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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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B

Breads

Banned
thepotatoman said:
I do hope the polls are underestimating Clinton, just because of how depressing it is to think that someone like Trump can outperform people like Romney and McCain, all because of an email server.
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And heightened xenophobia, racism, sexism, the alt-right movement, and the severe disadvantage from wikileaks and the FBI.
 
G

gutterboy44

Member
Lol, that football analogy doesn't work at all, because early votes still count as votes. Early voting isn't one game and election day voting another. His analogy only works in halves, but even then it is hilariously stupid. It is like Dems scoring 40-0 in the first half and then only scoring 20 in the second half. Oh no, not 60 to 21!
 
R

Rockin' Ranger

Member
sturgboski said:
I have a fake mustache and wig to vote at multiple locations.
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Rookie mistake. You don't need a disguise to vote at multiple locations, the disguise is so you can vote multiple time at the same location.

Vote with no disguise, get back in line with wig, get back in line with mustache, get back in like with mustache and wig.

You should be casting four times as many ballots are you'd planned.

gutterboy44 said:
Lol, that football analogy doesn't work at all, because early votes still count as votes. Early voting isn't one game and election day voting another. His analogy only works in halves, but even then it is hilariously stupid. It is like Dems scoring 40-0 in the first half and then only scoring 20 in the second half. Oh no, not 60 to 21!
Click to expand...

It works as well as Halloween mask polling and the ground game in his heart though.
 
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BlastProcessing

Member
EmCeeGramr said:
l1lZhaG.png


checkmate libs
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That feels like a tweet designed in a lab to make Nate Silver's head explode.
 
R

royalan

Member
I work 4 blocks from Independence Mall where the rally is happening, and it's fucking nuts out here. Like DNC level craziness on the streets.

Couldn't get out of work early so by the time i get there I'll be waaaay in the back. But fuck if I'm not going.
 
T

TS-08

Member
Simon Belmont said:
But in this analogy the cumulative score would be counted, and the dems would be up 61-20?
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Its weird that he mangled such an easy analogy. How easy would it be to say it's like a team going up 14-0 in the first quarter who eventually loses because they used up all their good plays in the first quarter, or something.
 
A

Already Torn

Banned
TS-08 said:
Its weird that he mangled such an easy analogy. How easy would it be to say it's like a team going up 14-0 in the first quarter who eventually loses because they used up all their good plays in the first quarter, or something.
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Maybe he didn't mess it up that much and is predicting a Hillary win.
 
B

bplewis24

Neo Member
Laevateinn said:
People like this are the worst.
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I don't think those are quite the worst (although I realize you're using that as a figure of speech). These single-issue evangelical voters are pawns and probably the most gullible. Also they might be the most hypocritical. This campaign cycle has truly exposed them as single-issue voters without question. In the past, they pretended to be "values voters" and rejected the idea that a single issue (abortion) was the only thing keeping them firmly in the R camp. But we quite possibly have the most despicable, immoral major-party nominee in our country's history, and many of the evangelicals are still in the R camp.

And they don't get a pass for voting for Rubio either. Any true 'values voter' would reject a politician who would ultimately support Trump, like Rubio has. The Republican party has forever lost the ability to call themselves the party of moral values.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
Considering 36% of the early votes didn't even vote in 2012 (at least one florida) its more like Dems were already leading 40-20 and then pulled 15 more points out of thin air.
 
R

Roland_Gunner

Member
Velcro Fly

Velcro Fly

Member
Also holy shit did Ana Navarro go in today again on Trump.

Reading her opinion piece on CNN got me fired up so much that I want to go vote right now.
 
U

User 463088

Banned
Okay, so I gotta talk up my mom again

She's been keeping track of how many hours she's done on the phone. (in a notebook, because she's like a 100)

As of 9:00pm tonight, she will have done 270 hours of phone banking in the primary and general. TWO HUNDRED AND SEVENTY HOURS.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
Roland_Gunner said:
CwsOpwCXcAAYYyS.jpg


I don't know enough to say but supposedly this county level breakdown of Wisconsin early votes is very good for Clinton / Feingold. Great to see the Dems gotv effort deliver outside of heavily Hispanic areas.

Edit: Beaten like Johnson lol
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Dane being so high is great. Feingold here we come.

Hope McCain isn't too far gone that he'd be opposed to writing a new campaign finance bill.
 
S

shiba5

Member
Darkgran said:
Hillary is the most corrupt candidate to ever run. If she is elected we are going to have a constitutional crisis on our hands.

EMAILS-Benghazi-saying she will do nothing for minorities.

IRAN-95 million out of work. He just said he warned us about Obama 8 years ago...
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1 in 3 Americans are out of work. Who knew?!
 
A

Angry Grimace

Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
TS-08 said:
Its weird that he mangled such an easy analogy. How easy would it be to say it's like a team going up 14-0 in the first quarter who eventually loses because they used up all their good plays in the first quarter, or something.
Click to expand...
The analogy doesn't make sense anyways. You can't "use up all your votes."
 
B

Barzul

Member
It's weird how CNN always tunes away from Hilary's speeches after awhile, but when Obama's speaking they pretty much let the whole thing roll. Or is it just me?
 
T

thebloo

Member
R

Revolver

Member
Loved Obama's line about the campaign taking away Trump's twitter and how if he can't be trusted with twitter how can he be trusted with the nuclear codes?
 
Z

ZealousD

Makes world leading predictions like "The sun will rise tomorrow"
shinra-bansho said:
Which polls are trendzing up?
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ABC/WashPo went T+1 into C+4
Fox News went C+2 into C+4
CBS News went C+3 into C+4

The NYTimes Upshot also showed Trump with improving chances over the past week and now it is leveling off in their model. As Silver's model is more reactive than Cohn's that makes sense.
 
N

nature boy

Member
Nick TimiraosVerified account
‏@NickTimiraos
When the AP called the election
2012: 11:38 pm, Tuesday
2008: 11 pm, Tuesday
2004: 11:19 am, Wednesday
2000: No call
1996: 9 pm, Tuesday
Click to expand...

Hmm, between 10-11?
 
N

Not

Banned
thepotatoman said:
I do hope the polls are underestimating Clinton, just because of how depressing it is to think that someone like Trump can outperform people like Romney and McCain, all because of an email server.
Click to expand...

It's not all because of an email server.

Sexism is a thing.
 
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