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[kingkitty]

my decision desk concurs

there we have it

it is law

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

Why the fuck would Slate partner with vostecastr and do this? This seems like an incredibly stupid idea.

 

[Wolfgunblood Garopa]

Talking with some of my friends in Ohio, they either say Trump has no field office or it's basically a store where you can buy t-shirts, hats, and yard signs (staffed by a single person). Dems have huge main offices and various "offices" in people's homes where people are phonebanking and canvassing.

Granted I have no Trump supporting friends to let me know what their ground operation looks like there, but on the outside it doesn't look good.

I live on the border of West Park and Lakewood, and there are two campaign offices near my house. Dems are on top of things in Cuyahoga County, and it looks like Franklin County is in good shape as well.

 

[dramatis]

Hey PoliGAF, what are your guesses for when the election will be called? Some of you mentioned Florida could mean the results are known early. I have a 3yo I put to bed between 8-8:30pm central. I want to be in the chat, I'm assuming there will be a chat, when it happens. I guess I should check that too. Will there be a chat?

Election will probably be called when the polls close on the west coast.

There is a chat, but I'm too lazy to link you right now lol

 

[BadRNG]

Breaking News: Trump winning Michigan, Iowa, Minnesota, Ohio, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania

Spoiler

according to Trump himself at his rally right now

And then he's going to California and New York! And then he's going to Washington DC to take back the White House! PYAAHH

Compilation of Fox News' people's reaction to Hillary/JayZ/Beyonce: https://twitter.com/mmfa/status/795658741077213189

Thank you for this.

 

[Chezzymann]

If Hillary wins by 6% would that be enough to boost odds a lot for the Senate

 

[HylianTom]

according to my decision desk, Hillary will win by 7 percent.

I'm thinking 6-7%ish. The average from this morning seems to be around 4%, so I'm mentally skewing adjusting a bit for polling/machinery factors mentioned earlier.

At 6%, we take the Senate and we have some nice gains in the House (and whoever the the GOP Speaker is will find himself in a deliciously tight spot as far as actual governing is concerned).

---

And this bit from Buzzfeed's @RosieGray has me laughing:

Trump again on the warpath against Jay-Z and Beyonce in Sarasota today

 

[Vahagn]

I couldn't finish the video. They don't understand anything.

They understand everything. jay z and Beyonce are black. And if you're a black person, Fox News has free license to attack and belittle u all day. There's nothing else at all that 75% if their voters care about

 

[Barzul]

Sopan Deb ‏@SopanDeb
Trump is off prompter asking if Jay-Z and Beyoncé were talking or singing at their performance. We are a day before Election Day.

 

[Fragamemnon]

Hilary made some ground on 538. Now at 68% to 32%

getting herded by the flock. Sad!

 

[excelsiorlef]

John Harwood
‏@JohnJHarwood
Stevie Wonder on why Trump shouldn't be president: "if you had emergency, had to go to hospital, you wouldn’t want me driving, right?”


Posted? This had me rolling.

Omg lol

 

[RustyNails]

Hillary is going to win by 10%.

 

[Veritigo_X]

I live on the border of West Park and Lakewood, and there are two campaign offices near my house. Dems are on top of things in Cuyahoga County, and it looks like Franklin County is in good shape as well.

My anecdotes come from Hamilton and Butler counties. Still not super confident in the state, but GOTV efforts might make all the difference.

 

[whyamihere]

Out of ALL of the races tomorrow, the only one where I don't feel like you can actually make a case either way is NC Senate. Which is crazy.

 

[Boke1879]

Sopan Deb ‏@SopanDeb
Trump is off prompter asking if Jay-Z and Beyoncé were talking or singing at their performance. We are a day before Election Day.

He can't help himself

 

[Xamtheking]

Election will probably be called when the polls close on the west coast.

There is a chat, but I'm too lazy to link you right now lol

Give link please

 

[mo60]

Hillary is going to win by 10%.

Way to high.

 

[Hellsing321]

What is Votrcastr and how much should I be bedwetting over it?

 

[Joe Shlabotnik]

yessss five rallies of off-prompter trump pls

 

[Roland_Gunner]

If Hillary wins by 6% would that be enough to boost odds a lot for the Senate

It probably would, but we can't say for sure. The trend since 2002 is that the majority of close races break for one party and Clinton by 5 or more says that would be the Dems this time. But if you look back at '96 Bill Clinton won huge, with voters also voting Republican down ballot. Its possible that they would do the same here as a check on Hillary's power as President, since she's so unpopular.

 

[Lord Frieza]

Compilation of Fox News' people's reaction to Hillary/JayZ/Beyonce: https://twitter.com/mmfa/status/795658741077213189

Hillary: Church lady by day, Devil party political girl when the lights go out. I told you all!

 

[Zukkoyaki]

538 has Clinton's projected vote lead at 3.2% that puts it outside of the SYSTEMATIC POLLING ERROR

 

[HylianTom]

yessss five rallies of off-prompter trump pls

They can keep his twitter from him, but they can't control his mouth on stage. This is his only remaining outlet.

 

[Astaleview]

Got Hillary with 8% victory.

 

[Barzul]

We are in the other timeline.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

yessss five rallies of off-prompter trump pls

Is it bad that I'm hoping he calls Clinton the c-word or something? Dat last second controversy

 

[Kusagari]

Can't wait to see what Kayleigh, Lord and the rest say tomorrow.

 

[Rockin' Ranger]

I can't believe Republicans are still having trouble with the difference between molotov and mazel tov.

 

[Wolfgunblood Garopa]

I think he will do a speaking tour to get his money back from campaigning.

Even when he did The Apprentice, apparently during shooting he would spend an hour or two on set just riffing like he does at his rallies, and the cast and crew would give him an audience for his 'performances'. This is what he is really about, not so much politics or even money- it's this need to be perceived as the best.

 

[Boke1879]

They can keep his twitter from him, but they can't control his mouth on stage. This is his only remaining outlet.

And this is his last day to try and make a difference. I hope his unhinged ass goes for broke and says all sorts of shit.

 

[TheCrow]

I told my boss she'd win by 7 or 8%. I still believe.

 

[Carpe Carnim]

Here it is PoliGAF. After my 3rd cup of coffee and a healthy poop, i've come to deliver your predictions for tomorrow. Bask in my poopourri-scented awesomeness

Murphy (That Bum) and Kander pull this shit out. Believe!

 

[balladofwindfishes]

Hillary is going to win by 10%.

I'm going closer to 8-9, but 10 wouldn't be out of the question

 

[Abstrusity]

We are in the other timeline.

It only took a dozen mental breakdowns on TV and radio.

 

[Valhelm]

I bet $30 that Hill takes more than 300 EC votes. Can we still expect this to happen?

538 has her winning Florida and NC again, but by pretty narrow margins.

 

[Touchdown]

WOW the Dow is soaring now that they know Queen is clear from FBI. Wall Street knows the tea. She will be president.

 

[Chezzymann]

It probably would, but we can't say for sure. The trend since 2002 is that the majority of close races break for one party and Clinton says that would be the Dems this time. But if you look back at '96 Bill Clinton won huge, with voters also voting Republican down ballot. Its possible that they would do the same here as a check on Hillary's power as President, since she's so unpopular.

I'm not sure why more Republicans don't do that. Honestly, voting Hillary but going with republican congressmen would be the optimal move for a republican voter who hates trump. You get to stop Hillary from doing anything, and don't have trump in the white house as a permanent damage to the republican brand. And also whatever else crazy he'd do.

 

[sazzy]

david from predictwise is doing a webcast in 30 mins on facebook.

you don't need an account/login to view it.

https://www.facebook.com/PredictWise/

 

[Fladam]

Way to high.

I think the expression is "way to go".

 

[Y2Kev]

Oh god just thinking of votecastr is making me nauseous. Only old fucks are going to vote all morning and hhhh

 

[Earthstrike]

What is the senate outlook. The supreme court is insanely important.

 

[Barzul]

I bet $30 that Hill takes more than 300 EC votes. Can we still expect this to happen?

538 has her winning Florida and NC again, but by pretty narrow margins.

What do you use to bet on this? I'm curious to check out what the returns look like.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

I don't think votecastr is going to do shit to depress turnout.

 

[Cat]

Election will probably be called when the polls close on the west coast.

There is a chat, but I'm too lazy to link you right now lol

*looks up poll closure times on west coast* Okay, that's like 10pm my time, so I should be good.

Well, I hope and believe someone will provide a link tomorrow evening.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

I bet $30 that Hill takes more than 300 EC votes. Can we still expect this to happen?

538 has her winning Florida and NC again, but by pretty narrow margins.

Considering the early voting, I would say it's very likely.

This is the map as of now (with maybe Utah as a toss up between Trump and McMuffin).

 

[Roland_Gunner]

I bet $30 that Hill takes more than 300 EC votes. Can we still expect this to happen?

538 has her winning Florida and NC again, but by pretty narrow margins.

You should be good. Early voting in FL has been much stronger for Clinton than polling and that gets her over 300. NC and OH are still up in the air IMO.

 

[Zeeman]

I can't believe Republicans are still having trouble with the difference between molotov and mazel tov.

lmao this is amazing

 

[sazzy]

Oh god just thinking of votecastr is making me nauseous. Only old fucks are going to vote all morning and hhhh

i'm pretty sure they're going to account for things like that.

 

[Tal Shiar Agent]

I can't believe Republicans are still having trouble with the difference between molotov and mazel tov.

Its code for the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. That's their plan, the GOP is going to sign a NAP with Russia and split up Europe of the win.

 

[Slacker]

Trump shitting on military leadership in Mosul again.