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PoliGAF 2016 |OT3| You know what they say about big Michigans - big Florida

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Makai

Member
Kasich considers reneging pledge to support nominee

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/03/27/john_kasich_wavering_on_trump_loyalty_pledge_.html

CHUCK TODD: And you still are committed to supporting Donald Trump, if he's the nominee?

JOHN KASICH: We're going to look at it every single day, and we'll see what happens. We've got a long way to go. And I don't want to project that he's going to be the nominee. I don't think he will be. And if he is, we'll be-- I'll have to-- I review it every day. That's all I can tell you--
 
I wish it was technocratic, maybe we would see some real drug scheduling, research, or general STEM focus/reform/whatever (other than science which is always a weird thing I do agree but automation may be the start of something).
I would describe it as largely technocratic, but also pragmatic in terms of electoral necessity. In terms of policy I'd say the left in general defers often to what the wonks say - and to me this is a good thing. At other times it defers to what the mob says. Which one wins out at times varies.

It's probably how I'd also describe Hillary Clinton really.

Also, I don't really know why there's this meta discussion on moderation going on.
giphy.gif
 

sphagnum

Banned
The Democratic Party is nowhere in the foreseeable future going to be a socialist party.

It's basically a technocratic party.

There seems a weird fantasy occasionally propagated on here that capitalist economies around the world are on the cusp of flipping or something. It's not happening any time soon. At best certain specific functions best controlled by the state will be.

While places like Norway, which has relied heavily on their state capitalist controlled oil production and the industries that support it, are probably going to need to undergo major reform.

I know it won't change. I didn't think it was necessary to actually say that since it's rather obvious. The best we can do is try to move it closer to social democracy.

Hopefully automation forces people to discuss actual socialism but more likely it won't.
 
I would describe it as largely technocratic, but also pragmatic in terms of electoral necessity. Which one wins out at times varies.

It's probably how I'd also describe Hillary Clinton really.

Also, I don't really know why there's this meta discussion on moderation going on.
giphy.gif

Well part of that electoral necessity is keeping a decent cash flow and not tipping in the boat (most people probably don't want/care that much about heavy pharma/FDA changes other than weed and it pays to keep the status quo) which is frustrating if understandable in fighting the big cartoonish battles versus the republicans.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that the wonks are pretty much never listened to in certain niche fields that are impactful but the public doesn't care too much about and it could cost them money (so basically good politicking).
 
Daniel B·;199379298 said:
Sure, Hillary is raising large sums, too, but from a far smaller pool of people, and I believe her individual contribution count is something like a fifth of Bernie's.

If you plotted the number of individual contributions Bernie's campaign has received, over time, I think you'd find it would be an excellent indicator of Bernie's momentum, with him connecting with ever greater numbers of the American people, and, I believe, receiving over a million contributions in this month alone, leading up to yesterday's caucuses, so, by the end of March (with the added positive coverage), 6.5 mill, easy?
it was a joke about how hillary had 6 million individual banks bankrolling her campaign ;)
 

Maledict

Member
I really don't understand Kasich. He wants to be the moderate, compromise, anti -Trump candidate yet won't come out and say he won't support Trump?

Does he honestly think if Trump doesn't get it he'll need his support? I really don't understand what's behind these decisions, other than outright cowardice at this point. If someone wants to be the anti-Trump they need to be the anti-Trump. If Kasich wants to win more states then he needs to do something to seperate him from Cruz.
 

Makai

Member
Cerium is the guy I was thinking about who was pretty much a bad poster on the Hillary side of the fence. Lots of shit slinging, victory dancing, coming to PoliGAF to talk about how well his trolling of OT was going, earnestly asserting that all Bernie supporters were racists.
Discussion of supporters has been extremely reductionist, especially for the Republicans. Pretty boring.
 
The problem is that these guys still would prefer Trump in the White House over Hilary despite how much they hate him so if he is the nominee they will talk about how terrible Hilary is without explicitly campaigning for trump
 

pigeon

Banned
Discussion of supporters has been extremely reductionist, especially for the Republicans. Pretty boring.

In fairness, if you are willing to support Donald Trump or a party that supports Donald Trump, you are kind of racist. I don't feel bad about that claim at all.
 

Makai

Member
I really don't understand Kasich. He wants to be the moderate, compromise, anti -Trump candidate yet won't come out and say he won't support Trump?

Does he honestly think if Trump doesn't get it he'll need his support? I really don't understand what's behind these decisions, other than outright cowardice at this point. If someone wants to be the anti-Trump they need to be the anti-Trump. If Kasich wants to win more states then he needs to do something to seperate him from Cruz.
I think Kasich is hedging for VP if he doesn't get the nomination.
 
I hadn't checked for a while, so I thought I'd take a gander at OpenSecrets.

Google and the University of California are giving hundreds of thousands of dollars to Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. What are they really getting for it? You don't give something for free.

Big Tech and Big University buying the election.
 
Google and the University of California are giving hundreds of thousands of dollars to Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. What are they really getting for it? You don't give something for free.

Big Tech and Big University buying the election.

MORE GRANT MONEY PLEASE (jk it will all go to bioinformatics and will start gataca thanks to google).
 
These guys are just astonishingly gutless.

Why they don't just say, "Fuck, when I made that promise I didn't know that Donald was going to play cutesy with the KKK! Hell no I'm not supporting him!" is beyond me. Trump voters are already not going to vote for you if you're the nominee, because you'll get it by stealing it from "their guy", so why not try and look good for your own supporters and look out for the party's future by taking a stand against the dumbass demagogue? Except for Lyin' Ted Cruz, I can't imagine any GOPer is unaware of the drubbing they're going to get at the ballot box this year, so why not find your testicles and start fixing what Donald broke?
 

royalan

Member
The problem is that these guys still would prefer Trump in the White House over Hilary despite how much they hate him so if he is the nominee they will talk about how terrible Hilary is without explicitly campaigning for trump

Yep, and it's why they've made their beds.

Also why Trump has this air of dominance about him. His competitors are too afraid to attack him, or can't attack him in a way that would actually bring him down. Won't be a problem in the general.
 

Makai

Member
In fairness, if you are willing to support Donald Trump or a party that supports Donald Trump, you are kind of racist. I don't feel bad about that claim at all.
You have no choice if you are a conservative and your choices are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. You have to choose between a major tax cut under Trump or a slight increase under Hillary. Maybe your top issue is expanded gun ownership rights or limiting abortion access. Virtually no Republican wants the Supreme Court to lean left. You have to vote Trump.
 

pigeon

Banned
You have no choice if you are a conservative and your choices are Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. You have to choose between a major tax cut under Trump or a slight increase under Hillary. Maybe your top issue is expanded gun ownership rights or limiting abortion access. Virtually no Republican wants the Supreme Court to lean left. You have to vote Trump.

This is another way of saying "a candidate who is an overt racist is preferable to me than a slight tax increase/a limitation on gun rights/more abortions/losing the Supreme Court."

Which is fine, but yes, if that is what you think then you are explicitly accepting that electing an overt racist to the highest office in America is okay with you if you get your other policy objective.

I think my analysis is solid, frankly, but if somebody wants to argue with me that prioritizing stopping gun control over racism doesn't make you a racist, they are free to do so!
 

Gotchaye

Member
Yep, and it's why they've made their beds.

Also why Trump has this air of dominance about him. His competitors are too afraid to attack him, or can't attack him in a way that would actually bring him down. Won't be a problem in the general.

It renders all of their attacks pretty toothless. No one's going to take you seriously when you say "Trump is a liar, a crook, a terrible businessman, a racist, and a fascist. And the worst thing? If we nominate him he'll lose to Hillary Clinton." Romney was bad on this. Rubio was especially terrible in casting Trump's racism as primarily an electability issue.

Disaffected conservatives are frustrated with the establishment in large part because they feel that the party takes their votes for granted. This sort of thing is a signal that the party will cave if they insist on their way.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Yep, and it's why they've made their beds.

Also why Trump has this air of dominance about him. His competitors are too afraid to attack him, or can't attack him in a way that would actually bring him down. Won't be a problem in the general.

That's cause they refuse to attack him from the left on anything. It's kinda similar to Hillary refusing to attack Sanders from the right very often, but far worse since it's about policy and racism.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
I can't believe how quiet Trump has been this week. I feel like he's barely running. Dude needs to be doing a rally a day in Wisconsin.

I'm fine with people "lobbying" superdelegates, though I think it is a waste of time as it runs counter to their design. They're probably not meant to be used to exert party control (if so, why not make it a larger %?). I think they're there to help a winning candidate get over the finish line faster so as to cut short the primary.

If they were supposed to vote with their states, they'd just be pledged delegates assigned with the state delegates. I mean, duh. If they were supposed to listen to people, they'd just do that.

I think the concept is neat. The republicans, believe it or not, have a similar concept...their states are just WTA. The superdelegates are the democratic version of WTA.
 
I can't believe how quiet Trump has been this week. I feel like he's barely running. Dude needs to be doing a rally a day in Wisconsin.

I'm fine with people "lobbying" superdelegates, though I think it is a waste of time as it runs counter to their design. They're probably not meant to be used to exert party control (if so, why not make it a larger %?). I think they're there to help a winning candidate get over the finish line faster so as to cut short the primary.

If they were supposed to vote with their states, they'd just be pledged delegates assigned with the state delegates. I mean, duh. If they were supposed to listen to people, they'd just do that.

I think the concept is neat. The republicans, believe it or not, have a similar concept...their states are just WTA. The superdelegates are the democratic version of WTA.
Well, that's basically what these people are asking to happen. Pledge the supers to the majority delegate winner of the state in WTA fashion.
 
I also think, and maybe this is naivety, that Super Delegates force the person running to actually seek out endorsements and coalitions. Since a President is not a King/Queen, they have to have support, at the very least, within their own party. A President who has to fight against their own caucus is absolutely useless. Super delegates force a candidate to build bridges, especially among parts of the party they may have no experience. (A governor who never served in Congress may be woefully uninformed, as could a Senator who has no executive experience, until s/he sees things through the eyes of a governor.) This is probably more of a latent function, or a byproduct of exerting some form of party control, but it's still a possible positive.
 
wasn't that the only thing that team could do for a few seasons?

Until we got rid of Dawson, yes. God, the media in Cleveland was salty as fuck over that. I think Jimmy Donavan cried on television. (He didn't...)

Well, that's basically what these people are asking to happen. Pledge the supers to the majority delegate winner of the state in WTA fashion.

But, again, that's not their function. A debate about a winner take all prize for states? Sure. That's cool. However, that's not their purpose at this time.
 

Makai

Member
This is another way of saying "a candidate who is an overt racist is preferable to me than a slight tax increase/a limitation on gun rights/more abortions/losing the Supreme Court."

Which is fine, but yes, if that is what you think then you are explicitly accepting that electing an overt racist to the highest office in America is okay with you if you get your other policy objective.

I think my analysis is solid, frankly, but if somebody wants to argue with me that prioritizing stopping gun control over racism doesn't make you a racist, they are free to do so!
I'm sure you've thought about it so I won't make a hypothetical. But what are they supposed to do, willfully drop out of the electorate? Most of these people didn't even participate in the primary.
 

royalan

Member
I also think, and maybe this is naivety, that Super Delegates force the person running to actually seek out endorsements and coalitions. Since a President is not a King/Queen, they have to have support, at the very least, within their own party. A President who has to fight against their own caucus is absolutely useless. Super delegates force a candidate to build bridges, especially among parts of the party they may have no experience. (A governor who never served in Congress may be woefully uninformed, as could a Senator who has no executive experience, until s/he sees things through the eyes of a governor.) This is probably more of a latent function, or a byproduct of exerting some form of party control, but it's still a possible positive.

Very true.

People may not agree with their existence, but when you understand who superdelegates are and what they are designed to do, it makes perfect sense why Hillary has the lion's share of them...outside of the obvious Establishment conspiracy, of course.

Also, can Chrome stop putting the damn squiggly line under "superdelegate"? That's how it's spelled, goddamnit!
 
I also think, and maybe this is naivety, that Super Delegates force the person running to actually seek out endorsements and coalitions. Since a President is not a King/Queen, they have to have support, at the very least, within their own party. A President who has to fight against their own caucus is absolutely useless. Super delegates force a candidate to build bridges, especially among parts of the party they may have no experience. (A governor who never served in Congress may be woefully uninformed, as could a Senator who has no executive experience, until s/he sees things through the eyes of a governor.) This is probably more of a latent function, or a byproduct of exerting some form of party control, but it's still a possible positive.

It's been discussed before sanders not trying to court them before it became a necessity (I don't even know what he is doing now to court them) was not a great look for him. We can talk about how little the DNC has done to help Bernie but he has done nothing to earn a place as the head of the party. It's kind of emblematic of the problems he's had in reaching out to more than his base and it only makes sense if you Sanders thought he had no shot at this from the beginning.
 

Gotchaye

Member
I'm sure you've thought about it so I won't make a hypothetical. But what are they supposed to do, willfully drop out of the electorate? Most of these people didn't even participate in the primary.

It's not that voting for Trump over Clinton makes you a racist. It's that preferring Trump to Clinton makes you a racist. The idea is that non-racists would just not have this problem of having to hold their noses and vote for an overt racist in 2016 because their priorities would be such that a candidate being an overt racist is a lot worse than a candidate being a liberal.
 
I am shocked no one has got him yet, especially him arresting people and snatching their shit when the mood strikes him.

Perhaps he's still popular with the common people. Or he is just still supported by the people who do the arresting and the shit snatching. Those KGB connections could still be good.
 

Armaros

Member
It's been discussed before sanders not trying to court them before it became a necessity (I don't even know what he is doing now to court them) was not a great look for him. We can talk about how little the DNC has done to help Bernie but he has done nothing to earn a place as the head of the party.

It would be different if he had a host of people he wanted to tap to run in primaries and get people in congress with similar ideology as him but no, he keeps just talking about a revolution and rising up, well the tea party showed us how to rise up, hate their ideaology or not, they got people in office and forced people to listen to them.

Trying to get people congressional office after you are already sworn in and the presidential election tide is over is folly. People are going to expect things to get done based on that rhetoric.

Is the revolution just going to wait 2 years until mid terms?
 

Makai

Member
It's not that voting for Trump over Clinton makes you a racist. It's that preferring Trump to Clinton makes you a racist. The idea is that non-racists would just not have this problem of having to hold their noses and vote for an overt racist in 2016 because their priorities would be such that a candidate being an overt racist is a lot worse than a candidate being a liberal.
If I'm following pigeon's reasoning, if the nonracist votes Trump, he has prioritized ______ over racism and is therefore a racist. Why would someone vote for Trump if they prefer Clinton?
 
Most of the outspoken Bernie supporters get banned for being terrible posters (except for Crab who got banned for having Australian table manners, God rest his soul).

Melkr is a pretty good poster except for his tendency to run away from ha problems*.



* No, I do not plan to come up with new material any time soon. Why do you ask?

*ahem*
 

Gotchaye

Member
If I'm following pigeon's reasoning, if the nonracist votes Trump, he has prioritized ______ over racism and is therefore a racist. Why would someone vote for Trump if they prefer Clinton?

But the idea here is that the problem is the preference for Trump, and pigeon is saying that voting for Trump shows that someone is a racist.

Like, obviously if I vote for the candidate promising me an extra $5 in my tax refund but who's also promising to round up all the brown people and put them in camps, that's not reasonably understood as me having a minimally decent amount of empathy for my fellow human beings, not being a racist, and just really really wanting that $5. The lack of empathy that requires is racist - valuing $5 over that kind of suffering is a character flaw.

What people who prefer Trump should do is stop preferring Trump. It is morally wrong to prefer Trump.
 

pigeon

Banned
It's not that voting for Trump over Clinton makes you a racist. It's that preferring Trump to Clinton makes you a racist. The idea is that non-racists would just not have this problem of having to hold their noses and vote for an overt racist in 2016 because their priorities would be such that a candidate being an overt racist is a lot worse than a candidate being a liberal.

Yeah, this is pretty much it.

And to be clear, this, ultimately, is the catastrophe that Trump poses for the GOP, because (I believe) most Americans aren't actually overt racists. Even most white Americans aren't overt racists! Lots of them have been okay up til now saying that their policy preference was more important than a policy preference that just happens to be worse for minorities -- that's the point of the Southern strategy.

But when it comes to actively voting for a guy who has said the stuff Donald Trump has said, people are going to blink. My Republican father-in-law got upset with me the other day for even bringing up the election. He said it was the first time in many election years he wasn't planning to vote. Admittedly it's pretty early in the year, but honestly this is before the convention shenanigans, before oppo, before any debates with Hillary. It's only going to get worse from here!

The GOP knows this. This is why all the talk of disenfranchising Trump, or running a third-party candidate, or starting a dumb hashtag, is popping up. It's not about winning the White House -- it's not like Ted Cruz can win the White House. It's about avoiding an election in which every single GOP politician has to decide whether to be permanently linked with the idea that Mexican immigrants are mostly rapists and murderers, or whether to run against their own party's nominee. Because neither of those options are great! But one is a lot worse than the other.

Trump isn't just losing the election. Trump is tainting downticket races with white supremacy and covering the whole party in an ideology they've been keeping under wraps for fifty years -- an ideology that the average American staunchly rejects.

What people who prefer Trump should do is stop preferring Trump. It is morally wrong to prefer Trump.

Yeah. This really is my stance. It's not necessarily morally wrong to prefer Romney -- maybe you're, like, dumb, I dunno. It's not morally wrong to prefer George W. (well it's morally wrong NOW but at the time, fine). But given Trump's statements and positions (as well as the fact that come on, he would be the worst president in history), I think it is a moral failing to prefer Donald Trump to basically anybody.
 

Cybit

FGC Waterboy
Yeah, this is pretty much it.

And to be clear, this, ultimately, is the catastrophe that Trump poses for the GOP, because (I believe) most Americans aren't actually overt racists. Even most white Americans aren't overt racists! Lots of them have been okay up til now saying that their policy preference was more important than a policy preference that just happens to be worse for minorities -- that's the point of the Southern strategy.

But when it comes to actively voting for a guy who has said the stuff Donald Trump has said, people are going to blink. My Republican father-in-law got upset with me the other day for even bringing up the election. He said it was the first time in many election years he wasn't planning to vote. Admittedly it's pretty early in the year, but honestly this is before the convention shenanigans, before oppo, before any debates with Hillary. It's only going to get worse from here!

The GOP knows this. This is why all the talk of disenfranchising Trump, or running a third-party candidate, or starting a dumb hashtag, is popping up. It's not about winning the White House -- it's not like Ted Cruz can win the White House. It's about avoiding an election in which every single GOP politician has to decide whether to be permanently linked with the idea that Mexican immigrants are mostly rapists and murderers, or whether to run against their own party's nominee. Because neither of those options are great! But one is a lot worse than the other.

Trump isn't just losing the election. Trump is tainting downticket races with white supremacy and covering the whole party in an ideology they've been keeping under wraps for fifty years -- an ideology that the average American staunchly rejects.


Funny enough - out of the 4 Trump supporters I know off the top of my head, only one is a straight white male.

1 Straight White Man
1 White (Atheist) Lesbian Woman
1 Black (Atheist) Lesbian Woman (married to the above)
1 Iraqi (Muslim) Straight Male

I'm curious as to whether anyone can guess why the bottom 3 would vote for Trump over Clinton (hint: unrelated to race). :D
 
Keep Bill busy so he doesn't get the wandering eye again.

There's a Slick Willy and Bams TV show here somewhere.

So, you mean to say that every time the goal posts are shifted, she keeps kicking the ball through the uprights?

Also, did I mangle that metaphor too much?

Also, also, love your new avatar, Royalan. QUEEN DONNA

You nailed the metaphor.

You didn't mangle the metaphor at all...but as a Cleveland fan, what is this "kicking the ball through the uprights" thing? Is that one of those new fangled ways to score points that I read about online?

The more egregious thing here is that you're a Cleveland fan that knows about scoring points. Who told?
 

Holmes

Member
Funny enough - out of the 4 Trump supporters I know off the top of my head, only one is a straight white male.

1 Straight White Man
1 White (Atheist) Lesbian Woman
1 Black (Atheist) Lesbian Woman (married to the above)
1 Iraqi (Muslim) Straight Male

I'm curious as to whether anyone can guess why the bottom 3 would vote for Trump over Clinton (hint: unrelated to race). :D
Income.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Funny enough - out of the 4 Trump supporters I know off the top of my head, only one is a straight white male.

1 Straight White Man
1 White (Atheist) Lesbian Woman
1 Black (Atheist) Lesbian Woman (married to the above)
1 Iraqi (Muslim) Straight Male

I'm curious as to whether anyone can guess why the bottom 3 would vote for Trump over Clinton (hint: unrelated to race). :D

Sex?
 
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