console, you’d need roughly ANOTHER 50%+ improvement compared to the 225w Navi that was just announced.

Highly doubt it.
Im not saying 13TF will happen (currently siding towards 12TF) but you are being disingenuous with your comparison.
RX 5700 cards are 48CUs at most and pushing clocks well beyond diminishing returns (hence the increased power consumption). Just how Polaris had worse perf/watt than vega

RX5700 series are also first gen Navi on the new 7nm process so yields aren't the best and the possibility of it being hybrid gcn-rdna further skews comparisons
 

TLZ

Banned
I'm in NYC and almost every home I go to has a console as it's Centerpiece media hub. My living room has literally a shrine to gaming, bought a projector just for my ps4 and when I throw parties my ps4 goes right on to YouTube and thts how I play music. The last time I think anybody viewed gaming as kiddy in my immediate circle was when I was 11, mind you I'm 40 now. I'm not saying around your circle is not viewed that way but definitely not around mine. Plus like I said adult sports stars, rappers, actors alike talk about gaming more often than I remember before.
You're a lucky man. Wish I had that.
 

Night.Ninja

Banned
So where did your bullshit rumor of the PS5 being close to Lockhart come from 😂😂😂

Sony aint cutting you a cheque, you are getting to emotional

giphy.gif
 
Lockhart will be a $299, 1080p focused console (~5TF). PS5 targets 12-13TF and there's no way it's gonna cost less than $499.

Unless they're willing to do heavy subsidizing (don't expect more than $100)...
 

Night.Ninja

Banned
That is twice in as many posts you are pulling the fanboy card to a rather benign question.

If you are not here to discuss the reasons behind your speculations, and rather project with 'fanboy' responses when questioned, then don't post in here.

It’s fucking speculation like most majority of posts in here I didn’t claim to be a insider.

I’m just throwing out a thought and people are getting emotional
 

joe_zazen

Member
I'm in NYC and almost every home I go to has a console as it's Centerpiece media hub. My living room has literally a shrine to gaming, bought a projector just for my ps4 and when I throw parties my ps4 goes right on to YouTube and thts how I play music. The last time I think anybody viewed gaming as kiddy in my immediate circle was when I was 11, mind you I'm 40 now. I'm not saying around your circle is not viewed that way but definitely not around mine. Plus like I said adult sports stars, rappers, actors alike talk about gaming more often than I remember before.

Depends on how successful a person is on how the things they are interested in get judged. Have an apartment overlooking central park? stuff it full of anime figurines and gaming memorabilia, people wont say shit. Still live at home with parents in late 30s? Yeah people will judge your gaming habit, you bet.
 

CrustyBritches

Gold Member
Im not saying 13TF will happen (currently siding towards 12TF) but you are being disingenuous with your comparison.
RX 5700 cards are 48CUs at most and pushing clocks well beyond diminishing returns (hence the increased power consumption). Just how Polaris had worse perf/watt than vega
Polaris had better perf/watt than Vega when using valid RX 470 vs Vega 56 and RX 480 vs Vega 64.

The chip that came the following year, RX 580 had much worse perf/watt...

Firstly, that's why I say to compare X1X GPU to RX 480 power capped with 2050MHz memory oc rather than RX 580(same max mem clock), and take into consideration the additional cache. That way you don't expect 200W+ GPU power budget instead of ~150W.

Secondly, how does the RX 580 perf/watt on more mature process a year later correlate with your example of Navi 10(2019) and Navi 20(2020)? You say the clocks are pushed past the point of diminishing returns, but historically that's not what happened with RX 480/RX 470. They start sweet, then push past the following year. Do we even know the clocks for Navi 10 or Navi 20?
 
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SonGoku

Member
Polaris had better perf/watt than Vega when using valid RX 470 vs Vega 56 and RX 480 vs Vega 64.
Im just going off what adoredtv said when comparing the two, maybe he was referring to the 500 series.
The chip that came the following year, RX 580 had much worse perf/watt...
Because it was clocked much higher
Firstly, that's why I say to compare X1X GPU to RX 480 power capped with 2050MHz memory oc rather than RX 580(same max mem clock)
But the X GPU its a bigger chip and 6TF
You say the clocks are pushed past the point of diminishing returns, but historically that's not what happened with RX 480/RX 470. They start sweet, then push past the following year.
That's a good point, i was generalizing based on AMD cards since the 200 series.
The leaked TDP is what makes me assume its pushing diminishing returns on clocks. A small 40/48 CU chip on 7nm pushing upwards of 180W must be clocked very high. That's the only explanation for the power consumption. With a bigger chip you don't need to push as high clocks
Secondly, how does the RX 580 perf/watt on more mature process a year later correlate with your example of Navi 10(2019) and Navi 20(2020)?
Related to the 580, i said better yields allowed to clock higher
My point relating to Navi10 is that 7nm early yields mean that the cards require a higher voltage to clock high
Relating to Navi20 AMD is waiting for better yields to tape out bigger chips.

Note that i don't know how big the Navi20 chip will be, PS5 will use its own configuration. What im confident off is that it will be minimum 56CUs (enabled)
Im not even saying Navi20 will have better perf/watt considering AMD might clock those chips very high to compete with nvidia high end

This last bit its just theory based on rumor on my part: A pure RDNA chip being more efficient than the potato edition.
 
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Mattyp

Gold Member
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CrustyBritches

Gold Member
Im just going off what adoredtv said when comparing the two, maybe he was referring to the 500 series.

This last bit its just theory based on rumor on my part: A pure RDNA chip being more efficient than the potato edition.
RX 480 was listed as 150W TBP(Typical Board Power) on their product specification page and AMD pushed it hard as a 150W/single 6-pin pci-e power connector GPU. It pulled well over that in average gaming consumption and was over spec on draw from the PCI-e slot. Months later you could get the 8-pin AiB models.

I prefer Guru3d and Techpowerup for power consumption measurements. They explain on each site how they isolate the Card Only consumption.

Average Gaming Consumption(Card Only):
power_average.png


Peak Gaming Consumption(Card only):
power_peak.png


"Built on enhanced Polaris architecture", RX 580 listed as 185W TBP(Typical Board Power) on AMD product page.

RX 480 8GB Listed TBP = 150W
RX 480 8GB actual Average Gaming Consumption = 163W
RX 480 8GB Peak Gaming Consumption = 167W

RX 580 8GB Listed TBP = 185W
RX 580 8GB actual Average Gaming Consumption = 214W(Quiet)/234W(Boost)
RX 580 8GB Peak Gaming Consumption = 224W(Quiet)/240W(Boost)

Xbox One X Total System Peak Consumption = 175W
Digital Foundry: "We got the same results on a second Xbox One X we tested, and bearing in mind that we measured peak draw from the wall at 175W, the discreet nature of the console is exceptional."

Anandtech: "But, when gaming with an Xbox One X Enhanced title, such as Gears of War 4, the power draw jumps significantly to 172 W as the peak observed. This is quite a jump over the original console, and makes the cooling system, which is barely audible even under these loads, even more impressive. Compared to a high-end gaming PC though, the power draw is quite a bit less."
 

SonGoku

Member
Any reason why PS5 wont be produced on a 7 nm euv node? If volume production starts this summer, it seems very strange that a console launching in 18 months wont utilize this.(or second gen 7 nm) Would expect euv to be introduced on all of 7 nm as soon as possible for cost reasons (and performance)?

https://www.tomshardware.com/news/tsmc-7nm-euv-ryzen-3000,39434.html
Maybe but most dont expect it because new process yields are not good enough for the volumes a console requires. Though maybe since its an evolution of 7nm that won't be the case? Who knows, it might very well happen.

A theory i had is consoles might go with a big APU die on 7nm and shrink to 6nm (refined 7nm) as soon as is available.
N6 'leverages new capabilities in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUVL)' gained from N7+. N6 uses the same design rules as N7 and enables developers of chips to re-use the same design ecosystem (e.g., tools, etc.), which will enable them to lower development costs. Essentially, N6 allows to shrink die sizes of designs developed using N7 design rules by around 15% while using the familiar IP for additional cost savings.
Launch die size at 7nm"6nm" die size (15% reduction)
400 mm2​
340 mm2​
390 mm2​
331.5 mm2​
380 mm2​
323 mm2​
370 mm2​
314.5 mm2​
360 mm2​
306 mm2​
350 mm2​
297.5 mm2​
TSMC will start risk production of chips using its N6 fabrication technology in the first quarter of 2020. Keeping in mind that it usually takes companies about a year to start high-volume manufacturing (HVM) after the beginning of risk production, expect N6 to be used for mass products starting from 2021.
A quick way to bring console costs down with little investment.

Edit: From the article you linked
TSMC’s CEO said the company has started volume production of its 7N+ process technology, DigitTimes reported on Friday. It is the company’s first process node to use EUV on a few critical layers. The company says the yield is on par with 7nm.
:unsure: :unsure: :unsure:
Now im thinking is very likely. Any comments anyone?
 
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Ellery

Member
How many teraflops are we at today my fellow next gen skanks?

The same as I have been the last months. Somewhere around ~10TF for the PS5
If I only was allowed to "guess" one number then I'd say 9.5TFLOPs maybe.

Xbox much harder to guess. I would say 10.8 to 11 TFLOPs maybe for the more expensive SKU ?
But the good news we will get new Xbox information in like 8 days :pie_thinking:
 

SonGoku

Member
power_average.png


Peak Gaming Consumption(Card only):
power_peak.png


"Built on enhanced Polaris architecture", RX 580 listed as 185W TBP(Typical Board Power) on AMD product page.

Xbox One X Total System Peak Consumption = 175W
rely audible even under these loads, even more impressive. Compared to a high-end gaming PC though, the power draw is quite a bit less." [/SPOILER]
YIKES those 580s are OC RIGHT?
This is way im confident a bigger chip is the way to go.
 

Munki

Member
Only a concept, but this would be amazing if MS were to release this alongside the NextBox.

 

joe_zazen

Member
It was big forum news when they where producing these consoles back in the day, games being leaked online also before release. Video game forums felt a lot more like the wild west 10 years ago.

I actually found run down of the entirety of events, gave it a quick skim seems mostly correct from what I remember back then https://www.wired.com/story/xbox-underground-videogame-hackers/
Superdae was hilarious. He was posting on gaf from an apple store after he returned home only to to see cops taking away his computer gear. Lol
 

Racer!

Member
Maybe but most dont expect it because new process yields are not good enough for the volumes a console requires. Though maybe since its an evolution of 7nm that won't be the case? Who knows, it might very well happen.

A theory i had is consoles might go with a big APU die on 7nm and shrink to 6nm (refined 7nm) as soon as is available.

Launch die size at 7nm"6nm" die size (15% reduction)
400 mm2​
340 mm2​
390 mm2​
331.5 mm2​
380 mm2​
323 mm2​
370 mm2​
314.5 mm2​
360 mm2​
306 mm2​
350 mm2​
297.5 mm2​

A quick way to bring console costs down with little investment.

Edit: From the article you linked

:unsure: :unsure: :unsure:
Now im thinking is very likely. Any comments anyone?

20% increase in density and 10% higher clock/15% lower power may very well result in 14 RDNA TF. (7N+)

Also, it seems both 5/3 nm comes online soon after PS5 launch (assuming november 2020), which could result in Sony be willing to take a substantial hit for the first year or so while on 7/7+.

Comments from Sony execs indicate they are obsessed with getting a flying start.
 
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CrustyBritches

Gold Member
YIKES those 580s are OC RIGHT?
Relative to what? The RX 480...yes, but that's "Quiet Bios" setting compared to it's own listed TBP.

Like I said before, the honey is in the memory and cache config for Xbox One X. Using the jump from R9 390 to RX 480 my guesstimate was 167W for just under Vega 64 power. Navi 10 looks to be more power hungry than that, so we must wait to see if the Strange Brigade Vega 64 result is Navi 10 XT or Pro. Either way it's still over my projections. 28nm to 14nm seems to be a more significant jump in perf/watt than 14nm to 7nm. I'll have to go back and find old AMD slides to see if that lines up to AMD's own claims.
 
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SonGoku

Member
20% increase in density and 10% higher clock/15% lower power may very well result in 14 RDNA TF. (7N+)

Also, it seems both 5/3 nm comes online soon after PS5 launch (assuming november 2020), which could result in Sony be willing to take a substantial hit for the first year or so while on 7/7+.
Very interesting indeed, though i should note 7nm EUV will only be used for smartphones this year (smaller chip)
Fingers crossed its ready for consoles.
 

Racer!

Member
Very interesting indeed, though i should note 7nm EUV will only be used for smartphones this year (smaller chip)
Fingers crossed its ready for consoles.

Yes, thats almost always the case on a new node. The fact that EUV is coming along nicely is exciting.
 

SonGoku

Member
Relative to what? The RX 480...yes, but that's "Quiet Bios" setting compared to it's own listed TBD.
Is so impressive thinking the X GPU managed to keep most of the performance with only a slight decrease (6TP vs 6.175TP) while consuming much less (150W vs 215W). Though i suspect the hobbit method is skewings things and the X DF tested was one of the better chips.
28nm to 14nm
The X was 16nm and I think 7nm is the bigger jump though im too lazy to search tsmc process info.
Yes, thats almost always the case on a new node. The fact that EUV is coming along nicely is exciting.
Thats why im cautiously optimistic, wasnt 7nm on last year sparthphones? and the yields still have room for improvement. I hope 7nm EUV being an evolution of the same process makes the transition faster.
 
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CrustyBritches

Gold Member
Is so impressive thinking the X GPU managed to keep most of the performance with only a slight decrease (6TP vs 6.175TP) while consuming much less (150W vs 215W). Though i suspect the hobbit method is skewings things and the X DF tested was one of the better chips.

The X was 16nm and I think 7nm is the bigger jump though im too lazy to search tsmc process info.
I'm talking about the jump from R9 390(28nm) to RX 480(14nm) compared to the jump from Vega 64(14nm) to Navi 10(7nm).

I found some older slides for Polaris 10 14nm FinFET:
AMD-Polaris-10-and-Polaris-11-Radeon-RX-480-RX-470-RX-460-GPUs_3.jpeg

Roadmap2.jpg

COMPUTEX_KEYNOTE_DRAFT_FOR_PREBRIEF.26.05.19-page-011.jpg


I was getting Navi 10 ~167W(real world Card Only Average Gaming Consumption) for ~5% under Vega 64 perf based on the jump from 28nm R9 390 to 14nm RX 480. Looking at the Strange Brigade result and alleged TBP, the best case is Navi 10 Pro is the 180W TBP(~195W real world average gaming consumption) Vega 64 result, and worst-case is Navi 10 XT is the 220W TBP(230W+) Vega 64 result.

X1X has the advantage of higher mem bandwidth, altered memory pipeline, and twice the GPU cache as RX 480. It's evident from their actions that the honey was in the mem/cache config. Desktop Navi will have significant changes towards higher CU efficiency and improved multi-tiered cache. X1X's magic bullet doesn't exist this time, comparatively.
 

SonGoku

Member
I found some older slides for Polaris 10 14nm FinFET:
Wow impressive 2.8x. Navis 1.5x looks mediocre by comparison
Im beginning to think this GCN-RDNA hybrid is the one to blame

But i was thinking 14->7nm is a bigger jump than 28nm->14nm. Will search for tsmc specs.
X1X has the advantage of higher mem bandwidth, altered memory pipeline, and twice the GPU cache as RX 480. It's evident from their actions that the honey was in the mem/cache config. Desktop Navi will have significant changes towards higher CU efficiency and improved multi-tiered cache. X1X's magic bullet doesn't exist this time, comparatively.
But it was still 6TP! vs 6.175TP that's what i've been pointing out. They managed to keep most of the floating `point performance, that has nothing to do with cache or memory bandwith.
 

stetiger

Member
Wanted to post something I've calculated. With zen 2 clocked at 3.2Ghz, supporting AVX256, and 7 cores dedicated to games you still cant emulate ps3 games reliably. The cell was effectively an APU with SPUs doing floating point calculation like a gpu but at speeds far greater than the fastest GPU ever made. To emulate ps3 games you need a 3.2Ghz gpu or 8 cores dedicated to gaming. The cell was truly a beast in rendering considering that 15 years on (when the ps5 releases) we won't be able to reliably recreate its capabilities. That is bananas
 

LordOfChaos

Member
TSMC’s CEO said the company has started volume production of its 7N+ process technology, DigitTimes reported on Friday. It is the company’s first process node to use EUV on a few critical layers. The company says the yield is on par with 7nm

:unsure: :unsure: :unsure:
Now im thinking is very likely. Any comments anyone?


Fwiw

AMD’s CTO Mark Papermaster tells us to expect a 25 percent increase in performance from the new process, but he reiterated to EETimes that the move to the new process is challenging.Papermaster also said that the move to EUV (extreme ultraviolet) manufacturing, which will come with the 7nm+ node, will only provide “modest” device performance opportunities. We've also seen similar statements from AMD's Forrest Norrod, so it might be best to keep expectations for significantly higher clocks in check.


Since 7nm+ is only sprinkling in EUV on a few critical layers rather than whole cloth, it sounds like AMD is downplaying expectations for it. So for a price sensitive console, probably don't expect it. Even if yeilds are the same, it wouldn't make sense for TSMC to charge the same for two differently performing nodes.
 
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SonGoku

Member
Since 7nm+ is only sprinkling in EUV on a few critical layers rather than whole cloth, it sounds like AMD is downplaying expectations for it. So for a price sensitive console, probably don't expect it. Even if yeilds are the same, it wouldn't make sense for TSMC to charge the same for two differently performing nodes.
I don't get that, in a console every perf increase matters. All of it could be used towards increased density and reduced power consumption without increasing clocks or is 7nm+ much more expensive?
 
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