At this point they're clearly trolling people and likely enjoying every minute.
This is a good way to end the night.
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PoliGAF 2012 |OT4|: Your job is not to worry about 47% of these posts.
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At this point they're clearly trolling people and likely enjoying every minute.
This is a good way to end the night.
I predict that Obama keeps every state he won in '08 except Florida, NC, VA, CO, and IN. So the same as you.
Unfortunately I also have a weird sense of dread that Obama will lose some state that few of us saw coming.
Nate showed how it's weighted in his poll:
It's not so much that he's not buying it, but that the rest of the pollsters aren't seeing it.
The Librarian
Banned
I'm sorry, Cyan, but it looks like we need to spend some time apart.
BuggyDClown
Member
So what are the odds of my map being a reality? I did this two months ago.
Back then a lot of people said I was crazy, and Obama would get more than this. I feel like it's not too far off now.
Back then a lot of people said I was crazy, and Obama would get more than this. I feel like it's not too far off now.
I don't think the Gallup poll has been included yet. The last update was at 12:14 AM.
Also, I'm paying way more attention to this stuff than I promised myself that I would.
Damn you, Gallup!
So what are the odds of my map being a reality? I did this two months ago.
Back then a lot of people said I was crazy, and Obama would get more than this. I feel like it's not too far off now.
I think that's a reasonable prediction. If I were to be cautious I'd knock off Colorado and Virginia.
Wow, that is a lot of charges.
One thing I'm starting to find fascinating is that the evidence suggests Romney's actually just a bad manager. No ground game investment, vastly overpaying for ad time because he wants to micromanage the very moment it airs...in a sense, this is actually just a battle between a Silicon Valley agile/data-mining/cult of personality style of management and a Wall Street waterfall/gut feeling/unitary executive CEO style of management. Moneyball, politics style. The funny thing is that Romney was, of all the campaigners, the one with the most experience with management.
Maybe the real takeaway is that MBAs are bad for you. But then, I basically already knew that.
So what are the odds of my map being a reality? I did this two months ago.
Back then a lot of people said I was crazy, and Obama would get more than this. I feel like it's not too far off now.
That's been my exact map for about a month as well. I think it's quite likely. Virginia will be close, though.
Manmademan
Member
I still think that Florida isn't quite the toss up people think it is, so I'd say your map is still kind of a "floor" as to where to expect him to end up.
Red Blaster
Member
lawl at Bay Buchanan on AC360
"nah I feel the polls are wrong, women love Mitt"
"nah I feel the polls are wrong, women love Mitt"
speculawyer
Member
I wonder what the Chinese press is writing about Mitt after that last debate.
Mitt continues on his world-wide insult tour 2012.
Manmademan
Member
The funny thing is that running a private equity firm is absolutely nothing like managing a government, or running a campaign. nor should it be. The fact that experience gutting companies for shareholder profits is considered some kind of asset for running for president, or qualification for managing a campaign is one of the more head scratching things about the political discussion right now.
So what are the odds of my map being a reality? I did this two months ago.
Back then a lot of people said I was crazy, and Obama would get more than this. I feel like it's not too far off now.
I'm leaning towards this as well. As long as Obama has his Red Bull before the next debate I don't see much coming up to sway anybody.
Yeah I pretty sure this is not playing well in China.
The FP debate should be funny.
BuggyDClown
Member
Too close for comfort haha. I hope he does at least this well.
speculawyer
Member
Well . . . I don't really view VA and CO as Romney wins . . . more like toss-ups. I just wouldn't count on them for a win. They should definitely campaign hard in those places. I think Obama has a very good shot at CO. I'm kinda skeptical on VA though. Maybe I'm just taking their Governor picks too seriously.
NullPointer
Member
All that matters is whether Donald Trump is happy.
Unfortunately plays well in America, though.
Really?
i think the contours of the race will alter significantly come 530pm on monday. and not in obama's favor
The Librarian
Banned
Yes, really. Real America.
To recap state polls released today:
Colorado (PPP, 10/16-18): Obama 50, Romney 47
Florida (Newsmax/Zogby, 10/14-16): Obama 47, Romney 44
Iowa (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 51, Romney 43
Michigan (EPIC-MRA, 10/17): Obama 52, Romney 46
North Carolina (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 46, Romney 52
Ohio (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 49, Romney 48
Ohio (SurveyUSA, 10/12-15): Obama 45, Romney 42
Virginia (PPP, 10/15-16): Obama 49, Romney 48
Wisconsin (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 48 51, Romney 47 45
Colorado (PPP, 10/16-18): Obama 50, Romney 47
Florida (Newsmax/Zogby, 10/14-16): Obama 47, Romney 44
Iowa (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 51, Romney 43
Michigan (EPIC-MRA, 10/17): Obama 52, Romney 46
North Carolina (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 46, Romney 52
Ohio (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 49, Romney 48
Ohio (SurveyUSA, 10/12-15): Obama 45, Romney 42
Virginia (PPP, 10/15-16): Obama 49, Romney 48
Wisconsin (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 48 51, Romney 47 45
Aaron Strife
Banned
We'll finally get a look at that commie's tax returns.
Manmademan
Member
eh? is this about those blurry documents on that website? it's a proven hoax
Yeah, "China sucks and I have big ass balls" is a winning message despite being completely empty.
Holy shit dude bwahahaha I'm crying over here
Hobbestetrician
Member
Goddammit, I hate this so much. I wanted the Canadian system so bad in the US that I fucking moved there (well, that wasn't the reason but it helped). And I have yet to meet a Canadian here who would trade their system for anything and isn't completely baffled by Americans reactions to Obamacare.
Actually kind of breathtaking when you look at them all together like that. Good news for Obama.
The Librarian
Banned
Sometimes I feel like PoliGAF needs a guide.
Listen to: Cyan, GhaleonEB, Jackson50
Troll with or otherwise ignore: PD
Panic with: Diablos and CS
Be calm with: Black Mamba, pigeon, loudninja, Tim-E, Forever
Harass PD, make sarcastic/joking responses, fake panic with: Dax
Appreciate trolling of: Incognito
Something like that.
Listen to: Cyan, GhaleonEB, Jackson50
Troll with or otherwise ignore: PD
Panic with: Diablos and CS
Be calm with: Black Mamba, pigeon, loudninja, Tim-E, Forever
Harass PD, make sarcastic/joking responses, fake panic with: Dax
Appreciate trolling of: Incognito
Something like that.
Ok, thanks.
Im sure most americans will start loving it once its fully implemented. The mouth-breathing crazy republicans might still hate it (or love it 'dont touch my medicare!), but those people are just nuts
I'm down with this.
Zogby? Really? How they got Obama doing in Georgia this time around?
eBay Huckster
Member
And I'm in categories 4 and 5
lol, Thompson has a tax plan that gives people a choice between a flat tax or normal taxes. He touts it as something you can totally do at half time of the Packers game, and then get a beer afterwards. smh
What I hate is that I know she literally cannot defend that. She can barely talk about it, because people are fucking stupid.
What I hate is that I know she literally cannot defend that. She can barely talk about it, because people are fucking stupid.
Sounds about right.
Manmademan
Member
Zogby is horrible though. And Newsmax? Trash polls are trash polls, even when my boy is winning them
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