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PoliGAF 2013 |OT3| 1,000 Years of Darkness and Nuclear Fallout

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richiek

steals Justin Bieber DVDs
Today's cover of the NY Post, lol

100413deblasio.jpeg
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Today's cover of the NY Post, lol

100413deblasio.jpeg

The article is even funnier. Basically NYU had a trip for their top students every year and that year happened to be to Lithuania and Russia. Way to make more out of something than is really there NYPost. Really classy reporting guys.

EDIT: Also it wasn't much of a secret since they found it out from him
 

Piecake

Member
So what's your analysis?

I think rentals is a better idea for most people than ownership. Home rentals are a bit trickier since you dont get the density discount, but you still gain flexibility to move and take new jobs, which is something that is essential to the lower middle class.

I also think its far less likely that someone will splurge on a rental like they would on a house, and you know what you are paying with a rental. You might not realize that the cost of a house is a hell of a lot more than the mortgage.

As far as the investment vehicle, well, it seems a lot safer than shitastic mortgages piled together since an entity who owns the house can actually afford it, and if the renter is not paying you can kick him out and probably find a new one.

Still, its a dick move. tank the mortgage market forcing a lot of these people to sell underwater because they can't afford it, buy up those houses on the cheap and then rent them out. Dickish. Still, i think we will be better off with less home ownership than more, especially on the young, middle to low end.
 
I think rentals is a better idea for most people than ownership. Home rentals are a bit trickier since you dont get the density discount, but you still gain flexibility to move and take new jobs, which is something that is essential to the lower middle class.

I also think its far less likely that someone will splurge on a rental like they would on a house, and you know what you are paying with a rental. You might not realize that the cost of a house is a hell of a lot more than the mortgage.

As far as the investment vehicle, well, it seems a lot safer than shitastic mortgages piled together since an entity who owns the house can actually afford it, and if the renter is not paying you can kick him out and probably find a new one.

Still, its a dick move. tank the mortgage market forcing a lot of these people to sell underwater because they can't afford it, buy up those houses on the cheap and then rent them out. Dickish. Still, i think we will be better off with less home ownership than more, especially on the young, middle to low end.


From the renter's point of view, yeah, this counts for a lot. If you own your house, you are the one that has to pay for upkeep, and repairs. Generally speaking, if your renting, the landlord is on task to do that stuff, and it can amount to a lot.

What will probably happen is single homes will get broken down into apartments...2-4 units depending on the size of the house.

Again, pretty crappy, but there is a silver lining for the renters.
 
I try not to support books like that. Those aren't really reporting books, but just books with a bunch of sources who have axes to grind.
I'm gonna probably get it through that prime free book a month. So I doubt I'm giving them a lot. But the book does provide entertainment so I don't think there is too much wrong with it.

I'm just finishing up "this town" which I'd highly recommend to poligaf as it skewers the DC-media establishment exactly what double down is a party of. I might write a review or something
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Bob Schieffer said that the problems with healthcare.gov are worse than the government shutdown.

Your librul media, ladies and gentlemen.
 
I think rentals is a better idea for most people than ownership. Home rentals are a bit trickier since you dont get the density discount, but you still gain flexibility to move and take new jobs, which is something that is essential to the lower middle class.

Obviously not everyone is cut out to own a home. Still, having done both rent and own, I would say that if you can, you probably should at least consider owning.

The tax break is rad. The equity gain is nice as well. It's a safe investment (for the most part). It's also something that direct hard work can improve. I've fixed a lot on my house and will be doing my kitchen soon (mostly myself as well). All of my friends and myself have made nice gains in our equity since purchasing 2-4 years ago.

The flexibility to move doesn't bother me as I would never move away from my family.
 

Piecake

Member
Obviously not everyone is cut out to own a home. Still, having done both rent and own, I would say that if you can, you probably should at least consider owning.

The tax break is rad. The equity gain is nice as well. It's a safe investment (for the most part). It's also something that direct hard work can improve. I've fixed a lot on my house and will be doing my kitchen soon (mostly myself as well). All of my friends and myself have made nice gains in our equity since purchasing 2-4 years ago.

The flexibility to move doesn't bother me as I would never move away from my family.

home ownership is a terrible investment though. It doesnt beat inflation. If you bought your homes 2-4 years ago you probably bought it below market value thanks to the housing sector crashing. Thats not going to happen when housing prices normalize.
 

Fox318

Member
The article is even funnier. Basically NYU had a trip for their top students every year and that year happened to be to Lithuania and Russia. Way to make more out of something than is really there NYPost. Really classy reporting guys.

EDIT: Also it wasn't much of a secret since they found it out from him

Soviet Union is the new Nazi.
 
home ownership is a terrible investment though. It doesnt beat inflation. If you bought your homes 2-4 years ago you probably bought it below market value thanks to the housing sector crashing. Thats not going to happen when housing prices normalize.

Note I said safe not most lucrative. This also depends on what you do with your house post ownership. My parents have made a ton on property because they buy and fix up rather than just sit on the investment. It depends on where and when you're looking of course as well. The tax right off is nice too.

Think about it. What other investment can a middle class person actually use their own hands and hard work to improve upon?

This isn't to knock renting BTW.
 
Obviously not everyone is cut out to own a home. Still, having done both rent and own, I would say that if you can, you probably should at least consider owning.

The tax break is rad. The equity gain is nice as well. It's a safe investment (for the most part). It's also something that direct hard work can improve. I've fixed a lot on my house and will be doing my kitchen soon (mostly myself as well). All of my friends and myself have made nice gains in our equity since purchasing 2-4 years ago.

The flexibility to move doesn't bother me as I would never move away from my family.

I always tell people the same thing.

Buy your own home if you want to stay there for like 30 years. Otherwise, don't.

Home ownership is generally a bad investment (exception being when you catch a bubble at the right time). In fact, it's not an investment at all IMO. It's simply a consumption or pure store of wealth (matches inflation over time).

People tend to only compare mortgages and tax credit to rental rates. But there's so much more. You pay all utilities. You pay property tax. You pay maintenance. You pay insurance. You sometimes pay neighborhood fees. Depending on what you have in your home (back yard? pool?) these things can add up a lot. Then you have the opportunity cost of not having your money you otherwise use in real investments.


On the other hand, buying subsequent property can be a good investment. Renting out to people and stuff. But for your own dwelling, I would never look at it as a personal investment in your future. A lot of the time, you'd actually do better by renting.
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
home ownership is a terrible investment though. It doesnt beat inflation. If you bought your homes 2-4 years ago you probably bought it below market value thanks to the housing sector crashing. Thats not going to happen when housing prices normalize.

Even if it doesn't beat inflation, at least you're building equity compared to spending money on rent that you'll never ever see back. Utilities, maintenance, taxes, mortgage interest, and homeowners usually doesn't total to be more than the renting rate, especially right now when rents are so damn high everywhere.
 
As the White House struggles with the rollout of Obamacare’s online health insurance marketplace, pressure has mounted within the Republican Party to begin offering conservative alternatives that address the nation’s health care crisis. Here are some of the plans the GOP is considering:


  • Repeating the phrase “you can keep your current doctor” over and over until something happens
  • Loosening regulations to allow Americans to ship ill and injured family members to cheaper doctors overseas
  • Whatever the opposite of tyranny is
  • Allowing sick Americans to choose how they exhaust their life savings on a single medical bill, even if it’s out of plan
  • A true market-based solution—perhaps a convenient website—where uninsured people would pay for their own health insurance from private providers
  • $2,500 cash incentive to the first person who cures cancer
  • A health care law that won’t allow the disgrace of another Benghazi
  • Unsettling language and several ominous-looking graphs labeled “Obamacare” followed by a breezy smile and soothing, unspecific words

I was on the site and still had trouble discerning if it was TheOnion or not
 

Piecake

Member
Even if it doesn't beat inflation, at least you're building equity compared to spending money on rent that you'll never ever see back. Utilities, maintenance, taxes, mortgage interest, and homeowners usually doesn't total to be more than the renting rate, especially right now when rents are so damn high everywhere.

It depends on what you are renting. If you are renting a home, you are probably not getting a good deal. Like I said, the benefit of renting the home is mobility, which might pay huge gains or it might not. If you are renting an apartment? You can be sure itll be a lot cheaper than the cost of a house since you get the density discount.

Two other aspects that you are forgetting are the down payment and transportation costs. The down payment is no joke. You'll be putting 10-20% down on a 350k house when you could have put that money into an index fund and got a 7% annual return on that investment in 30 years instead of 2%.

Transportation is ridiculous as well. If you do apartment living you are likely living in the city close to your work, meaning that you either have access to public transportation or are so damn close you can simply walk or bike there (Its damn nice). The average person spends 60 cents a mile on transportation, which ends up being about 9k a year.
 

Tamanon

Banned
It's aight guys. They'll just take Cuccinelli, have him go train in the Hyperbaric Conservatism Center for a few years and his level will be high enough then.
 

xnipx

Member
No one puts 10-20% down anymore. Apartments still charge utilities to the occupant. In MOST cases renting and housing costs are within a few hundred dollars.

The only times renting comes out on top is comparing condos to luxury apartments in downtown affluent areas in my experience.

Paying 3-5% down and building equity while getting tax breaks beats renting every time in my book. Especially with most rental companies requiring credit checks and security deposits these days.
 
Home ownership is generally a bad investment (exception being when you catch a bubble at the right time). In fact, it's not an investment at all IMO. It's simply a consumption or pure store of wealth (matches inflation over time).

The guy who won the Nobel prize this year said something similar
 
Well, you're getting a significantly larger return than that, since the 2% is on the entire value of the house, not the down payment. So really it all depends on the delta between your mortgage payment and what rent costs would be.
this. its not a hard concept but so many people think that buying is always better than renting.
 
The guy who won the Nobel prize this year said something similar

Robert Shiller, who has IMO wrote both the best books on the dot com bubble and the sub-prime and housing bubble. (as well as came as close as anyone to actually prediction the crash, especially in timing).

Also half responsible for the Case-Shiller index.

Also mostly responsible for demonstrating the historical values of home ownership and why it's not a good investment.

Yeah, I've gotten a lot of my opinions about housing from him over the last decade or so.
 

Piecake

Member
No one puts 10-20% down anymore. Apartments still charge utilities to the occupant. In MOST cases renting and housing costs are within a few hundred dollars.

The only times renting comes out on top is comparing condos to luxury apartments in downtown affluent areas in my experience.

Paying 3-5% down and building equity while getting tax breaks beats renting every time in my book. Especially with most rental companies requiring credit checks and security deposits these days.

Well, Shiller, the dude who just won the 'nobel' in economics disagrees with you and has done extensive research on the topic.

http://www.businessinsider.com/robert-shiller-home-investment-a-fad-2013-2

In my case, renting is far cheaper than owning. I could buy a cheap, piece of shit house for 150k somewhere in the city or suburbs (i think) on 5-10% down and pay 820 a month in mortgage or continue to rent out my apartment for 700 a month, pay only electricity on top of that, and be 2 blocks away from my work. Seems like a no brainer to me
 
In MOST cases renting and housing costs are within a few hundred dollars.

Then why is buying better if your not going to ride a bubble or stay there forever? youre paying a few hundred more but paying for mobility, not having a large down payment (which makes buying in a city out of reach for most), not doing much if any upkeep, and saving on transport costs.

Housing is popular because it was sold to the public through the American dream and as a status symbol. Who buys an investment that is immobile and constantly used (consumed)?
Well, Shiller, the dude who just won the 'nobel' in economics disagrees with you and has done extensive research on the topic.

http://www.businessinsider.com/robert-shiller-home-investment-a-fad-2013-2

In my case, renting is far cheaper than owning. I could buy a cheap, piece of shit house for 150k somewhere in the city or suburbs (i think) on 5-10% down and pay 820 a month in mortgage or continue to rent out my apartment for 700 a month, pay only electricity on top of that, and be 2 blocks away from my work. Seems like a no brainer to me

goes out of style
Never though of that too. Makes a lot of sense. I hate the look of most houses built in the later half of the 20th century I would pay a premium to stay out of them.
 
Is anybody else positively giddy about Cuccinelli going down tomorrow? There's no way he could win unless turnout is ridiculously low. Wish I could say the same for Chris Christie..
 
People forget the human factor when deciding on renting vs owning and get lost in the cost wars. It really is up to individuals as well. There are some folks who need the city environment, convenience of public transport and lots of activity nearby to keep them sane. If you pluck them out and put them in a nice cozy 3 bedroom home in a subdivision with no streetlights, let alone people, they will die. Reverse is true of suburbanites too. People should decide on that first and then make the move, not just buy a house for the sake of owning. it is not for everyone.
 
Meh ... I look at houses like they're a canvas to be worked on. Find a crappy home in nice area. Does the lot have room to add square footage? If yes, does the roof need to be cut into with a new roofline added to do this? If yes, look for another home.

I grew up with a bunch of tradesmen though, so I realize my viewpoint is biased.

If my intention was to buy and sit for 30 years, I would probably rent as well.
 

Wilsongt

Member
Is anybody else positively giddy about Cuccinelli going down tomorrow? There's no way he could win unless turnout is ridiculously low. Wish I could say the same for Chris Christie..

Have you been looking at skewed polls again? He's gonna win by a landslide.
 

Piecake

Member
As for the tax deduction being an awesome deal, it really isnt anything special

http://www.thesimpledollar.com/the-myth-of-the-tax-deduction/

Second, even if you do claim the deduction, it’s not as enormous as it’s often made out to be. Let’s look at the projected income tax brackets for 2010 and also assume that we’re talking about the average American family, bringing in $66,000 this year with two adults and two children in the household.

In the end, though, they’re only deducting $1,600 more than they would have with the standard deduction ($13,000 vs. $11,400). Even if you’re generous and say all of that money came from the mortgage, that’s still only a small deduction. If they’re in the 15% tax bracket mentioned above, they’re only saving $240 by filing long form. That’s the equivalent of dropping their 6% mortgage rate down to only 5.856%.

Surpringly, the interest rate on your loan barely goes down. Honestly, it looks like a very stupid tax deducation because it favors the upper-middle and upper class significantly more than middle and lower-middle.

Simple fact is, the standard deduction for many is more than they pay in interest on their mortgage
 
People forget the human factor when deciding on renting vs owning and get lost in the cost wars. It really is up to individuals as well. There are some folks who need the city environment, convenience of public transport and lots of activity nearby to keep them sane. If you pluck them out and put them in a nice cozy 3 bedroom home in a subdivision with no streetlights, let alone people, they will die. Reverse is true of suburbanites too. People should decide on that first and then make the move, not just buy a house for the sake of owning. it is not for everyone.

Which is part of the reason why I mention if you're planning on staying there for 30 years, then you might want to buy.

But to make sure you understand it's a consumption, not an investment.

Buying your home means you can decorate how you want. Want to tear down the wall? you can do it. Do you have to have a pool? Do you desire a guesthouse? Etc.

There is nothing wrong with wanting a home. Buying a home goes you certain freedoms. Just understand they come at a cost and realize it's like buying a WiiU, not investing in a business.
 

Cooch tried running away from his abortion and sodomy views, only to crawl back. If Virginia republicans should be mad at anything it's that

A. Activists not just elected a bad state-wide candidate for governor, they tied him to a radical extremist Lgt. Gov.

B. Republican donors jumped ship to the democrat
 

Piecake

Member
Would a cruz loss lead to a moderation of the GOP?

I

I doubt it. I really don't have any faith in the current republican crop to reform. They care too much about ideological purity. The only way I see it changing is if we do some electoral reform, such as weakening the primary system through top 2 or top 4, or do something like multi-distrcit and ranked voting.

If that doesnt happen, I think we are going to have to wait until all the boomers and Reaganites die off. It really seems that the whole cold war really warped their view into some good and evil fight. The evil now is democrats since helping the poor and government programs is evil communism that will ruin our country
 
Ugh. Just spoke with a coworker about the Bible, Christianity, debating all of that good stuff. I was stating that I don't hold the view that everything the Bible says is 100% true, or meant to be taken as fact. Well, he brought up the point that we don't know Obama's real middle name and there are countless different claims as to what the name is (not sure where he was going). My mouth was agape.
 

Baraka in the White House

2-Terms of Kombat
Ugh. Just spoke with a coworker about the Bible, Christianity, debating all of that good stuff. I was stating that I don't hold the view that everything the Bible says is 100% true, or meant to be taken as fact. Well, he brought up the point that we don't know Obama's real middle name and there are countless different claims as to what the name is (not sure where he was going). My mouth was agape.

Checkmate!
 
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