He's already announced his shortlist for Treasury.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT| Ask us about our performance with Latinos in Nevada
- Thread starter Makai
- Start date
- Status
Not every district will accept people as crazy as Trump as an option. Sure you can primary someone like Peter King with someone to his right, but he'd absolutely destroy them due to the demographics of his district. They expect him to break with the GOP on occasion. That's what I mean by safe seats.
The turtle had to survive an entire state, these guys will only need to survive their own districts. Citizens United was custom made for this shit, big money in small districts makes all the difference.
Palin for energy secretary
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
He's my choice 1b for Trump.
Christie is too much of a Trump clone for VP. He'd put him as Attorney General or something.
benjipwns
Banned
They can already technically do this.
I expect this. Unless he forgets.
Maybe whoever is behind his campaign convinces him to wait the extra week to March 1st.
User 463088
Banned
At least we'd make his wet dream come true and he can prosecute Hillary for something.
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/697492259235713025
Here we go, y'all. We're going to see Sanders hit the racial justice topic quite hard, I feel.
@BernieSanders said:
Here we go, y'all. We're going to see Sanders hit the racial justice topic quite hard, I feel.
Fenderputty
Banned
Are we convinced either side actually wants to do this? They seem to love having it as backup for when the power dynamic shifts.
benjipwns
Banned
Classic dog whistle tactics right here.
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
Of course you'd say that, you're a cat.
Ending racism sounds just as good* as tuition free college!
*unattainable
Appreciate that I will likely become a larger campaign issue going forward, though.
benjipwns
Banned
You can't diminish your brand with too much actual politics. Palin understood that.
Frank the Great
Banned
I wouldn't be surprised at all if Trump selects Christie for VP. He always doubles down.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
"Uh-oh, Ben's asleep again!"
Fenderputty
Banned
Christie doesn't seem like a luxurious enough pick for trumps VP.
No, but he's a winner and Trump likes winners.
Not to mention potheads and those people who disrespect the police.
benjipwns
Banned
I want it to be like Dirty Jobs.
RustyNails
Member
Trump is going to pick Bob Gates as his VP.
Fenderputty
Banned
Good at winning himself out of national competitions.
Dominican Power
Member
A point that isn't discussed here is Trump losing steam the more people drop out of the race. I think he benefits from having a lot of people still in the race. Once it's cut down to 1-3 people, the heat is gonna turned the all the way up.
Roland_Gunner
Member
Kasich's a good pick for me. Everyone wants Ohio and he wouldn't compete with Trump for the spotlight. Legit think Romney would tell him to fuck off.
He may get enough delegates by then that it doesn't matter.
Black Mamba
Member
You know, I'm starting to think Sanders is getting the not-Obama voters from '08. He's taking Hillary and Edwards previous voters.
Which kind of makes sense given the racial makeup of NH but not the politics. He didn't do as well in some places that Obama crushed last time and really well in places Obama got crushed.
You'd think Hillary voters would somewhat stay but it seemed a lot switched. It's time to wonder how much of NH's Hillary support was race based. I don't necessarily mean those voters are racist but I wonder if a lot of them believed they couldn't elect a black man because no way the US would vote in a black president.
NH is very anti-establishment...or rather just more outsider-ish in thinking a lot of the time. And if the only thing that propped Hillary in NH was race, I wonder if this bodes poorly for Bernie because NH picked Bernie to vote against Obama as they generally vote against the status quo (Hillary being exception in '08 and previously explained). Which would then mean as this primary moves on, hugging Obama will be great for Hillary and bad for Bernie.
Or maybe people are just generally annoyed with things and want someone unlike the rest. We'll see.
I still think Hillary will probably control the rest of the Primary but who knows. Media is so different now.
Which kind of makes sense given the racial makeup of NH but not the politics. He didn't do as well in some places that Obama crushed last time and really well in places Obama got crushed.
You'd think Hillary voters would somewhat stay but it seemed a lot switched. It's time to wonder how much of NH's Hillary support was race based. I don't necessarily mean those voters are racist but I wonder if a lot of them believed they couldn't elect a black man because no way the US would vote in a black president.
NH is very anti-establishment...or rather just more outsider-ish in thinking a lot of the time. And if the only thing that propped Hillary in NH was race, I wonder if this bodes poorly for Bernie because NH picked Bernie to vote against Obama as they generally vote against the status quo (Hillary being exception in '08 and previously explained). Which would then mean as this primary moves on, hugging Obama will be great for Hillary and bad for Bernie.
Or maybe people are just generally annoyed with things and want someone unlike the rest. We'll see.
I still think Hillary will probably control the rest of the Primary but who knows. Media is so different now.
Veritigo_X
Member
This was discussed a while back when Trump was first picking up steam. I think at this point it might be too late for that. Trump has momentum and not enough people are dropping out. By the time it becomes a 2-3 person race he might already have it locked up, or close enough to locked up that people see him as inevitable.
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
I think Rubio and Jeb are in until Super Tuesday, at which point Trump will have racked up enough states to make his lead hard to overcome.
Coriolanus
Banned
There's nothing in the world that Don could offer to Romney that would make the man associate his image with him in such a lasting manner.
Or so i'd like to believe, because i kinda like mitt. About as good as republicans come, tbqh
That you even put that "probably" in there shows how much expectations have changed.
Jack Remington
Banned
It's pretty annoying that we haven't gotten a single South Carolina or Nevada poll in the last two weeks.
Black Mamba
Member
People like Fiorina and Christie don't matter. In the pre-Iowa polling on SC, those that currently dropped are like 6% total. Probably even lower in reality.
It only matters if there's just 3 candidates, Trump vs Cruz vs Jeb!/Kasich/Rubio. But by the time this does happen, it may be too late. Delegate math might screw them.
I think no one wants to bother until we're clear of NH.
Black Mamba
Member
Again, why would we? Who is stupid enough to pay for such a poll.
A SC poll becomes outdates the moment Iowa ends and then becomes outdated again the moment NH ends because people drop out and results are in.
I know it would be fun for us to discuss new SC polls, but they'd give us no useful information until NH Primary is over. Now we'll see some polls.
benjipwns
Banned
I don't think Kasich cares much for Trump personally.
Cruz voters are far more likely to move to Trump (and vice versa) than Jeb!
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
They're different coalitions and shouldn't be compared. Obama took young people, liberals, people with a college degree, wealthy Democrats, and racial minorities. Clinton took old people, moderates, people without a college degree, poorer Democrats, and whites.
Meanwhile, Sanders takes young people, liberals, people without a college degree, poorer Democrats, and whites. Clinton takes old people, moderates, people with a college degree, wealthy Democrats, and minorities. You'll spot this just doesn't match to either bloc from '08.
It's not as simple as an "Obama bloc" and a "Clinton bloc". There are myriad different interest groups in the Democrats and they don't always work together in the same ways. I think your argument here fails right from the get go because you don't seem to understand this.
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
yeah, this is true enough. I'm expecting a big glut of SC polls and maybe even a new Nevada polls over the next week. Should be good! We've not had a high quality SC poll since December or a Nevada one since October.
Speaking of Obama..
Jay Carney: Obama wants Clinton to win
Some were wondering if Obama or others would step-in. This is a sneaky way to nudge things.
Jay Carney: Obama wants Clinton to win
Some were wondering if Obama or others would step-in. This is a sneaky way to nudge things.
FloydtheFathead
Member
Black Mamba
Member
eh, I've always argued Bernie has a chance. I said long ago if he can win Iowa and NH it would be legit, and while he didn't win Iowa is was essentially a tie.
I never underestimate the power of the media to shape things. I mean, if this was 1980, no way Bernie could win (I mean in terms of media consumption, not politics). But in this new insta-media world, things can change on a dime. just ask Rubio.
The only thing I'm truly sure of is Hillary beating Jeb! and Carson (okay the carson one true for Bernie as well). Everyone else in the race can still win (except Gilmore and Carson) given the right circumstances.
But I think Bernie is still at best a 1 in 5 shot.
benjipwns
Banned
Coriolanus
Banned
RECEIPTS
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked