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PoliGAF 2012 |OT4|: Your job is not to worry about 47% of these posts.
- Thread starter Amir0x
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Shows over folks.
ryutaro's mama
Member
You needed to wait 2 and 1/2 weeks to post that, per PD.
Officerrob
Banned
Stick that fucking hopium directly into my veins!!!!! YES!
Aaron Strife
Banned
Oh Hopium...inject that shit right into my veins...
For sure, they would have to go nation wide instead of laser focusing on a handful of states. It would be insane.
Aaron Strife
Banned
By the way, Obama's margin in the last ABC/WaPo poll was only 2. So this is actually an improvement since before the debate.
Yeah, it's great that we all kept cool in the line of fire. Especially diablos, he took it like a champ.AniHawk said:
Obama was getting his cock sucked by a young, eager intern in that pic.
Bad news for Obama? Bad news for Obama.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Seriously speaking, based on the other polls, this would be considered an outlier.
You do realize that, right?
On this good note I hitting the shower and going to bed. Thankfully I'm helping teach a class tomorrow so I won't be able to look up news. Should be good to be free of any election coverage.
eBay Huckster
Member
i don't see it, the other polls all have it within R+2 to O+2
maybe if it was O+5, yeah
Aaron Strife
Banned
Remember pre-debate when Obama was leading by like 5-6 points?
Rasmussen and Gallup were still showing a tied race.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Yup, ABC/WaPo showed the race very close even when others had Obama running away with it. Would be good to see some pro-Obama movement in trackers too now.
Which also brings to light the lack of non-tracking national polls this Election year
BrokenFiction
Member
I like that Independent number, but the Republican number? Ugh.
eBay Huckster
Member
republicans still IDing as independents, i see
The importance of the "undecided voter" would probably be greatly diminished as the campaigns would have to motivate as many people as possible in red and blue states to vote.
It would be a lot of fun to see strategists have to figure things out during the first few cycles. They'd have to write entirely new playbooks.
Ah. Good eye.
Is there anyone who can unskew these numbers for us? thx
soul creator
Member
when PoliGAF and Dating-GAF collide!
I went out with a pretty cool woman, and we seem to be getting along pretty well. I'm walking her back to her car, and we were chatting about a part time job she had (in addition to her full time job).
She then told me that she did get offered a promotion at the part time job, but she didn't take it because that would've moved her into a higher tax bracket...
I got alphanoided :/
I was kinda stunned so I didn't even get a chance to respond, lol. She's not like a hardcore conservative or anything, but man. I kinda feel like I should've clarified how it worked (without somehow making her feel dumb, lol)
I went out with a pretty cool woman, and we seem to be getting along pretty well. I'm walking her back to her car, and we were chatting about a part time job she had (in addition to her full time job).
She then told me that she did get offered a promotion at the part time job, but she didn't take it because that would've moved her into a higher tax bracket...
I got alphanoided :/
I was kinda stunned so I didn't even get a chance to respond, lol. She's not like a hardcore conservative or anything, but man. I kinda feel like I should've clarified how it worked (without somehow making her feel dumb, lol)
Black Mamba
Member
Nope. TIPPS, Reuteurs, RAND, Gallup RV, and now this poll all show Obama up. +1 to +4 in them all (two have +4).
In fact, only Ras and Gallup LV poll has it for Romney right now. I would say the polls, in aggregate, have moved about 2 points in Romney favor suggesting a 2 point shift. And since Obama was up about 4-5, this puts the race where it should have been.
In fact, since most expected to tighten, one wonders if all Romney did was "bring home" his base 2 weeks sooner than expected and nothing more.
Not that I think Obama can have another terrible debate, of course.
Finally, PD would have lost our bet. I've been right in that the model went down 2 straight days and RAND went up for him.
Byakuya769
Member
Can't stop, won't stop being free minded voters.
eBay Huckster
Member
all these polls swinging slightly back to obama are making me wonder if 347-191 is still in play
I wonder if any employer has ever given this as an excuse for not giving a pay raise.
"Gary, you do great work for the company and I'd love to pay you more because you deserve it, but if your earnings go up you'll be put in a higher tax bracket and end up taking less home over all. That'd hurt both of us, Gary. Please understand."
You definitely should have cleared her up on how progressive income tax works. Plus, if you play you're cards right you only stand to benefit from her making more money.
This totally happened to me only a few weeks ago. I work outside the US but basically one of the higher ups suggested that I should take less pay because if I took the pay I deserved it would end up with me getting taxed more. I said let that be my problem, I can handle it and got my fair pay.
Better to be registered but not necessarily loyal than independent only in name.
StopMakingSense
Member
What kind of trash outfit is ABC/Washington Post???
cartoon_soldier
Member
Newspaper endorsement season starting. Completely irrelevant but fun to see which newspaper change sides from 2008.
makingmusic476
Member
I might bother volunteering in my area if that were the case. Louisiana isn't exactly a swing state. =/
ryutaro's mama
Member
Glad to be wrong.
Byakuya769
Member
It is particularly frustrating when they think the label somehow makes clearly partisan positions more valid, too.
cartoon_soldier
Member
I think Reuters was still +1 R today?
convention bounce that was delayed by hurricane eastwood?
It would be awesome enough if Carmona wins.
Particle Physicist
between a quark and a baryon
But he has no control over the Super PACs, they do their own thing or something.
ClassyPenguin
Banned
Should have clarified it for her. I do that and people may look at me as overeducated pompous asshole, but fuck it, that's their problem.
Yeah it's a bit low. Not trying to discredit it here but I wouldn't get too excited. That's a bit weird
It seems like that was forever ago. Time really is moving in slow motion, isn't it?
soul creator
Member
I know, I look back on it, and I wish I did. Now I know what Obama feels like :/
Fragamemnon
Member
I keep thinking no one tuned into the RNC and Mitt had his "here I am America, aren't I cool" moment in the debates and not back during his convention. It "explains" the polling discrepancy almost completely ( swing states less impacted, as they have been bombarded with information for a while now, whereas the national polls swung a lot ) and reconciles the complete lack of an RNC bounce.
I think on election day we will be back to status quo of the race - Obama by two or three, and Republicans will manage to find a valid but rough electoral path for Mittens and it will fail for them like it failed for Kerry in 2004.
I think on election day we will be back to status quo of the race - Obama by two or three, and Republicans will manage to find a valid but rough electoral path for Mittens and it will fail for them like it failed for Kerry in 2004.
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