Lumpy will become completely unhinged and eat his own face on live TV.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
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Lumpy will become completely unhinged and eat his own face on live TV.
Yes, this tweet info is useless without knowing historically which side has done more early voting in each place, and what type. Less effort to report the fact than the context.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
Very well articulated Gruco. I think that sort of criticism is better than nitpicking the model doing weird things and calling him "bad/trash Nate".
I do think Nate deserves some credit for owning up to his shitty punditry about Trump. Maybe he had to in order to save face or his site's reputation, I'm not sure, but it's not something many people who comment about politics too. So many pundits on television are repeatedly invited despite how consistently wrong they are. Even political experience doesn't mean you have valuable insight.
I don't take everything he says seriously but he's shown to have some valuable insight. I roll my eyes when I see people who criticize him constantly share things he says that is positive of Hillary. When your negativity is focused entirely on the information you don't want to hear the criticism comes across as less meaningful.
I do think Nate deserves some credit for owning up to his shitty punditry about Trump. Maybe he had to in order to save face or his site's reputation, I'm not sure, but it's not something many people who comment about politics too. So many pundits on television are repeatedly invited despite how consistently wrong they are. Even political experience doesn't mean you have valuable insight.
I don't take everything he says seriously but he's shown to have some valuable insight. I roll my eyes when I see people who criticize him constantly share things he says that is positive of Hillary. When your negativity is focused entirely on the information you don't want to hear the criticism comes across as less meaningful.
RustyNails
Member
Ah got it. Makes more sense now.
phisheep
NeoGAF's Chief Barrister
1948 was called famously early - and famously wrongly.
BenjaminBirdie
Banned
Sucks for the GOP then. They'll continue to lose the latino vote. They are really stuck in tough spot because clearly Trump exposed their base as not wanting this stuff. How do they tow the line?
This is why obsessing about 3rd parties is basically only done by 20 year olds and fringe cranks. Anyone even remotely serious about US politics realizes they need to build a party coalition first. The people who left running in third parties are reeaaaally not the greatest. Even Bill Weld regrets his decisions in life.
whyamihere
Banned
Get fucked Lil' Marco.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/27/politics/florida-democrats-senate-majority-pac/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/27/politics/florida-democrats-senate-majority-pac/index.html
Any stats on Laredo Tx?@LatinoDecisions
Yup. The GOP really fucked the horse on this one
He wasn't really able to as president...2010 and 2014 were rough.
Hooligan69
Member
Abstrusity
Member
Not likely, but if turnout doesn't change, redistricting will help Democrats more, even if it's a return to something approaching neutral.
RustyNails
Member
Oh shit. I look forward to the ads for Murphy. I already voted for him though.
gotstrangepowers
Banned
Webb County was only 447 votes higher than 2012 on day 1
http://m.lmtonline.com/front-news/article_ddfb313e-9acf-11e6-807a-ab669c983d4d.html?mode=jqm
The early voting here in MD is insane. In MD. Most Dems could stay home and the state would still stay blue. People are sick of Trump and they're voting.
whyamihere
Banned
I think we've already litigated that point enough, though.
Man. Why they gotta be so lazy! I mean they are already solid blue but enthusiam would be nice.
Maybe in 2020 the GOP will nominate someone that will somehow piss off us Asians enough to boost our turnout as well.
littleworm
Member
So many district judges on my ballot.
Thinking more about the DSCC.....so, here's the thing.
OH got nuked from orbit in 2015. AZ hasn't shown any signs of closing. IA lol.
IL and WI were easy early locks.
NV, NH and PA are in contested GE states and that Trump will lose by 7+ points.
So, that leaves IN, MO, NC, and FL.
It's worth spending hard in MO and NC. And I guess Bayh is still better than a Republican, but he has also been pretty safe in polling. But, honestly Florida almost needs to be contested by default. It's probably the third most important race of the cycle, and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see it the closest single race on election day.
OH got nuked from orbit in 2015. AZ hasn't shown any signs of closing. IA lol.
IL and WI were easy early locks.
NV, NH and PA are in contested GE states and that Trump will lose by 7+ points.
So, that leaves IN, MO, NC, and FL.
It's worth spending hard in MO and NC. And I guess Bayh is still better than a Republican, but he has also been pretty safe in polling. But, honestly Florida almost needs to be contested by default. It's probably the third most important race of the cycle, and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see it the closest single race on election day.
They thing is they could change their immigration plan and stick to the same on everything else and they would still get more votes then they get now. It's the primary system that's killing them unfortunately. They'll have to figure something else out with it
Laevateinn
Member
Trump's probably done quite enough to offend Asians as well. I have a coworker who is Chinese. He got his citizenship over a decade ago but he has only been motivated to register to vote for the first time this year.
I know that feel.
Re: Evan Bayh
If we need him to get control of the Senate, I guess we'll just have to deal with it but if he isn't necessary he can get fucked. People like him make the Democrats look bad.
Dope. She deserves more views.
whyamihere
Banned
Early numbers from Iowa. Dem % keep creeping up very close to 2012.
It's effectively identical, you just have to fill out a form explaining why you're voting early.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
Entire episodes being on Youtube is fantastic.
Personally I'm pretty hyped up to vote on Election Day, fully understanding that I'm given the luxury to have request the day off a month ago. Will be submitting my vote, wife'a vote and father's vote then binging on the big networks for the rest of the day while my non-voting sister in law and brother in law stick their heads up their bum and try and ignore the noise I make(they live in the apartment above me).Having voted in NC in 10 and 12 I really miss early voting now that I'm back in PA
Super tempted to take a personal day that day.
Roland_Gunner
Member
I don't get why people keep acting like the Florida senate race is particularly close. For every poll that has Rubio up 1 or 2 there's another where he's up nearly double digits. Nothing shows Murphy with an actual lead.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/florida/
RastaMentality
Banned
can hillary pls go on there and use her for the correspondents dinner.
Thunder Monkey
Banned
I just got my mothers mail in ballot sent.
+1 for Queen in Kansas.
I kind of enjoy in person voting, so I think I'm going to my early voting precinct around the 1st or 2nd. I'd already have it done, but I don't have a car, and it's only opened W,T,F. Or I'll vote day of. We never have lines in this area. And I've voted in every election since I was legal. Midterm, special elections, Presidential, Caucuses, and Primaries. Kansas may never go blue in my lifetime, but they never have to worry about my vote.
+1 for Queen in Kansas.
I kind of enjoy in person voting, so I think I'm going to my early voting precinct around the 1st or 2nd. I'd already have it done, but I don't have a car, and it's only opened W,T,F. Or I'll vote day of. We never have lines in this area. And I've voted in every election since I was legal. Midterm, special elections, Presidential, Caucuses, and Primaries. Kansas may never go blue in my lifetime, but they never have to worry about my vote.
Daily reality check, since poligaf's manic tendencies continue unabated:
- Texas will not be going blue, even with increased turnout by latinos and more Republicans crossing over to vote D. Please don't get to the point where you'll be disappointed if Hillary doesn't win Texas. Because you WILL be disappointed.
- Marco Rubio is going to win his senate race and will be running for President again in 2020. Chuck Schumer is actually right for once.
- The House of Reps. is not going to flip.
- Hillary Clinton is still on track to win by 5-8 points. A solid win no matter how you cut it, and nothing to complain about.
- Texas will not be going blue, even with increased turnout by latinos and more Republicans crossing over to vote D. Please don't get to the point where you'll be disappointed if Hillary doesn't win Texas. Because you WILL be disappointed.
- Marco Rubio is going to win his senate race and will be running for President again in 2020. Chuck Schumer is actually right for once.
- The House of Reps. is not going to flip.
- Hillary Clinton is still on track to win by 5-8 points. A solid win no matter how you cut it, and nothing to complain about.
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