BoogieWoogie
Banned
How is this idiot not sub 30 yet
Because nothing TRULY bad has happened yet and the economy is still good.
How is this idiot not sub 30 yet
So the freedom caucus will vote for the wall, but the less crazy republicans wont?
So the freedom caucus will vote for the wall, but the less crazy republicans wont?
Now there's an actual natural disaster happening. He's going to fuck this one up hard.
It's very hard to get below 30, especially with current levels of polarization. It took most of Dubya's presidency to do it, and I believe the last to get there before was Nixon.
Just goes to show that the hand-wringing over his small rally effect post-Charlottesville was kind of dumb.Now at four days with 60 disapprove or above in August compared to one before August.
It's very hard to get below 30, especially with current levels of polarization. It took most of Dubya's presidency to do it, and I believe the last to get there before was Nixon.
Although predictions of a floor for Trump's approval ratings haven't matched the evidence all that well so far, there are sound theoretical reasons to think that his numbers will be increasingly resistant to downward movement. I've already mentioned the most important of these: Partisanship is a strong force in American politics and will protect Trump to some extent. And Trump's ratings are already fairly low to begin with, with roughly three Americans disapproving of Trump's performance for every two who approve of him — so he doesn't have all that many more voters to turn off.
Still, if you're looking to estimate when Trump really might hit a floor, somewhere in the low-to-mid-20s is a pretty good guess. There's quite a bit of evidence that points in this direction:
- The lowest approval ratings achieved by past presidents are in the low-to-mid-20s. Richard Nixon was at 25 percent at the time of his resignation, for instance, while George W. Bush and Harry Truman bottomed out at 24 percent and 22 percent, respectively, late in their second terms.
- Trump won 23 percent of everyone, regardless of party, who cast a vote in the Democratic or Republican primaries last year. Those are the people who were truly with him from the start.
- A recent Monmouth University poll found that 61 percent of Trump supporters said they'd never change their minds about him. That works out to about 23 percent of the country overall.4
- About 20 percent of voters say they strongly approve of Trump.
I wouldn't be surprised if he got below 30 eventually, but it'll probably after botching a crisis.Well he did hit lows in record time, it's possible
What happens in Texas will be the fault of many sides. Many sides. And then his dumbass followers will say that it's as much the Antifa and BLM's fault as it is the hurricane's.Can't wait for Trump to call the hurricane a liberal conspiracy or something as Texans are watching their houses be destroyed
Botching the Texas hurricane response and shutting down the government in September might do it.I wouldn't be surprised if he got below 30 eventually, but it'll probably after botching a crisis.
Got to ask my question to Ryan, he gave a very libertarian-y / vague answer about whether we will end up in a vicious cycle of removing deductions / lowering rates and then adding more deductions back in, etc etc.
Do you think his wife has to scream quotes from The Fountainhead in bed so he can finish
Any other Republican candidate would still be in the 50s right now.He hasn't had an overall average of 40 since May and it's on a consistent downward trend.
The numbers are horrific considering nothing has really happened.
A man does not depend on others. He provides for himself with the sweat of his brow and the strength of his hands.
What's been most striking has been the consistency of the trend. Once you factor out the day to day noise there haven't really been sharp drops or any upward movement to speak of, just steady decline.Steady decline is pretty steady so far though.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/7-rules-for-reading-trumps-approval-rating/
I think if he does okay and handles the hurricane, it'll be forgotten very quickly. The nature of his presidency is that there's always some new crazy bullshit.The sad part is this is lose/lose for us. Either he botches this and thousands have their lives ruined, or he does an okay job and handles it and he "becomes president on this day" or whatever and suddenly the last 8 months don't matter.
I hope everyone is alright... must be doubly scary to have to deal with this while worrying the president won't have your back or will make your problems worse
Do you think his wife has to scream quotes from The Fountainhead in bed so he can finish
Talk about Freudian slip ...
Holy shit.
There's an old black proverb. It goes "Told you so"
Why does anyone think Trump would shut down the government, he's a coward who never follows through on threats.
Do you think his wife has to scream quotes from The Fountainhead in bed so he can finish
A man does not depend on others. He provides for himself with the sweat of his brow and the strength of his hands.
Why does anyone think Trump would shut down the government, he's a coward who never follows through on threats.
Freudian slips are subconscious accidents. That was neither subconcious nor an accident. You can tell that's something he has said dozens of times.
Yeah, he didn't veto the Russia sanctions bill. He'll sign what they send him.
Initial Decision Desk model has Dems picking up 12 net seats. What's striking, of course, is how many of the GOP held seats are juuuust under 50% odds.
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq/status/900777155574980608
Kirsten Gillibrand @SenGillibrand
To all trans men and women serving bravely in the military: I plan to introduce legislation to fight back. We'll keep raising our voices.
Why does anyone think Trump would shut down the government, he's a coward who never follows through on threats.
Good to hear.Initial Decision Desk model has Dems picking up 12 net seats. What's striking, of course, is how many of the GOP held seats are juuuust under 50% odds.
https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq/status/900777155574980608
This would easily give Dems majority in the House correct?
Democrats: 206
Republicans: 229 (retain House majority)
Democrats are forecast to pick up 13 seats on November 6, 2018. Republicans will gain 1 seat, for a net gain of 12 seats for the Democratic Party.