If after the worst week of his two Presidential campaigns Obama doesn't drop below 50% in Ohio, then you guys have nothing to worry about.
What if he implodes in his next 2 debates?
If after the worst week of his two Presidential campaigns Obama doesn't drop below 50% in Ohio, then you guys have nothing to worry about.
Some 2,371 of you offered reactions to Biden’s performance.
Yea, also I have to say that I LOVE your avatar. It's classy as fuck, gotta get me one of those jackets.
What if he implodes in his next 2 debates?
I like how Portman pretends to be in the Pentagon telling us what we need for the military though. It's cute.
Of course it's a reach - the only way they can play it up is along some line of "Obama wants your vote, but does he really care about Ohio after the election?"
north dakota was a tossup :lol
http://bigstory.ap.org/article/obam...ion-donors#overlay-context=users/rjagodzinskiWILLIAMSBURG, Va. (AP) — President Barack Obama's campaign says it has surpassed 4 million donors, a record for a presidential campaign.
The president's field director Jeremy Bird announced the total in an email to supporters Saturday night.
Obama's campaign has relied on small donors to boost its fundraising totals through the summer and fall. The campaign raised $181 million in September, its biggest haul of the cycle.
Republican Mitt Romney's campaign has not yet announced its September fundraising numbers.
north dakota was a tossup :lol
North Dakota and Montana were close in '08. Honestly for 2016/2020 I see those two and AZ/GA going blue quite easily if the Republican party doesn't change.
So are you saying the PPP poll is oversampled and thus closer to being an outlier?So the PPP poll says 19% voted already. There were 5.3m votes cast in Ohio in the 2008 election. Assuming equal turnout, that implies about a million votes cast already.
But according to this:
Only 100k ballots have been cast. How dated is the information on the OFA memo? That's a big gap. Either the memo data is very dated or the PPP poll oversampled those who have voted already. I can't find early voting information on the OH elections site.
So the PPP poll says 19% voted already. There were 5.3m votes cast in Ohio in the 2008 election. Assuming equal turnout, that implies about a million votes cast already.
But according to this:
Only 100k ballots have been cast. How dated is the information on the OFA memo? That's a big gap. Either the memo data is very dated or the PPP poll oversampled those who have voted already. I can't find early voting information on the OH elections site.
North Dakota and Montana were close in '08. Honestly for 2016/2020 I see those two and AZ/GA going blue quite easily if the Republican party doesn't change.
Heh, did I not talk about this today? Take note, PD.Silver on twitter just now
OFA significantly over performing on the field and not being represented in LV polls?
No, most TV networks just do whatever produces the best ratings, i.e. close horse race. That and they tend to report things as he said she said instead of actually investigating what's correct. Fox News has a right slant, and MSNBC obviously has a left slant. CNN is the big one painfully trying to look like they're in the middle by doing the he said she said crap.
I think the right candidate could swing Montana easily. Clinton won it in 92, lost it by 2% in 96, and Obama only lost it by around 2% last time around. Their governor and both of their Senators are Democrats. Hillary has a broad appeal, and I think she could bring states like Montana into play. Like a lot of other states, they like moderate democrats, but don't do well with New England liberal types.
I have to disagree with you on Fox News. It's not a simple right slant, it's an all out propaganda machine for the republicans.
Are they saying 19% of Ohioans have voted early, or that 19% of the people they polled have voted early?
The key finding on this poll may be how the early voters are breaking out. 19% of people say they've already cast their ballots and they report having voted for Obama by a 76-24 margin. Romney has a 51-45 advantage with those who haven't voted yet, but the numbers make it clear that he already has a lot of ground to make up in the final three weeks before the election.
So are you saying the PPP poll is oversampled and thus closer to being an outlier?
Say it ain't so, man.
I think this is it.You really think the poll is off by a factor of ten and nobody noticed except one dickwad in New Hampshire on Twitter? If it's that wrong, we'll hear about it soon enough. Remember that:
* the campaigns don't get informed who the ballots are cast for, so whatever statistics those are, they are not the official "how many ballots are cast" statistics;
* you don't have to give party identification when requesting an absentee ballot in Ohio;
* Ohio has early voting in person as well as absentee voting for all of October.
Bullshit. Obama led by 4 in PPP's last poll, this time he leads by 5. I know they point to the poll aggregate being closer (and it is), but this was timed specifically after the PPP poll. Trailing by 4 points to trailing by 5 points is not "closing gap."Yahoo News said:Romney closing gap in Ohio as poll numbers, crowds rise
GhaleonEB raises some legit concerns though.
Anonymous Obama dude, what do you say about the PPP poll?
GhaleonEB raises some legit concerns though.
Anonymous Obama dude, what do you say about the PPP poll?
You don't think Nate would have raised some concerns if it were that big of a deal?
Jesus dude just see a shrink already and get some Xanax.GhaleonEB raises some legit concerns though.
Anonymous Obama dude, what do you say about the PPP poll?
I'm merely pointing out that he did raise some good questions.
Ohio:
PPP 51-45
CNN 51-47
NBC/WSJ/Marist poll 51-45
Ohio has been very consistent the last week.
Diablos said:So are you saying the PPP poll is oversampled and thus closer to being an outlier?
Say it ain't so, man.
...I'm not melting down, I quoted someone else's post.ah, feels good to not be a psycho overreactor like other Dems after the debate. sanity feels good man!
Hahaha, amazing. Psyched himself up over a bs Arizona poll; finds any opportunity to meltdown over consistently positive Ohio polling. lol. Fellow PA brother, relax.
Interrupt them with a "Ron Paul? More like Ron Lawl!"
You're all voting for him right?There are people on my Facebook feed still talking about Ron Paul.
Fox News is not right leaning. It's a mouthpiece for the Republican Party. I think that networks like CNN are right leaning per say because they painfully try not to call out any bullshit or live in fear that fox news might call them out. Due to this pandering to the far right they end up leaning to the right to try and get those viewers.Wait, is it PoliGAF's opinion that most TV networks are right-leaning, and not just Fox News?
You're all voting for him right?
Fox News is not right leaning. It's a mouthpiece for the Republican Party. I think that networks like CNN are right leaning per say because they painfully try not to call out any bullshit.
This election's just for funsies. Dunno why you're all freakin' out.He won so many delegates that federal law requires that he just be granted all of the electoral votes.
I think the right candidate could swing Montana easily. Clinton won it in 92, lost it by 2% in 96, and Obama only lost it by around 2% last time around. Their governor and both of their Senators are Democrats. Hillary has a broad appeal, and I think she could bring states like Montana into play. Like a lot of other states, they like moderate democrats, but don't do well with New England liberal types.
I don't think that really makes CNN right leaning, just bad at journalism. Republicans just tend to do a better job of exploiting it.
I don't think that really makes CNN right leaning, just bad at journalism. Republicans just tend to do a better job of exploiting it.
CNN certainly is right leaning. They frame budget issues as being solely dependent on cutting "entitlements," war monger on Iran, and love Paul Ryan. They clearly don't go as full retard as Fox or MSNBC does for the left, but CNN is center right. To make matters worse, they deliberately attempt to give republicans "equal" respect which apparently means to give credence to ridiculous anti-Obama views such as the Jack Welsh shit.
I doubt it sadly. I've worked with the general public here on a daily basis for years and the number of racists and/or right-wing republicans is fairly staggering. I would LOVE to see it swing the other way, but I don't think it'll happen. Its largest city (billings, where I live) is half ran by church organizations, the biggest of which includes some of the most right-leaning people I've ever met. It may be because I'm not longer in college, but it felt like their was a lot more buzz for Obama in '08, than there is this time around. I could be completely wrong there. It really falls on how many young voters get out there.
Tester has done a really great job here though, and I'm certain he'll get another term.
From what I saw of their reaction to the Jack Welsh shit they mostly seemed to rip it to shreds...but then again the only things I watch on CNN are Soledad and AC360.