Bought into several decades of lies from the GOP, sexism, and a lot of the same people despise Obama.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black
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Bought into several decades of lies from the GOP, sexism, and a lot of the same people despise Obama.
US citizen living/working in India, I think?
nature boy
Member
FOR REALZ
Beer Monkey
Member
She's wrong on Ohio. ALL bars can serve until 2:30am except for a few that have an ancient 1am license that they haven't bothered to update. No bar is forced to stop serving at 2am.
I can drink until 4am at my neighborhood bar, just not legally.
Elise Foley of HuffPost has done a state-by-state chart of when polls and bars typically close in each state:
(Fun fact: I didn't know what "last call" was until I left Louisiana to go to college elsewhere..)
Texas is city by city and some counties (and cities) are "dry" or "moist".
Most *major* cities are 2 AM.
Additional suggestion: boil with potatoes so that they absorb all the nasty foot stuff. Discard potatoes afterward.
Racists like to get their points of view across in any way possible. It's their duty to try and ram their rhetoric down other people's throats. It probably gives them pride in doing it. So, naturally, internet comments sections are full of them, even the ones where you have to use a Facebook account to post.
FRAUD
Head of Vengarl
Banned
PoliGAF what's a good resource for researching the California propositions? I have my absentee ballot but I've been procrastinating because I have no idea which props are good and which are shit.
Elise Foley of HuffPost has done a state-by-state chart of when polls and bars typically close in each state:
(Fun fact: I didn't know what "last call" was until I left Louisiana to go to college elsewhere..)
Shit, North Carolina must be pretty damn amped to still fuck over the GOP after all their horseshit
Dudes
BrokenIcarus
Member
I know I should trust the polls, but I can't help but feel nervous. Can't wait for this to finally be over.
Wait there was a Virginia poll where she was done %3 or am I misunderstanding what is being said here?
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
North Muskegon.
Also, your username is great.
Looking at where Clinton is specifically, she's midway between GR and Muskegon, at GVSU. That could rally people from both those metro areas, although I would have expected triangulating GR/K-zoo/Battle Creek to be more effective.
She's already being corrected in the responses, lol..
I'm still amused at the whole wet/dry county thing - gives me flashbacks to when I was living in MS and had to drive to the county line to get to a package store.
HES THE IMPOSTOR
there is actually a pretty large and coordinated internet troll campaign out of russia doing a lot of that
combined with the real trolls that we have here in the states who are too stupid to know better they get around
Officerrob
Banned
That's MY President, I'm going to miss him so much
Yeah. Hampton had Trump winning VA last week.
nature boy
Member
Yes, same poll had her down 3 several days ago
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Happens every single election and it's ridiculous. Pollster releases bullshit numbers for attention over months then magically comes out with a number close to the polling average at the 11th hour because that's the one they get judged on.
When New York closes.
Randolph Freelander
Member
Memo to @NCGOP
Did they mail you a voter's guide (big brochure/handbook)? I pored over that thing over the last month; it's dog-eared.
Yes, there was.
Everybody laughed at it.
Trump used it as a reason to campaign in Virginia.
What the 538 national polling tracker shows is that Trump tightened the race by about 4 whole points from late october into the beginning of November. since then, the race has been pretty flat, and a poll drop today showed maybe just over a half a point gain in Clinton's favor from the day before. Now you can't really call this solid trend yet, since really we're looking at a reversal of movement within a span of basically a single day, but we already saw that the Trump rise trend that caused 538 to dip into the 60% range for Clinton did stop.
My point here is that there is some subtle movement in the polls that would cause a more volatile model like Silver's to show a slight upswing in Clinton's direction. RCP's polling average graph is showing a much more dramatic reversal today. I want to try and dispel the notion that Silver is necessarily manually poking his model back to Clinton as a response to criticism rather than his model just being his model.
I have no idea if Silver's model is perfect or not. Honestly all of the models are making unscientific assumptions to some extent. And even when models are wrong they can be wrong in very subtle ways. And we have no possible way to check for the correctness of polling and prediction models within the middle of a race because the entire population votes only once.
More than anything, you might see me "defend" 538 here more often than other posters is because 1) I don't think Nate being a bad pundit really has any bearing on whether or not his prediction model is good or not and 2) some people in PoliGAF seems very eager to dismiss polls or methodologies that do not favor Clinton. If anybody thinks they're immune from confirmation bias, they are dead wrong.
Xamtheking
Member
Plz
Speaking of Votecastr, what exactly is going to start showing up in 11 and a half hours when it launches?
Well yeah, that's kind of my point.
nature boy
Member
LMAO
Roland_Gunner
Member
Welp Comstock can kiss her house seat goodbye.
The more I think about it. I bet he takes it back tomorrow afternoon. He won't even wait for polls to close.
EmCeeGramr
Member
Head of Vengarl
Banned
The exit polls of the 50 old people from Florida that want to MAGA. Prepare for dampness.
Edit: You'd think a mod was more tech-savvy. We are truly on Hillary's forum.
There's this Samantha Bee spot you should watch
Ziltoidia 9
Member
So about that Discord chat. When does it start? Is it only for select people?
shinra-bansho
Member
I don't think Bronzer is poking his model back either. I just think it's crap as a forecasting tool.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Nope.
Nope. Indian citizen.
I think a few threads back I have said my story and why I am so into this election. I lived in US for 12 years, starting in Chicago in 2006. So very soft spot for Obama.
Volunteered for him in NC.
I still work for a US company from India, so also have a very big interest in what happens. Visit 2-3 times a year. Might move back too.
Don't underestimate the so many immigrants who aren't citizens that live or depend on US economy directly and how much the Presidential Election affects us.
And I mean my daiykos name was Obama Soldier. Can't have Trump win after that
Are Lizard people pro taco trucks?
the jeb electoral map cannot be beaten, thank you 2016 for giving me that meme at least
whoever took that image of jeb did the entire internet a favor seriously, like what was he actually doing in that picture if not powering up by receiving the transmitted power of all of america
whoever took that image of jeb did the entire internet a favor seriously, like what was he actually doing in that picture if not powering up by receiving the transmitted power of all of america
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