PhoenixDark
Banned
harSon said:Pollings are obviously skewed due to the fact the the Democrats are still in the middle of a bitter battle. The numbers will change if Obama is elected as the Democratic nominee. I'm confused as to why you neglect polling and election trends when speculating about the potential winner in Indiana yet use it as the main argument when talking about the General Election.
Demographic wise, Indiana is somewhere between Illinois and Ohio.
I'm not neglecting anything. As I already said, the demographics in Indiana heavily favor Hillary. When you also consider the polling trends Cheebs mentioned, it doesn't bode well for him. My argument with respect to Indiana is the same as my general election argument about Ohio and Penn. Once again, the demographics do not favor Obama; we learned that on March 4th and will learn it again on tuesday when Hillary wins. If you have a candidate that doesn't poll well in the states that will once again decide the election it should be called to attention. Hillary is doing that right now, although I think that argument alone would be much better than her current negative tone and mud slinging.
Obama is going to win the nomination unless a megaton of skull duggery erupts. It's basically a given. But I would bet nearly anything that he won't beat John McCain in November. I'll vote for Obama and hopefully he'll carry my state, but I refuse to get my hopes up on anything else. A year ago I said that I doubted a woman or black man would beat a republican candidate. But the more I look at the demographic breakdowns of states, the more I'm convinced that Hillary would have a much better chance of beating McCain than Obama.