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[Fatalah]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

 

[excelsiorlef]

We are in the other timeline.

Wow....

I'm convinced he's sincere too.

Fuck me when Glen fucking Beck has more class then say John McCain or Marco Rubio or any of the other "moderates"

 

[shiba5]

I can't wait to see what Trump does. I'm convinced he cannot exist now without the praise and adulation of his rally crowds, he needs to be out there just riffing in front of people like that.

I'm waiting for his inevitable breakdown when he can't feed his narcissism. Just reading that NY Times article where he won't sleep because he needs constant reassurance from his toadies was delicious. Hair Mouse turned out to be a rather accurate metaphor for his mental state.

 

[Zackat]

Oh god just thinking of votecastr is making me nauseous. Only old fucks are going to vote all morning and hhhh

Don't watch Florida in the morning. Because it will be this BIG TIME.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Trump hates Obama campaigning so much, lololol.

 

[Joe Shlabotnik]

i'm pretty sure they're going to account for things like that.

They are specifically not according to the NYT article. Projections directly proportional to turnout results as they come in.

 

[Barzul]

Ben Jacobs ‏@Bencjacobs
Trump just said Haitians are Hispanic

LOL

 

[sazzy]

WOWZAPALOOZA


Bradd JaffyVerified account
‏@BraddJaffy Bradd Jaffy Retweeted Bradd Jaffy
Early/absentee voters nationally:

— 42% are DEM, 39% GOP

— 55% are women, 44% men

— 72% are age 45 or older

 

[excelsiorlef]

WOWZAPALOOZA


Bradd JaffyVerified account
‏@BraddJaffy Bradd Jaffy Retweeted Bradd Jaffy
Early/absentee voters nationally:

— 42% are DEM, 39% GOP

— 55% are women, 44% men

— 72% are age 45 or older

Mixed bag of numbers....

 

[jbug617]

The celebrity support that Hillary has must be eating him up inside.

 

[Toxi]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

It's hilarious how the Senate has such low approval ratings yet we're likely gonna end up with the same bullshit.

Ben Jacobs ‏@Bencjacobs
Trump just said Haitians are Hispanic

LOL

Hifrenchic.

 

[sazzy]

They are specifically not according to the NYT article. Projections directly proportional to turnout results as they come in.

wow that's gonna be weird then.

and lots of people are gonna go RIGGED sigh...

 

[Cybit]

Godcohn is running an article about how votecastr is going to nake people hurl tomorrow.

No, it's basically raw, real time unadjusted turnout reads with little context. So basically he said the obama team tried this in 2012 and it made elan kriegel throw up because it showed them losing Ohio all morning.

Considering how bad exit polling was in 2012 when compared to actual voter data accrued after the fact; this is going to probably send Democrats into complete mass panic. Exit polling last time vastly underrated the minority vote IIRC.

 

[Iolo]

I don't think votecastr is going to do shit to depress turnout.

It's not going to depress turnout, it's going to depress us.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Trump's stump speech is basically "man, we're going to kill all of these Syrian children, they will all die. We'll kill them in creative ways too. Maybe drowning, maybe gassing, bunker bombs for sure. They're going to die."

I can't wait until this fucker has to meet his utter humiliation.

 

[Zach]

Let's do this!

 

[Teggy]

Thank you again and I will be firebombing your house.

 

[Vahagn]

We are in the other timeline.

Link?

 

[Pixieking]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

I'd trust Upshot more than 538. And they're still above 50% that the Dems win (56% to be exact).

 

[Brawly Likes to Brawl]

How the fuck did Glenn Beck of all people get woke?

 

[ShadowSwordmaster]

Trump shitting on military leadership in Mosul again.

That is not surprising.

 

[Frank the Great]

I think all these Clinton +4 or +5 polls overestimate third party voters. Those folks are staying home. When they do, she will break 50% and her lead will inflate to +6 or +7.

If this happens then hopefully the Senate candidates also benefit.

 

[Poker Face]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

That was a fast switch. I feel like 538 has had dems over 50% forever

 

[Iolo]

wow that's gonna be weird then.

and lots of people are gonna go RIGGED sigh...

Remember when a contingent of die-hard Bernie supporters did this in the primary? Now imagine that times 1 million.

 

[Tal Shiar Agent]

How the fuck did Glenn Beck of all people get woke?

Even evil has standards.

 

[BadRNG]

Considering how bad exit polling was in 2012 when compared to actual voter data accrued after the fact; this is going to probably send Democrats into complete mass panic. Exit polling last time vastly underrated the minority vote IIRC.

Let's be realistic, no matter what initial results look like, Democrats will be in mass panic.

It's going to be a rough day.

 

[Teggy]

This is an actual PAC ad. Hillary wants to change the name of your NFL team!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-fba1clkDRE

 

[Hasphat'sAnts]

Oh god just thinking of votecastr is making me nauseous. Only old fucks are going to vote all morning and hhhh

I'm gonna line up at 5am tomorrow

 

[Barzul]

Link?

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/11/14/glenn-beck-tries-out-decency

 

[Kevinroc]

Trump hates Obama campaigning so much, lololol.

Gonna have to quote George Takei on this about a previous time Trump complained about Obama campaigning so much.

 

[Chezzymann]

So are CNN and Fox gonna be talking about votecastr doom and gloom tomorrow? How much coverage did it get last time?

 

[Touchdown]

Who let Royalan out of Pennsylvania? Found him in the streets of NYC this morning!

https://twitter.com/insanesportvidz/status/795471258850824193

 

[Grief.exe]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

I'd trust Upshot more than 538. And they're still above 50% that the Dems win (56% to be exact).

No point in bedwetting right now, but not taking the Senate would be a disaster.

There are 4-5 Senate seats that are on a razor edge. At the end of the day, these will likely lean Democratic due to Hillary's ground game and GOtV.

 

[Boke1879]

Let's be realistic, no matter what initial results look like, Democrats will be in mass panic.

It's going to be a rough day.

Pretty much.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

Well...this is interesting. Not sure if discussed yet, but GOP probability is surging for retaining the Senate .

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

I can't think of any polls that would cause this to happen,

 

[lyrick]

WOW the Dow is soaring now that they know Queen is clear from FBI. Wall Street knows the tea. She will be president.

Yep the DJIA, and The Dollar.
America is riding high on Hopium today!

 

[Finalizer]

We are in the other timeline.

where even am i right now

 

[finowns]

I like how Donald Trump asks the crowd 'Did I win the debate?' does he expect them to say no? lol.

 

[Poodlestrike]

How the fuck did Glenn Beck of all people get woke?

I really really hope he's sincere. I want to believe that anybody can turn themselves around, with honest introspection.

 

[Iolo]

So are CNN and Fox gonna be talking about votecastr doom and gloom tomorrow? How much coverage did it get last time?

Zero, it's new this year. A whole new set of data to misinterpret and obsess over. So basically cable news catnip

 

[kevin1025]

Can't wait to see what Kayleigh, Lord and the rest say tomorrow.

They won't have meltdowns, they'll play games and say that the movement is bigger than Clinton's but she had better turnout.

Then they'll take off their mics, walk off the set, and into a side hallway, lean against the wall and sob uncontrollably as another false idol has fallen.

 

[Pixieking]

No point in bedwetting right now, but not taking the Senate would be a disaster.

There are 4-5 Senate seats that are on a razor edge. At the end of the day, these will likely lean Democratic due to Hillary's ground game and GOtV.

Yeah, I'm thinking the Dems will get the senate majority... Go Kander!

 

[Boke1879]

I like how Donald Trump asks the crowd 'Did I win the debate?' does he expect them to say no? lol.

He needs that constant reassurance

 

[sazzy]

So are CNN and Fox gonna be talking about votecastr doom and gloom tomorrow? How much coverage did it get last time?

Apparently its only getting reported on Slate and Vice.

edit- from what I understand, newsrooms decision desks generally don't talk with other networks/papers... so as not to come under pressure to call results.

 

[finowns]

We are in the other timeline.

Glenn Beck has done some soul searching. I still think he's crazy.

 

[gkryhewy]

Zero, it's new this year. A whole new set of data to misinterpret and obsess over. So basically cable news catnip

But cable news always had all of this data, they just choose not to report it until polls close. That's the entire point of votecastr. I would not expect things to change (on TV) tomorrow.

 

[A Human Becoming]

WOWZAPALOOZA


Bradd JaffyVerified account
‏@BraddJaffy Bradd Jaffy Retweeted Bradd Jaffy
Early/absentee voters nationally:

— 42% are DEM, 39% GOP

— 55% are women, 44% men

— 72% are age 45 or older

Compared to final '12 exit polls (gender percentage adjusted by Upshot):

— 38% DEM, 32% GOP

— 54% women, 46% men

— 61% age 45 or older

So Tuesday should have younger and more unaffiliated voters. That shouldn't be a surprise to anyone.

EDIT: Whoops, used the 2008 percentage for age.

 

[finowns]

OMG. Trump had a really good moment with the fireman helmet.. and then he says it's dirty, it's been used so he's not going wear it.

 

[Slacker]

lol Trump rally: Firemen are getting shot at going to fires. It's a new thing people don't know about it yet.

 

[TheAbsolution]

So I've been watching old concession speeches of elections gone by. John McCain's stands out to me the most. I don't really like him very much but that was a classy speech by him. It recognized the significance of what had just occurred and highlighted the positives that Obama brought to the table. I fear what Trump is gonna say Tuesday night.
https://youtu.be/k4pqwje5bqc