typhonsentra
Banned
Rasmussen's all tied up.
CharlieDigital said:I think what they're doing is engineering a trap.
Look, if they call her out now in the press, any mistakes she makes or falsehoods she claims is meaningless because no one is really paying attention. Aside from that, calling her out now on specific policy issues is fruitless because they'll have time to prepare whatever answer they want. You can't have a proxy debate through the press because it doesn't play to the strengths of Obama and Biden (deep knowledge of the topics) since it neutralizes the on-your-toes thinking that is required.
They're trying not to reveal their hand too early. No point in grilling her through the press; she'll be exposed when the debates come around. Aside from that, as the three presidential debates take place, it'll further emphasize to the American public who the actual presidential candidates are and further remove her from the spotlight. What's been kind of lost in all this is McCain and I think that when the presidential debates come around, it'll put him front and center again and it will give them the perfect opportunity to throw the knockout punch.
That's the thing. The republicans HAVE no real grasp on the issues, which iswhy they're seeking to avoid it. Obama says he wants to make this election about the issues... And so he should make it about the issues by calling their bluff. Why give Palin time to prepare in Alaska instead of using this opportunity to say, "Why isn't Palin speaking with the American public about her opinion on the issues so that the American public can know her better?" Obama has to be crafty in his criticisms that punish the republicans for avoiding talking about policy, which is their weakness... and now is the perfect time to do it in my estimation.Huzah said:That won't work. You have to wait for her to mess up first to do that or the McCain campaign will just stump/put out an add that says "You're wrong this is how she feels" and she can just say whatever the McCain talking point for that is.
Well they certainly didn't bother to grill her on fannie and freddie, so ask about those at the debates plz.Huzah said:I agree, the VP debates is the time for the DEM to do true damage to Palin but they can't just go in underestimating her and believe McCain's campaign haven't been grilling her on the issues ever since she's been nominated.
kevm3 said:That's the thing. The republicans HAVE no real grasp on the issues, which iswhy they're seeking to avoid it. Obama says he wants to make this election about the issues... And so he should make it about the issues by calling their bluff. Why give Palin time to prepare in Alaska instead of using this opportunity to say, "Why isn't Palin speaking with the American public about her opinion on the issues so that the American public can know her better?" Obama has to be crafty in his criticisms that punish the republicans for avoiding talking about policy, which is their weakness... and now is the perfect time to do it in my estimation.
Y2Kev said:I'll have photos soon. But I didn't get into the event. I got into the lottery but they only had 100 tickets for 15,000 applicants.
But Obama is a democrat; not a Republican.Bulla564 said:How bad would it be for the Obama campaign to run ads on how McCain cheated on his wife, abandoned her after she had suffered through an accident and waited for him. I would equate the US with her wife, and how McCain would only abandon us and cheat with go to bed with the lobbyists that run his campaign.
would that be bad?
Y2Kev said:Well they certainly didn't bother to grill her on fannie and freddie, so ask about those at the debates plz.
Bulla564 said:How bad would it be for the Obama campaign to run ads on how McCain cheated on his wife, abandoned her after she had suffered through an accident and waited for him. I would equate the US with her wife, and how McCain would only abandon us and cheat with go to bed with the lobbyists that run his campaign.
would that be bad?
Bulla564 said:How bad would it be for the Obama campaign to run ads on how McCain cheated on his wife, abandoned her after she had suffered through an accident and waited for him. I would equate the US with her wife, and how McCain would only abandon us and cheat with go to bed with the lobbyists that run his campaign.
would that be bad?
Huzah said:I agree, the VP debates is the time for the DEM to do true damage to Palin but they can't just go in underestimating her and believe McCain's campaign haven't been grilling her on the issues ever since she's been nominated.
I agree that that's the case. There's not enough people that really care about the issues alone, so Obama shouldn't focus only on the issues while the pubs are free to launch personal attack after personal attack, because it's a losing proposition. I'm saying for Obama to attack and push itback to the issues so that the Republicans are in an arena where their incompetence is showing. They are basically stealing Obama's campaign about change. I'm saying Obama needs to make them qualify those statements, and punish them when they fail to. They've never been strong on specifics. Why isn't Obama calling them on it Palin has no real grasp on the issues. It's time to make her put that on display, instead of waiting for the GOP to drill some decent retorts to issues. Why give her a month to shore up on the issues?Huzah said:I think you're overestimating the number of people who actually like Obama's policies. Don't take people's disgust of GOP incompetance to mean they suddenly favor leftist DEM policies.
Bulla564 said:How bad would it be for the Obama campaign to run ads on how McCain cheated on his wife, abandoned her after she had suffered through an accident and waited for him. I would equate the US with her wife, and how McCain would only abandon us and cheat with go to bed with the lobbyists that run his campaign.
Jason's Ultimatum said:
Obama 273 McCain 238 Ties 27
Huzah said:All I have to say is I dare the DEM party to run that ad, I dare them.
Xisiqomelir said:Washington, South Dakota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Florida and Nevada aren't ties.
Jason's Ultimatum said:
Obama 273 McCain 238 Ties 27
That is fairly normal for elections due to the high amount of hispanics. It always goes red but not really THAT red. 2000 and 2004 are the exception due it being Bush's home state.Door2Dawn said:lol @ Texas being red leaning.
CharlieDigital said:At this stage of the election, the only things that are going to change people's minds is direct presentation of facts and refutation of lies. The small venues are intentional. They're faster to set up and easier to organize, leaving more time to work on the support network that matters: the party volunteers and those who are canvasing, trying to get the message out there.
CharlieDigital said:I also want to point out that people who want Obama to run more ads or attack McCain/Palin through ads are out of touch here.
No ad is going to sway anyone, not even independents sitting on the fence and certainly not die-hard McCain/Palin voters. No attack ad is going to have that type of effect. This strategy is a flat out waste of money at this point because attack ads are not going to sway a single person.
At this stage of the election, the only things that are going to change people's minds is direct presentation of facts and refutation of lies. The small venues are intentional. They're faster to set up and easier to organize, leaving more time to work on the support network that matters: the party volunteers and those who are canvasing, trying to get the message out there.
gkrykewy said:Very interesting and nuanced essay: "What Makes People Vote Republican":
http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/haidt08/haidt08_index.html
Worthwhile reading from any viewpoint IMO.
CharlieDigital said:I also want to point out that people who want Obama to run more ads or attack McCain/Palin through ads are out of touch here.
No ad is going to sway anyone, not even independents sitting on the fence and certainly not die-hard McCain/Palin voters. No attack ad is going to have that type of effect. This strategy is a flat out waste of money at this point because attack ads are not going to sway a single person.
At this stage of the election, the only things that are going to change people's minds is direct presentation of facts and refutation of lies. The small venues are intentional. They're faster to set up and easier to organize, leaving more time to work on the support network that matters: the party volunteers and those who are canvasing, trying to get the message out there.
Jason's Ultimatum said:
Obama 273 McCain 238 Ties 27
AFAIK, they have no methodology except to apply the most recent poll. So the latest poll says McCain is up, even though most polls right before that say Obama is up.Crisis said:Where are they getting the stuff for New Mexico? Everything I've seen on that one leads me to believe it's leaning Obama.
Huzah said:http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...is_key_but_big_government_is_not_the_solution
Or maybe alot of American want the gov to just leave them alone and don't buy into wealth redistribution and class warfare.
Yes I know the GOP has recently totally sucked on that aspect as well.
The miracle of turning individuals into groups can only be performed by groups that impose costs on cheaters and slackers. You can do this the authoritarian way (with strict rules and harsh penalties) or you can do it using the fairness/reciprocity foundation by stressing personal responsibility and the beneficence of the nation towards those who "work hard and play by the rules." But if you don't do it at allif you seem to tolerate or enable cheaters and slackers -- then you are committing a kind of sacrilege.
Last year, Barack Obama had the right smirking with glee when he made the sensible suggestion that if the U.S. gets intelligence that there are Al Qaeda cells operating in Pakistan, we should go in and get them, with or without permission of the Pakistani government. If Pakistan won't root out Al Qaeda, Obama said, his administration would. I never quite understood the controversy in that statement, which by the way, is the position of many in the U.S. military.
Nevertheless, Obama was roundly ridiculed. John McCain said the statement showed Obama's naivete. Mitt Romney called him "Dr. Strangelove." Conservative blogs mischaracterized his position as wanting to "invade" or "bomb" Pakistan. Obama's critics at the time apparently believed that it's fine to invade an occupy a country whose government had virtually no ties to Al Qaeda, but suggesting we cross the border into a country whose government may be actively or passively harboring large numbers of Al Qaeda and Taliban forces is foolish.
It looks like the Bush administration didn't find Obama's position all that naive, because they've adopted it to the letter:
President Bush secretly approved orders in July that for the first time allow American Special Operations forces to carry out ground assaults inside Pakistan without the prior approval of the Pakistani government, according to senior American officials.
The new orders reflect concern about safe havens for Al Qaeda and the Taliban inside Pakistan, as well as an American view that Pakistan lacks the will and ability to combat militants. They also illustrate lingering distrust of the Pakistani military and intelligence agencies and a belief that some American operations had been compromised once Pakistanis were advised of the details.
Will McCain now condemn the Bush administration's decision to go into Pakistan? Or was this idea only naive ten months ago? Was it only naive because it came from Obama?
The Obama campaign should be making a much bigger deal about this.
You know, after the O'Reilly interview and the Letterman appearance, it looks like Obama is really on his game. I was a bit apprehensive about it, but now I'm quite confident Obama will kick some major ass in all 3 debates.Chrono said:You know, after watching this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b42UI_m-HSU
The first thing I thought of was that Big O knew exactly what he was doing with that lipstick comment - the whole point was to draw attention to it and have people listen to him when he goes off about the American people wanting to here about issues and the media's obsession with pointless controversies that hijack the headlines from what matters.
After this...
I'm 100% certain of it.
Very cool.
gkrykewy said:That's kinda one of the points made in the essay:
actually yeah I can see this tooThe Lamonster said:You know, after the O'Reilly interview and the Letterman appearance, it looks like Obama is really on his game. I was a bit apprehensive about it, but now I'm quite confident Obama will kick some major ass in all 3 debates.
Biden will obv rule too.
Odrion said:Did anyone hear Huckabee on XM? He was doing stand up and actually was funny, even zinged Palin. :lol
Deku said:How doomed are we?
tanod said:If it's within 5 points, a well executed ground game in a state should give Obama the win.
I would argue ties go to Obama as well.
What you all don't realize is that since the conventions, Obama's "favorability" and "shares my values" numbers have risen and are now slowly solidifying. That was one of his biggest challenges and will give him a good chance to capture a good portion of late deciders.
Also, he put Michelle out there for the convention and now she has super high favorables but she's not out campaining. It was a perfect way to cement her in the minds of Americans as a positive figure.
it's the first week of the republican convention bump goddamnit if you really are afraid go phonebank or donateDeku said:How doomed are we?
Odrion said:it's the first week of the republican convention bump goddamnit
if you really are afraid go phonebank or donate
Ferraro's husband got caught in a lot of legal trouble, that is why she imploded. Not cause people got bored of her or the novelty.The Lamonster said:thanks ruroni
Folks, remember the Ferraro effect...this is the closest McCain will ever get. The pendulum will start to swing the other direction soon.