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[Valhelm]

Slightly diablosing about Michigan

Was there actually a boost in rural white turnout or is that just a meme?

 

[Maxim726X]

Betting markets up to 90% HRC... Obama 2012 numbers.

Bet she'll win by similar EC margins, too.

 

[Basileus777]

Michigan is such a silly state to bedwet about in 2016.

 

[MadLaughter]

uhhhh...wouldn't that void your vote?

In San Diego County, if the machine rejects your ballot due to a procedural issue, it gets sent to a team of people that make corrections if it is 100% clear who the person wanted to vote for.

(For example, if they used a sharpie and it bled over to the back of the ballot). If their state has the same procedure, this would probably qualify.

 

[TheLostBigBoss]

I saw a Trump sign in my town

I guess MA is going Trump!!!!!!

In San Diego County, if the machine rejects your ballot due to a procedural issue, it gets sent to a team of people that make corrections if it is 100% clear who the person wanted to vote for.

(For example, if they used a sharpie and it bled over to the back of the ballot). If their state has the same procedure, this would probably qualify.

FUCK, CLINTON

 

[Voysa Reezun]

Slightly diablosing about Michigan

Was there actually a boost in rural white turnout or is that just a meme?

Apparently, the GOP decided to match Democratic tactics and bus in a bunch of angry white people from across the border in Alberta.

We're fucked.

FUCK

 

[Iolo]

Awesome!

Sidenote: I have been textbanking at one of the campaign offices here in LA and it's always packed. I tried to go back over the weekend and yesterday and there was a line out the door and a long wait list TO VOLUNTEER. People were sitting on the sidewalk phonebanking because the office was too full. Yes, this is in ultra-blue Los Angeles, but I've been consistently seeing posts from friends volunteering in Ohio, PA, NYC that their offices are packed and that there's a wait to volunteer.

I'm fired up!

Also, giant heart eyes to PoliGAF for helping me stay sane throughout the election.

That's good. In 2008 the Obama team was talking about "negative flake rate".

Campaign planners expect a flake rate among those who promise to volunteer. In other words, they expect a certain percentage of people to flake out and not show up. This past weekend, the Obama campaign experienced the opposite: they got a negative flake rate. They got more volunteers showing up than they had planned for.

I hope they are seeing the same today.

 

[DontBeThatGuy]

I saw a Trump sign in my town

I guess MA is going Trump!!!!!!

You're supposed to kick those over when you see them.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

Just saw a black family vote in Missouri. Clinton going to score the upset here.

 

[thestopsign]

I have gotten roughly 10 texts from Hillary folk in the last day or so for me to get out and vote, 7 of them have been from PA where I was registered to vote in 2012 and the other 3 have been from Mississippi where I am registered now. It's kind of annoying at this point, but it is encouraging to me that they are so persistent.

 

[Balphon]

Even the pet cemetery voted for Hillary!

 

[Hindl]

Apparently, the GOP decided to match Democratic tactics and bus in a bunch of angry white people from across the border in Alberta.

We're fucked.

FUCK

Obviously fake. Canadians can't get angry

 

[impirius]

Lack of Votecastr for North Carolina is killing me.

 

[DontBeThatGuy]

what is this votecastr shit, is that even remotely reliable?

 

[Roland_Gunner]

I have gotten roughly 10 texts from Hillary folk in the last day or so for me to get out and vote, 7 of them have been from PA where I was registered to vote in 2012 and the other 3 have been from Mississippi where I am registered now. It's kind of annoying at this point, but it is encouraging to me that they are so persistent.

Did you tell any of them that you have voted? They'll take you off the list at that point.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

what is this votecastr shit, is that even remotely reliable?

it's not at all reliable.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

what is this votecastr shit, is that even remotely reliable?

No

 

[thestopsign]

Did you tell any of them that you have voted? They'll take you off the list at that point.

Yes. Repeatedly.

 

[Officerrob]

Lack of Votecastr for North Carolina is killing me.

It's just garbage data, who cares?

 

[BiggNife]

Even the pet cemetery voted for Hillary!

Oh, my poor dead kitty, not you too!

 

[DontBeThatGuy]

yeah, didn't think something like that would be.

 

[newshinycd]

Lack of Votecastr for North Carolina is killing me.

Don't. Ever since Votecastr had Stein getting 2% in NV earlier today (she isn't on the ballot) I've written it off as a joke.

 

[Grym]

In San Diego County, if the machine rejects your ballot due to a procedural issue, it gets sent to a team of people that make corrections if it is 100% clear who the person wanted to vote for.

(For example, if they used a sharpie and it bled over to the back of the ballot). If their state has the same procedure, this would probably qualify.

interesting. I would have just assumed it would look like 2 selections under a choice where it says to 'choose no more than 1 of the following' or something thus invalidating it. But if it is for a manual rejection check later, that makes some sense.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Yes. Repeatedly.

Huh. Sorry man. Its possible the system is backed up because so many people are hitting it at once.

 

[Lord Frieza]

It was mostly based on that the transit strike in Philly that would make the turnout lower than expected. Also nobody has no clue how much Trump can rack up in the rural areas.

That was resolved, I thought?

MI will flip at some point in the near future. There are a TON of southern-style racist working class whites in that state.

I mean, maybe, but what about PA?

 

[CygnusXS]

Obviously fake. Canadians can't get angry

You're clearly not familiar with Joey Votto.

 

[Wilsongt]

https://mobile.twitter.com/robtned/...8?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet


Gurl.

 

[Alcander]

+1 in CA! Damn that ballot was long. People dug the shirt, but its california.

https://twitter.com/pklada/status/796058195902885888

 

[Trouble]

There was just a future45 cartoon ad on TV here and they had actually stink lines on Hillary, lol.

 

[Fragamemnon]

Lack of Votecastr for North Carolina is killing me.

NC's results are extremely difficult to parse and compare to previous results. Everyone's just going to have to wait until we're done to find out what went down-but I feel really confident.

 

[Trouble]

https://mobile.twitter.com/robtned/...8?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet


Gurl.

Not very topical in 2016.

 

[djplaeskool]

I need to find that Tracy Morgan meat gif from Head of State, in preparation for tonight.

 

[Plinko]

I mean, maybe, but what about PA?

Nowhere near as concerned about PA as I am about MI. As long as city voters turn out to vote, PA should be OK.

 

[impirius]

It's just garbage data, who cares?

1. I want to look at bars!

2. NC has seen a big demographic shift in early voting turnout from 2012 thanks to NCGOP fuckery, so I'm curious to see how wacky Votecastr would look for NC compared to the other swing states

 

[SerAardvark]

Can people please quote or at least paraphrase tweets they link? Am in the office for now, and while I can access this site, Twitter is blocked.

Thanks!

 

[RedAssedApe]

https://mobile.twitter.com/robtned/...8?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet


Gurl.

so he voted for hillary then

 

[Hindl]

You're clearly not familiar with Joey Votto.

I pride myself on ignoring baseball's existence

https://mobile.twitter.com/robtned/...8?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet


Gurl.

So ignoring the whole racist thing, that's going to happen no matter who wins

 

[Cyanity]

Those of you volunteering for campaigns are the real heroes of the election. THANK YOU

 

[NYCmetsfan]

MI will flip at some point in the near future. There are a TON of southern-style racist working class whites in that state.

They're already voting republican. They didn't vote for the black president twice then decide nah. gotta go republican

 

[Hopfrog]

https://mobile.twitter.com/robtned/...8?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet


Gurl.

Clearly a Clinton supporter. She is demonstrably whiter than Trump - guy is orange.

 

[WarioFan63]

Unfortunately your vote only counts if you also cross off the names of all the other candidates.

Oh no! Well I drew a smiley face next to her name too, so I hope that evens things out.

 

[Makonero]

so he voted for hillary then

Right, otherwise it'd say MAKE THE WHITE HOUSE ORANGE FOR THE FIRST TIME


In another note, I'm saddened at how my favorite color has been reduced so far due to this election.

I'll have to work on MAKING ORANGE GREAT AGAIN

 

[Valhelm]

Why is Votecastr garbage?

Vice (I believe) was promoting them earlier. They seemed pretty reliable, if only because of the large sample sizes.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Why is Votecastr garbage?

Vice (I believe) was promoting them earlier. They seemed pretty reliable, if only because of the large sample sizes.

They had Jill Stein in their NV surveys.

Jill Stein is not on the ballot in NV.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

Why is Votecastr garbage?

Vice (I believe) was promoting them earlier. They seemed pretty reliable, if only because of the large sample sizes.

They're tracking a candidate that isn't on the ballot in Nevada. Also widely respected experts in certain states have called bullshit on their numbers. It's also openly experimental.

 

[Finalizer]

I am having heart palpitations. Work is moving too slow. I need results.

shhh

no tears now

only votecastr

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

Raining hard in STL. Gonna be mad if Kander and Koster get screwed because of this

 

[Plinko]

They're already voting republican. They didn't vote for the black president twice then decide nah. gotta go republican

I think you vastly underestimate the Midwestern mindset of "I'm not letting a woman lead me." Seriously--this is easily the most understated aspect of this campaign. I never saw anyone do a writeup on this topic. It is a huge issue in the Midwest.

 

[Trouble]

Why is Votecastr garbage?

Vice (I believe) was promoting them earlier. They seemed pretty reliable, if only because of the large sample sizes.

It's just that interpreting exit polling and early returns requires a deep knowledge of the voting trends of various precincts to be useful.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Why is Votecastr garbage?

Vice (I believe) was promoting them earlier. They seemed pretty reliable, if only because of the large sample sizes.

Its basically near real-time exit polling data. Even complete exit polling isn't useful for for predicting totals, just analyzing the breakdown of who voted. We've repeatedly seen this. So votecaster is using incomplete, unreliable data.