Absolutely.That Gallup LV Regional Poll really did explain much.
I'd been wondering about the possibility of a popular/electoral split, as Romney's national margins were curiously misaligned with the swing states' numbers.. but after the debate last night, I'm betting that Obama will keep a tie or a small national lead.
My Republican family members were notably quiet last night, and I've heard similar from other places, so I do wonder if their enthusiasm numbers will go down.