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NPD Sales Results for June 2014 [Up3: All Hardware (June/LTD), Top 10 Software SKUs]

Opiate

Member
wouldn't there be at least some upsell as well? I.e people getting into gaming via smartphones and tablets that wouldn't normally buy a console, and then buying a console because they want even more? So smartphones being an on-ramp for consoles.

Well, sure, just as there are likely some iOS gamers getting in to dedicated handhelds after starting off on iOS.
 
PS4 June 14 : 270k
360 June 07: 198k

360 June 06 : 277k (360 was the only next gen console at the time)
360 June 08 : 219k
360 June 09 : 240k
360 June 10 : 451k (Slim introduced)
360 June 11 : 507k

Even more impressive is that PS4 is keeping up with 360's pace despite the difference in LTD's:

360 : 2003k ( no PS3 or Wii, they launched in 07)
PS4 : 3573k

In addition 360 had a SKU at $299.99 while PS4 has only one at $399.99.

The Wii comparisons were never going to hold since the Wii had an explosive start and then an implosive collapse. Playstation consoles have always been about the long run and the PS4 was never going to attract the casual audience to achieve such explosive sales in the short term.

If PS4 keeps up with 360 through its life, a massive if, it would be a huge success. After all 360 will be the number 1 console last gen soon (iirc).

Its too early to call if PS4 will sell like the 360 or not but right now its evidently doing very well.

I did some thinking. What I really want is the January-June sales of the first full year they've been out.

Jan - June

360 2006 - 1396k
PS4 2014 - 1598k
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
If the PS4 does so well in a month like this I assume it's sales are going to explode in September with the Destiny bundle. The window of opportunity MS will have to sell more than the PS4 will be of about 2 months and they are unlikely to pull it off.

The way is paved for PS4 domination, 2015 is going to be huge for it with Bloodborne, The Order 1886, MGSV, FF XV, Uncharted 4 and more.

There is no doubt the PS4 will dominate this generation. This has been known for many months now. The question really is can the PS4 sell enough to carry console gaming on its own. The Wii:U and Xbone are going to be a very distant second and 3rd. I don't see both combined selling 60 million this generation. That leaves the PS4 needing to sell well over 120 million just to get back to the hardware sales of the PS2 generation.
 

Opiate

Member
That doesn't make any sense. Them being front loaded effects sales in the following months. You need launch in mind to understand how they are selling.

What if, after the first few months, the systems did not prove to be front loaded and the sales in the first few months were the norm?

Generally though I agree that the goal is clearly to produce a negative view of the situation, and I don't really think a look without the starting few months is especially meaningful. On the other hand, some people are trying to create graphs on the opposite end which exclude the Wii from the analysis and make the picture look as rosy as possible.

I personally endorse looking primarily/exclusively at straight gen-over-gen comparisons, as they are most likely to represent the health of the console market as a whole. Don't exclude systems because they are bad for your more positive argument, don't exclude the first few months because they're bad for your negative one.
 

Dire

Member
Except the front-loading is most likely the sole reason why sales are so slow now- the early adopter crowd that usually buys new consoles over the first year or so mostly bought in the first three months, whereas the "wait for more games/a price drop" crowd is waiting just like they've always been.

There are plenty of month-on-month comparisons to 2001/2006/2007 thrown around in these threads that you can use if you want to claim that consoles are doomed. A graph of LTD sales should show LTD sales, though, not LTD sales excluding the months that make your pre-conceived narrative look wrong. That's some Fox News-level shit you people want to pull.

Ahhh!! Your comment is a perfect example of how these figures are misleading for most people.

The current consoles have been on the market for about 8 months now - from late November to mid July. If your theory was correct then you're implying that LTD sales would have been comparable if instead they launched from February to October. I'm sure if you'd agree that's a fairly silly proposition.

Although there is going to be SOME overlap, in general the crowd that buys a launch console in November and the crowd that buys one in June are not the same group of people. The very reason holiday sales are so high is because people are buying them for other people who may or may not have been willing to purchase one themselves. In a nutshell because demand is artificially inflated.

They're perfectly legitimate sales but it's also misleading for most people.
 
I did some thinking. What I really want is the January-June sales of the first full year they've been out.

Which is basically the same thing- you want to exclude the months where the current gen sold significantly more just so the data supports your pre-conceived narrative that the current gen is selling worse and console gaming is doomed.
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
Put it in this way: Wii U sold roughly 30k in 28 days and 30k in the remaining 2 days. Now, if this trend were to continue, Wii U would sell 450k in June. And this is impossible, obviously. However, by assuming it will sell at least 100k - this would imply a drop of roughly 80%.

Do you really think this is realistic? Even by dropping by two third, Wii U would still reach 150k in June. Which is sure way different than the dead sales of before.

Edit: June is a 35 days-month. So, 100k is definitely a lock and 150k quite likely.

Just 10k off - not bad.
 

driver116

Member
You'd think that a consumer would stop buying the same product after it breaks every time.

Xbox is the be all for him though. He simply doesn't give a shit about Playstation, PC or Wii - and to be honest I can't understand why. He says he hates Playstation, laughs off the Wii and simply ignores PC. Probably something to do with the 3 or 4 people on XBL who he's never met before.
 
Ahhh!! Your comment is a perfect example of how these figures are misleading for most people.

The current consoles have been on the market for about 8 months now - from late November to mid July. If your theory was correct then you're implying that LTD sales would have been comparable if instead they launched from February to October. I'm sure if you'd agree that's a fairly silly proposition.

Although there is going to be SOME overlap, in general the crowd that buys a launch console in November and the crowd that buys one in June are not the same group of people. The very reason holiday sales are so high is because people are buying them for other people who may or may not have been willing to purchase one themselves. In a nutshell because demand is artificially inflated.

They're perfectly legitimate sales but it's also misleading for most people.

Of course numbers wouldn't be as high if they had launched outside of the holidays, because they wouldn't have gotten the "double bump" of launch sales and holiday sales.

I'm not sure why the hell you think it's more realistic that a fair number of people who bought 360s, PS2s, and PS3s in their first spring/summer decided not to buy a PS4/XBone at all rather than buy one last November/December. Launch prices were low (relatively speaking,) supplies were high, and most of the big releases of the season were cross-gen, so of course a lot of the people who normally wait a few months would buy on day one.
 
M°°nblade;121579054 said:
And just like the PS2, the XB360 had a one year headstart as well. It was the only next-gen device you could buy in 2006.

The comparison with individual launch aligned console sales is flawed because you lose the context of market situation.

I remember buying a PS2 in 2006 but ok.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
You'd think that a consumer would stop buying the same product after it breaks every time.

I bought at least 3 PS1s very simple math for me. I had well over 50 games when the first died. It was spend 199.99 to buy a new system or have 2500 dollars in games rendered worthless. I also bought 3 NES same simple math at the time.
 
No console has sold over 100 million without selling at least 10 million or a number near 10 million in Japan. I don;t think the ps4 will even sell under 90 million, but if the console sells more like the PS1 mostly everywere else besides Japan I think it will be a bit harder for the ps4 to get anywere near 100 million by the end of this gen. I really do not know how much the ps4 will sell in the rest of the world, but I don't think it will be significantly better than the numbers the ps3 pulled in the rest of the world. I think PS+ to an extent will be a barrier for the PS4 to sell well in some countries since some features like online play require owners to pay money to access them in these countries even if they have the infrastructure to support the internet. So potential ps owners may use cheaper options to play games with their freinds and by themselves.It won;t be as big as a barrier as xbox360's xbox live was for the majority of the last gen but it's a factor to keep in mind when making PS4 related predictions. .
There are quite a few consoles were if you take off japanese sales they are still over 100 million so....
 

Cornbread78

Member
Your link doesn't work. :0

It's on the Sales archive site on the front page.. The link worked for me, but there is a ton of info/history there.


I know someone who brought 3 PS3's as well really? BTW, back when the P3 barely had if any, a warranty.

Wow, it's like all the sales arguments from years past all over again...

"Well, you had 5 360's because of RROD, that why your sales numbers were so high"
"Well, at least I didn't have to buy 3 PS3's due to YLOD and your sales numbers still suck"


Just reminds me how happy I am the PS4 and XB1 have been so damn reliable thus far.... Kudos needs to go to both Hardware groups for that!
 
It's on the Sales archive site on the front page.. The link worked for me, but there is a ton of info/history there.




Wow, it's like all the sales arguments from years past all over again...

"Well, you had 5 360's because of RROD, that why your sales numbers were so high"
"Well, at least I didn't have to buy 3 PS3's due to YLOD and your sales numbers still suck"


Just reminds me how happy I am the PS4 and XB1 have been so damn reliable thus far.... Kudos needs to go to both Hardware groups for that!

Difference is that is not the argument being made, the argument being made is Xbox 360 had an extended warranty when the PS3 had next to none in comparison at first.
 
nicolascageconfusedemotions.gif


Ok, now I'm done for real.

But it charted though. That's something I guess.
 

kinoki

Illness is the doctor to whom we pay most heed; to kindness, to knowledge, we make promise only; pain we obey.
Which is basically the same thing- you want to exclude the months where the current gen sold significantly more just so the data supports your pre-conceived narrative that the current gen is selling worse and console gaming is doomed.

I actually didn't know that was my narrative. I was actually thinking something else. Thank you for informing me. I'll include it in future posts.

I don't think gaming is doomed. I don't think this generation is selling worse. I think there is less software that's on the hardware and I think that outside of Japan it's a pretty stable market. With the software for the consoles in 2015 we'll see a boom in sales too.

I believe that games sell far more now since the consumer has more disposable income than it did two generations ago. We also see a bigger commitment from software to be cross-generation. So even if it sold less hardware we'd see a higher attach rate from games and it'd balance out.

Actually, I'm just interested in seeing how they'd align. I don't have an agenda. :(
 

Hero

Member
I see we've entered the routine part of the NPD discussion where we have to take out Wii statistics to make this generation not look terrible.
 

Cornbread78

Member
Difference is that is not the argument being made, the argument being made is Xbox 360 had an extended warranty when the PS3 had next to none in comparison at first.


Same ideal, my fatty B/C 80gb PS3 got YLOD and they repaired/replaced it within 10 days for me, it did it a second time and they did it again. The system came with a 1 year warranty, which is the industry standard for all electronics. They later added the extended warrenties to the PSN store after all the YLOD problems started coming up. Late response, yes.. However, most people I know just shipped their system back to Sony instead of buying a new one because they were so quick in sending out replacements. On the other hand, my brother in-law decided to just buy a new 360 because the wait was sooo long to get a replacement.


At the end of the day, did ether really affect the over-all sales for either console? That is the greater point...


Like I said, I'm super happy you can purchase both of those current gen systems with confidence right now. Kudos goes out to both companies and the Foxcon employees working 20 hour days with no breaks and little to no money making them.
 
They also had warrantys. Something the PS3 had at first next to none for. This also applies to the PS2, and they never counted warrantied Xbox replacements as sales.
The ps3 had a full year warranty, as did the 360 for non rrod related issues.

The reason the 360 had the extended coverage for a while is because of its hilariously awful failure rate. The ps3 never had close to the same scale of problem and I'm sorry your ancesotal evidence doesn't change that.
 

Cornbread78

Member
So, how much ps4, xbox one and wii u sold this year?


From last night:

A rough summary so far

-----------------------------
Hardware Monthly Sales
-----------------------------

PS4 ~ 269k
XB1 ~ 197k
3DS ~ 152k
Wii U ~ 140k
360 ~ 62k
PS3 ~ 42k
Wii ~ 19k
PSV ~ 15k

-----------------------------
Hardware US LTD's as of July 5, 2014
-----------------------------

PS4 ~ 3573k
XB1 ~ 2916k
WIU ~ 2548k
Vita ~ 1840k

-----------------------------
June Software Sales
-----------------------------

Tomodachi [3DS] 138k Retail, 37k Digital
Mario Kart 8 [WIU] 470k [Retail + Digital]
All Other New Retail Handheld Games sans Tomodachi < 7k
UFC [PS4] 160k [XB1] 118k
Minecraft [360] 151k [PS3] 144K
Watch Dogs [PS4] 210k [360] 154k [XB1] 137K [PS3] 117k

-----------------------------
LTD Software Sales
-----------------------------

Mario Kart 8 [WIU] 753K Retail Standalone, 885k Total
Watch Dogs [PS4] 793K [XB1] 500K [360] 326k [PS3] 255k
Wii Fit U [WIU] 48K
Tomb Raider DE [PS4] 179k [XB1] 99k
Donkey Kong Country TF [WIU] 285k
PvZ Garden Warfare [360] 295k [XB1] 163k
Titanfall: [XB1] 1010k Retail Standalone [360] 614k
Infamous SS: PS4 648k
FF13: Lightening Returns [PS3] 139k [360] 74k
Tales of Symphonia Chronicles [PS3] 77k
FFXHD [PS3] 276k
South Park SoT [360] 289k [PS3] 236k
Dark Souls II [360] 289k [PS3] 236k
Tearaway [PSV] 67k
TW101 [WIU] 83k
 

KooopaKid

Banned
I still want to know how many of those 360's were actually rebuys due to the hardware issues.

Me too. From Wikipedia :

"The same month, electronics warranty provider SquareTrade published an examination of 1040 Xbox 360's and said that they suffered from a failure rate of 16.4% (one in six). Of the 171 failures, 60% were due to a general hardware failure (and thus fell under the 3 year extended warranty). And of the remaining 40% which were not covered by the extended warranty, 18% were disc read errors, 13% were video card failures, 13% were hard drive freezes, 10% were power issues and 7% were disc tray malfunctions"

Could be really huge. 1,000,000 a possibility?

"In May 2008 Microsoft announced that 10 million Xbox 360s had been sold and that it was the "first current generation gaming console" to surpass the 10 million figure in the US".
 
I actually didn't know that was my narrative. I was actually thinking something else. Thank you for informing me. I'll include it in future posts.

I don't think gaming is doomed. I don't think this generation is selling worse. I think there is less software that's on the hardware and I think that outside of Japan it's a pretty stable market. With the software for the consoles in 2015 we'll see a boom in sales too.

I believe that games sell far more now since the consumer has more disposable income than it did two generations ago. We also see a bigger commitment from software to be cross-generation. So even if it sold less hardware we'd see a higher attach rate from games and it'd balance out.

Actually, I'm just interested in seeing how they'd align. I don't have an agenda. :(
My apologies, then.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
June to July prospects

MOM changes

360 PS3 Wii Wii U
0.74 1.606* 1.11 0.69
0.86 0.554** 0.83
0.93* 0.74 0.7
0.84 0.7 0.6
0.98 1.865 0.7
0.546 0.73 0.74
0.79 0.73 0.66
0.764

Weekly weeks changes

360 PS3 Wii Wii U
0.93 2* 1.39 0.863
1.073 0.693** 1.04
1.164* 0.924 0.874
1.053 0.88 0.75
1.227 0.67 0.87
0.683 0.897 0.92
0.987 0.914 0.825
0.955

360* = Xbox 360 20 Gig Price Drop (349$-299$)
PS3*= PS3 60 Gig Price Drop (599$-499$)
PS3**= the month after MGS4
 

aaronwt

Member
I just wish they would count the digital sales in the NPD numbers so we could get an idea of what the actual sales are. Unless MS, Sony, or Nintendo releases those numbers we have no idea what they actually are(like Nintendo did with Tomodachi Life and Mario Kart). All my game purchases on my PS4 and Xbox Ones are Digital Downloads so they will never be counted in the NPD numbers.
 

prag16

Banned
Seems like a good month for everybody when you come down to it. How much xbone and Wii U drop in July will be very interesting to see.

I asked the last two months and got no response; anybody with info mind sharing some LTD's on Wii U 3rd party titles? (I'm thinking Ghosts, AC4, Blacklist, Batman AO, etc) Yes, I'm a sadomasochist apparently. We always hear sales are "bad" and "horrible" but I don't recall ever getting any numbers for any of these, except maybe something awful like 10k opening for Blacklist..
 
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