Sometimes Nate does crack me up.
"Obviously all this data was gathered in different ways and from different groups and can't really be compared directly. But I added them all up anyway and here's what I got."
Nate thinks that Obama's unlikely to get a big bounce from this, but even a small bounce is a big deal.
I'm not sure -- it was pretty bad for Romney, and in the specific way that the first debate was bad for Obama -- even his supporters are angry with him for failing to represent them and making them look dumb for backing him. I still don't think we'll see huge swings, because the big move after the first debate really wasn't debate-related, but I think we might see something. And just a couple of points means a big fat landslide of EVs.
Here's hoping somebody was watching.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...g-debate-bounce-but-a-small-one-could-matter/