What is the confidence level that the electoral college will hold up? Specifically OH, IA, and NV? I know early voting in the first two is a large benefit but will it hold up? I know all this 'fundamentals of electoral college' and 'Romney is rallying in Ohio' stuff I am seeing is just the media being the media for the most part (and, if anything, it's not moving to being an advantage to Romney, just less of a disadvantage) and that tonight can have a big impact but I guess I just need someone to tell me that this firewall is still holding and is likely to hold through the election.
well the latest ppp in ohio had obama up 5, with 76% of early voters breaking for him, out of 20% who have already voted. i think last count there were 800k-1m votes cast in ohio so far.
those are pretty strong numbers.
in iowa there were over 200k votes cast last week, which is roughly 20% of the 1.1-1.2m votes cast for the 2008 election.