Coriolanus
Banned
TBH what you wrote could be said ipsis litteris in 2007.
Also who's the probable vp pick?
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PoliGAF 2014 |OT2| We need to be more like Disney World
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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TBH what you wrote could be said ipsis litteris in 2007.
Also who's the probable vp pick?
In 2008 I would have said Rendell but I have no idea now.
Your post was literally "sure, maybe there are reasons to believe that Hillary might win, but really we live in a universe where anything is possible."
Sure, this is accurate, but it also belongs in Freshman Philosophy GAF, not PoliGAF.
Manmademan
Member
Talking about the democratic primary? Hillary DID win here in 2008- the race was essentially over at that point though, so I wouldn't read that much into it.
Talking about the general? whoever the democratic nominee was would have taken it in a walk. Joe Biden could have won by 10 points. The republican brand was completely toxic at that point, and there are a good million+ more democrats here than republicans. There is a reason the state GOP was trying to float dividing up electoral votes by county, and then voter ID. It's virtually impossible for a republican to win a general presidential election in the state otherwise.
VP is too early to call, it could be anyone- but VP picks tend to complement the primary pick. Hillary is old, white, and female so I expect a young male, possibly hispanic to counter that. Julian Castro maybe? Definitely someone who would be in a position to run for president in 2024.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Marist/NBC takes a look at Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
In the GOP primary, the only two candidates to get double digits in all three states are Bush and Walker. Huckabee wins Iowa, Bush wins New Hampshire, Graham (ok) wins South Carolina.
Hillary of course is romping everywhere and in the general election match-ups she beats Bush 48-40 in Iowa, 48-42 in New Hampshire, Walker 49-38 in Iowa and 49-42 in Iowa. Even in South Carolina she's apparently competitive, Bush leads her 48-45 and she ties Walker at 46. But of course that probably won't hold.
Buried at the bottom of the poll is a Senate poll of New Hampshire where Maggie Hassan actually leads Kelly Ayotte 48-44. Not only that but Hassan has a 70% approval rating. She'd be as close to a slam dunk as the Democrats could get.
In the GOP primary, the only two candidates to get double digits in all three states are Bush and Walker. Huckabee wins Iowa, Bush wins New Hampshire, Graham (ok) wins South Carolina.
Hillary of course is romping everywhere and in the general election match-ups she beats Bush 48-40 in Iowa, 48-42 in New Hampshire, Walker 49-38 in Iowa and 49-42 in Iowa. Even in South Carolina she's apparently competitive, Bush leads her 48-45 and she ties Walker at 46. But of course that probably won't hold.
Buried at the bottom of the poll is a Senate poll of New Hampshire where Maggie Hassan actually leads Kelly Ayotte 48-44. Not only that but Hassan has a 70% approval rating. She'd be as close to a slam dunk as the Democrats could get.
Trying to sign up for health coverage today and the income bit is giving me troubles. My job ended in August, and so far the only taxable income I have had since then is in mutual funds. However, I don't get that money directly. It gets reinvested, so I essentially see none of that money.
Anyway, I went through last night and entering in the information I could, my monthly income came out to like $400. I was unable to get medicaid because, lol, South Carolina.
Anyway, I went through last night and entering in the information I could, my monthly income came out to like $400. I was unable to get medicaid because, lol, South Carolina.
It almost hurts my head trying to comprehend those numbers, there's so much disorder. A 3 way split between Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina going into Super Tuesday would be so amazing.
Coriolanus
Banned
So what you're saying is that nothing has changed?
Aaron Strife
Banned
It happened in 2012. Santorum won Iowa, Romney won NH and Gingrich won SC.
Love that this happened on the same day the Utah House voted to bring back executions by firing squad
Aaron Strife
Banned
Same reason as this
U-S-A, U-S-A
(that's countries that don't use the metric system. It's us, Liberia and Myanmar)
Switching to Metric was something we should have done in the 70's. I believe Carter tried to do it but failed. Unlike execution methods, however, I'd argue it would be harder to switch. Not that it's impossible or dumb, but there are valid concerns (i.e. driving) where people would get no doubt confused and turned off by the idea. Again, this should have been done in the 70's.Same reason as this
U-S-A, U-S-A
(that's countries that don't use the metric system. It's us, Liberia and Myanmar)
Aaron Strife
Banned
Hypothetical: a poll comes out tomorrow showing Jeb Bush up five on Hillary in all major swing states. How do you react
Knowing how fickle the American people can be, I would not be shocked. I am with Diablos on this one. There surely will be polls within the margin of error the closer we get to election 2016 so honestly I wouldnt react in anyway that signaled doom and gloom.(Diablosing)
Besides, we have our PA guy Diablos here to tell us in real-time how things are looking on the ground for our girl Hillary anyway.
Now if a poll comes out the weekend before election day with your scenario, I might start to worry.
adamsappel
Member
They tried. Highway signs with kilometers, speed limits in kph, Schoolhouse Rock songs, speedometers in cars with km highlighted. The only thing that stuck was 2-liter soda bottles.
Unless you wake up in a parallel universe where Wolf gerrymanders the electoral vote, Democrats are not losing PA in 2016, unless something insane (and I really do mean insane) happens.
Toomey is toast, too. I feel bad to an extent because I have a lot of respect for him trying to take a stand against gun violence in this country, setting a good example that his friends in Congress should follow.
Wolf is off to an awesome start. He's taxing fracking (and signed an executive order banning fracking in state parks), will have Medicaid expanded by spring, and is putting a halt on capital punishment until it's thoroughly examined -- something the state is in desperate need of. Everyone is talking about how they've never seen a Governor here come out of the gate swinging so hard. He is definitely comfortable with his position as Governor; don't let his reserved and not-so-charismatic campaigning style fool you.
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It's really... interesting how Paul Ryan is coming forward regarding a potential ruling in favor of King, stating:
...only to then say
What's your fucking plan, then? People getting subsidies can still have them (i.e. grandfathered BECAUSE OBAMA LIED TO YOU AND IT'S NOT YOUR FAULT, COME TO DADDY) while everyone else gets shut out and omfg buy across state lines?
I think this is just a head fake to give someone like Roberts just enough confidence to rule in favor of King, knowing (or thinking he knows) that Congress will have a legitimate backup plan that can actually pass. I don't know if it will work, or that the deciding vote (likely Roberts) will even fall for it, but it's classic GOP...
They must have a lot of confidence in the SCOTUS, because they're holding off on repealing/gutting the ACA until the ruling comes down... I don't think they did this with the last ACA ruling.
Fuck you Paul Ryan, fuck you. Buy across state lines my ass, every insurer will just go to Kansas and cover absolutely nothing of any use to anybody while charging triple what they did before the ACA.
I should note that he didn't say anything (afaik) about buying across state lines on Friday; I was just speculating.
I really think the ACA is in danger, not because I'm Diablosing but because the GOP is legitimately holding out for this one. The rhetoric has really been toned down lately, more than I can ever remember since the law passed. That in and of itself is pretty significant. People like Cathy McMorris Rodgers have been saying for the longest time that a more practical approach to hurt the ACA is getting rid of subsidies as well. Everyone knows each other in regards to Congress and the think tanks that are defending and fighting against King.
Also, when is the last time you've seen the GOP seriously eager to actually say "we need to have something to replace the ACA." Was it when Mitt Romney flirted with the idea in 2012?
I really think the ACA is in danger, not because I'm Diablosing but because the GOP is legitimately holding out for this one. The rhetoric has really been toned down lately, more than I can ever remember since the law passed. That in and of itself is pretty significant. People like Cathy McMorris Rodgers have been saying for the longest time that a more practical approach to hurt the ACA is getting rid of subsidies as well. Everyone knows each other in regards to Congress and the think tanks that are defending and fighting against King.
Also, when is the last time you've seen the GOP seriously eager to actually say "we need to have something to replace the ACA." Was it when Mitt Romney flirted with the idea in 2012?
http://thinkprogress.org/election/2...n-funding-go-blacks-get-welfare-crazy-checks/
Once again, the party of Lincoln, ladies and gentlemen.
Aaron Strife
Banned
I hate the "If we lose the next presidential election people will realize how bad the Republicans are and we can elect communists!" mindset. That shit never works. After Reagan and Bush we got Clinton, one of the most decidedly centrist presidents in a long time. Bush II basically resulted in this - we got Obama who's the most liberal president America could reasonably be expected to elect in this era. But the ones who bring this up are the ones who bitch about Obama being a secret Republican.
The *only* advantage might be less brutal midterms, but who the hell cares? In fifty years no history book is going to talk about what Republicans in Congress did, they're going to talk about the Obama presidency and the Clinton (or Walker or Bush) presidency, for better or worse and the parties will own those legacies.
The *only* advantage might be less brutal midterms, but who the hell cares? In fifty years no history book is going to talk about what Republicans in Congress did, they're going to talk about the Obama presidency and the Clinton (or Walker or Bush) presidency, for better or worse and the parties will own those legacies.
benjipwns
Banned
It will always be Burma to me.
You there on the motorbike! Sell me one of your melons!
Only in Mississippi (or Alabama).
I've noticed this phenomenon here in the South all the time. So many white people could be open to liberal ideas or voting Democrat, but if there's the remote possibility of it helping black people they're against it. The knowledge that they're hurting black people disproportionately more than they're hurting themselves makes it worth it. My family would gladly vote on a policy that makes themselves $10,000 poorer annually, so long as black people are hurt by $15,000.
Oh speaking of Scott Walker
Walker budget catches DNR Board members off guard
Or as an editorial on wisopinion.com puts it...
Walker budget catches DNR Board members off guard
Or as an editorial on wisopinion.com puts it...
A Republican dismantling a formerly Republican core institution..
Teddy would be all "wtf are you fucks doing" these daysA Republican dismantling a formerly Republican core institution..
Teddy would get on his horse, ride to their houses and shoot these guys in their faces.
Like seriously, I have never seen even the most red conservative hunters disagree with bag limits, and conservation. It's what allows you to have game to hunt for decades and land to hunt on. Hunter safety course requirements keeps people from dying.
Past "muh guns" hunting is fairly apolitical once you're out in the field, because all legit hunters WANT conservation. If he's going to politicize this and try to deregulate conservation,
Past "muh guns" hunting is fairly apolitical once you're out in the field, because all legit hunters WANT conservation. If he's going to politicize this and try to deregulate conservation,
These guys aren't anything remotely close to being Teddy Roosevelt Republicans.A Republican dismantling a formerly Republican core institution..
I've actually seen some newer Republicans try to disown the EPA, which they created, as "Nixon was actually a RINO and it doesn't count"
benjipwns
Banned
Not seeing why Teddy would necessarily oppose this or why it's against progressive Republican Party principles. It doesn't eliminate any regulations, it merely moves the endlessly uninformed and sometimes troublesome citizenry to their proper place as a group that cannot affect the policy made in the Department of Natural Resources. Instead, they, like any citizens can advise the government about their petty and maligned opinions.
This way a friend to the executive like Gifford Pinchot can implement expert policy for the people's greater good without some silly "citizens" board (that's either full of or influenced by special interests) getting in the way and sabotaging the people's will.
EDIT: The board isn't even elected, it's appointed by the Governor! (Mr. Scott's appointed five of the members.)
This way a friend to the executive like Gifford Pinchot can implement expert policy for the people's greater good without some silly "citizens" board (that's either full of or influenced by special interests) getting in the way and sabotaging the people's will.
EDIT: The board isn't even elected, it's appointed by the Governor! (Mr. Scott's appointed five of the members.)
TacticalFox88
Banned
Is it a sad state of affairs where open racism gets me laughing uncontrollably and dog-whistles are the ones that get me angry?
Because I was laughing my ass off, here. So blatantly not giving a fuck.
Teddy was the OG RINO. He was a Manhattanite born into a wealthy family.
benjipwns
Banned
That was the Republican Party for its first hundred years.
All RINOs till Goldwater!
Avon Barksdale
Member
The Odd Couple.
Oh man, I was in NOLA last year for Mardi Gras - these photos take me back! Been to that beautiful city twice now - such a unique space in the american landscape.
The Odd Couple.
New cover photo.
Got to say, she's terrible, but she looked really good tonight.
The Odd Couple.
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