brainchild
Banned
The post you linked never mentioned anything about the media. Just said probable nominee.
I know, and he put it in "quotes". I just read between the lines.
I think you mean "error"; margin of error typically prefers to the construction of a confidence interval (or in Bayesian terms, a credibility interval). It reflects underlying uncertainty in the model or prediction. The same estimate can have wider or narrower margins of error depending on the level of confidence you want. It would be very nonstandard in statistical terms to use the term "margin of error" to refer to the magnitude of the error term in an empirical prediction.
I'm not about to get into a semantical debate about this.
Wiki said:Margin of error is often used in non-survey contexts to indicate observational error in reporting measured quantities.
Observational error (or measurement error) is the difference between a measured value of quantity and its true value.[1] In statistics, an error is not a "mistake". Variability is an inherent part of things being measured and of the measurement process.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observational_error
Your post was completely uncalled for. Not because you misunderstood me, but because you immediately assumed that I wasn't informed about what I was talking about just because you didn't understand what I meant. Then AFTER I clarified myself, you want to argue that my use of the terminology is 'nonstandard'.
It's just blatant condescension and, frankly, disappointing. But now that I've shared my feelings on the matter, I'm dropping this, full stop.
Feel free to respond but I have no desire to continue this conversation.