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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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Seriously concerned about tomorrow. I live in a relatively conservative area in New York and people around me are very, very pro-Trump. I would not be surprised if there's some serious violence tomorrow.
 

Renji_11

Member
To get to the local Democratic Party HQ you have to turn at the corner where the Republican Party HQ shack is. It's literally a tiny crappy-looking house with a bunch of signs out front. It's only saving grace is it's right on a main street (Prince William Parkway) while the Dem HQ is back in a complex with doctors offices and such.

When I went to pick up and drop off my canvassing paperwork on Sunday there were at least 20 people out front of the Rep building waving signs. Meanwhile, people were constantly in and out of the Dem HQ picking up and dropping off their GOTV paperwork. I have a few guesses as to which of our methods is more effective.

Yeah that shack is pathetic looking lol. I didn't canvas this year 2 new kids but working more but would of found time if it looked close this year here.
 

Wiz

Member
jsg5btj9g2wx.jpg

Someone pushed publish a bit early lol
 

kevin1025

Banned
CNN says Hilary's campaign sent legal warning letter to networks carrying ads from Super PACs saying she's still under investigation.

When Kellyanne was asked about that yesterday on CNN, she shrugged and said, "we'll see." Which is the way the Trump campaign looks at everything: "that sounds like too much work."
 
I know it doesn't matter, but I still want Trump to lose to McMuffin in Utah.

Losing Utah sends a much bigger message to the GOP than losing the election overall. Utah is the most consistently conservative state (I think second to Oklahoma), so if the GOP fails there, that's a pretty solid reason for them to divorce themselves from the deplorables and try some actual minority outreach. There are a lot of conservative principles that appeal to Latinos and African-Americans but you will never get them onboard if your message is overt racism and xenophobia. And since they're a steadily-increasing segment of the population, you can't afford to continually lose them by 50+ points and expect to win elections.
 
Miami-Dade already has 760k votes....the total vote in Miami-Dade in 2012 was 889k.

Steve Schale thinks Miami-Dade will hit >1mn turnout. All of that, nearly all of that will be padding her margin.

Similar story for Broward.

Similar story for Orange County.

The raw R vote in Miami, Broward, Palm Beach and Orange County is basically static.

It's straight up murder happening in Florida right now.

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One more day of our orange national nightmare.
 
Losing Utah sends a much bigger message to the GOP than losing the election overall. Utah is the most consistently conservative state (I think second to Oklahoma), so if the GOP fails there, that's a pretty solid reason for them to divorce themselves from the deplorables and try some actual minority outreach. There are a lot of conservative principles that appeal to Latinos and African-Americans but you will never get them onboard if your message is overt racism and xenophobia. And since they're a steadily-increasing segment of the population, you can't afford to continually lose them by 50+ points and expect to win elections.

African Americans and Latinos might be too far gone for the GOP to regain any time soon unless they start proposing major legislation that appeals to them.

...but Democrats would likely support that same legislation or be the ones to propose it before the GOP, so they're kind of stuck.

They're making enemies right now that will be reliable voters for decades. I'm not even a minority and it will take a very long time and a lot of good will to ever have me trust another Republican for as long as I live.
 

Revolver

Member
I'm watching the Trump rally in NC right now and maybe I'm crazy but that sure looks like the wax figure lookin' protester that heckled Obama the other day standing behind Trump in the crowd.
 

jtb

Banned
Flipping Arizona > flipping Utah. Flipping Arizona gives moderate Rs cover to come to the table on immigration reform.
 

Miles X

Member
Should we be concerned about Hillary's campaign going to Michigan and Pennsylvania? Are internal Poll's showing it very close?

No early voting in Michigan (not sure about Penn) I guess they just don't want to take their eye off the ball. The polling being not so great in MI as well.
 
Should we be concerned about Hillary's campaign going to Michigan and Pennsylvania? Are internal Poll's showing it very close?

She has comfortable leads in both. She's going there because they don't have early voting and so there's only one shot.

No early voting in Michigan (not sure about Penn) I guess they just don't want to take their eye off the ball. The polling being not so great in MI as well.

By "not great" you mean "never less than 5 except for a couple mediocre polls"
 

Zukkoyaki

Member
Should we be concerned about Hillary's campaign going to Michigan and Pennsylvania? Are internal Poll's showing it very close?

They're planning their stops around when voting begins. Michigan and Pennsylvania have no early voting hence we're they're stumping there in the last couple of days. And polls have shown a very consistent 4-6 point for Clinton the entire cycle.
 
Should we be concerned about Hillary's campaign going to Michigan and Pennsylvania? Are internal Poll's showing it very close?

Maybe she just likes Wolverine State Brewery? Went there the last time I was in Michigan.

If I was running I'd campaign a lot in Santa Rosa area of CA to hang out at Lagunitas, Bear Republic and especially Russian River Brewery.
 

Grym

Member
As someone who still has a landline needed for work...wow the robocalls today...non-stop. Literally every 5 minutes. LOL
 

Crayons

Banned
God, its finally happening! Finally, the day I can laugh in Trump supporter's faces and drink their bitter tears like alcohol. I am so hyped for all the butthurt
 

kevin1025

Banned
does his crowd even know who Donna brazille is and what questions he's talking about??

That's the best part about most of the junk he says. He never gives context and just says things, and the crowd either cheers or boos based on how he says them.
 
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