Rumor: Digitimes: Sony PS4 may not achieve expected 12-16M shipments in 2013

The only way those numbers make sense is if they're talking about annualised production rate.

12-16m a year rate = maybe 3-4m for a launch quarter.

I dunno though.
 
This doesn't sound remotely realistic. 8M would be high goal for FY 2014, let alone the end of the year. 12-16 M isn't really in the realm of possibility for a $400+ console.
 
That number seems ridiculously high as it is.

Not if they plan to lunch worldwide.

EU (+australia) - 5mln
US - 6mln
JAP - 3mln

That is alone 14mln. They need to stuff channels because x-mas is coming and they will release console probably October. So they need to serve initial spike + x-mas sales.
 
Not if they plan to lunch worldwide.

EU (+australia) - 5mln
US - 6mln
JAP - 3mln

That is alone 14mln. They need to stuff channels because x-mas is coming and they will release console probably October. So they need to serve initial spike + x-mas sales.
So they're planning to outsell the Wii U's worldwide half year sales in Japan alone? They need maybe 6 million consoles the first 2-3 months. They need to sell out. Overdelivering isn't good for business if you want the image of a good launch.
 
Not if they plan to lunch worldwide.

EU (+australia) - 5mln
US - 6mln
JAP - 3mln

That is alone 14mln. They need to stuff channels because x-mas is coming and they will release console probably October. So they need to serve initial spike + x-mas sales.

The highest the PS3 shipped in Q3 (Oct-Dec) was 6.5m, 14m shipments for 2 Qs is way too high number, especially considering that Q4 is a very slow Q for Sony. The only way that 12-16m number would ever work if they were counting both PS3 and PS4 projected sales for FY13.
 
The highest the PS3 shipped in Q3 (Oct-Dec) was 6.5m, 14m shipments for 2 Qs is way too high number, especially considering that Q4 is a very slow Q for Sony. The only way that 12-16m number would ever work if they were counting both PS3 and PS4 projected sales for FY13.
Indeed, 16 million could be right for PS3 + 4
 
Europe will not forget, Sony

Don't do this to us

Agreed. If Sony piss me about, I'll just go Durangatang and be done with Sony for at least the initial launch period. Just want to clarify the fact that we are Sony's biggest market, they need to show some respect this way.
 
Not if they plan to lunch worldwide.

EU (+australia) - 5mln
US - 6mln
JAP - 3mln

That is alone 14mln. They need to stuff channels because x-mas is coming and they will release console probably October. So they need to serve initial spike + x-mas sales.

Well that and it could also hint at a subs model, like $299 with a 2 year sub.

That would probably shift at a faster rate than a $400 + machine.
 
Wow, that article by Nowgamer is terribly written. Sony have never revealed those kind of projections and yet they write like it's public knowledge.
 
The first negative sony article out of 14 negative ones to xbox and we are calling for the tales from my ass

Can see which side most butter their bread

Realistically its probably better they wait until 2014 as you will have that drought of games that usually happens from a launch lineup to the first batch of dev games..the closer the better.....MS should take the year off also
 
The first negative sony article out of 14 negative ones to xbox and we are calling for the tales from my ass

Can see which side most butter their bread

Realistically its probably better they wait until 2014 as you will have that drought of games that usually happens from a launch lineup to the first batch of dev games..the closer the better.....MS should take the year off also

Pre-emptive damage control from Sony.

Don't expect a remarkably successful launch for this system.

These have to be joke posts right? Have any of you even heard of the website? Or realize how many consoles 12-16 million is in just a 2 month period? Microsoft or Sony would be ecstatic to sell half of those. So drop the console warrior stuff.
 
The highest the PS3 shipped in Q3 (Oct-Dec) was 6.5m, 14m shipments for 2 Qs is way too high number, especially considering that Q4 is a very slow Q for Sony. The only way that 12-16m number would ever work if they were counting both PS3 and PS4 projected sales for FY13.


The highest shipped number was only for 2 regions one small and one big JPandUS. Now count additional 4mln for europe and it's 10mln.


If they really want to have worldwide lunch they need at least 10mln minimum. Even if they overship it is not like those consoles won't sell.

Also Europe/Us and Japan are not only Sony places where they ship consoles. China recently allowed consoles use there are other places like middle east india australia brazil argentine dubai etc.

Frankly with 12mln it will be hard to stock all shops on planet.
 
I bet this will end up being related to GDDR5. Global manufacturing isn't ready to support the volume of memory Sony needs.
 
Sony originally told its upstream suppliers that it will start shipping its new PS4 game consoles in June with mass shipments scheduled in August, and shipment volumes would have a chance to reach 20 million units in 2013.

yeah, 20 mil in 2013... hahaha.
 
lol!

So if they achieve between 12-15M units, they'll be like.

"We were right! They didn't achieve 16M which was in the margin or error!"
 
The highest shipped number was only for 2 regions one small and one big JPandUS. Now count additional 4mln for europe and it's 10mln.


If they really want to have worldwide lunch they need at least 10mln minimum. Even if they overship it is not like those consoles won't sell.

Also Europe/Us and Japan are not only Sony places where they ship consoles. China recently allowed consoles use there are other places like middle east india australia brazil argentine dubai etc.

Frankly with 12mln it will be hard to stock all shops on planet.

It's not, Sony only shipped/sold 3.5m unit for the PS3 luanch, that chart above is just projection I think.

http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/07q4_sonypre.pdf

Here is PS3 shipments/sales through years:

Code:
Hardware Sales   Ap-Jn    Jl-Sp    Oc-Dc    Ja-Mr     FY       LTD

FY 2006/07         -        -       1.7      1.8      3.5      3.5

FY 2007/08        0.7      1.3      4.9      2.2      9.1      12.6 

FY 2008/09        1.6      2.4      4.5      1.6      10.1     22.7 

FY 2009/10        1.1      3.2      6.5      2.2      13.0     35.7

FY 2010/11        2.4      3.5      6.3      2.1      14.3     50.0

FY 2011/12        1.8      3.7      6.5      1.9      13.9     63.9

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=473601&highlight=

14m is completely unrealistic for just 2 Qs shipments.
 
Given the fact that the article calls out tablets as the reason for the console sales numbers dropping and not the fact that this generation is now 7 years old says all you need to know about how trustworthy a source they are.
 
I'm surprised the some folks here are incapable to comprehension. It's not the number of units Sony expects to sell rather produce to ship to retailers.

In any event 12-16 million is a huge number.

Pre-emptive damage control from Sony.

Don't expect a remarkably successful launch for this system.

Delusional post is delusional.
 
It's not, Sony only shipped/sold 3.5m unit for the PS3 luanch, that chart above is just projection I think.

http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/07q4_sonypre.pdf

Here is PS3 shipments/sales through years:

Code:
Hardware Sales   Ap-Jn    Jl-Sp    Oc-Dc    Ja-Mr     FY       LTD

FY 2006/07         -        -       1.7      1.8      3.5      3.5

FY 2007/08        0.7      1.3      4.9      2.2      9.1      12.6 

FY 2008/09        1.6      2.4      4.5      1.6      10.1     22.7 

FY 2009/10        1.1      3.2      6.5      2.2      13.0     35.7

FY 2010/11        2.4      3.5      6.3      2.1      14.3     50.0

FY 2011/12        1.8      3.7      6.5      1.9      13.9     63.9

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=473601&highlight=

14m is completely unrealistic for just 2 Qs shipments.

It reads "Hardware Sales" not shipment. Polyphony for example shipped almost 7mln GT5 units at release date but sold way less than that only after half a year or more they upgraded they shipment to 8mln and then later to 9mln.

It also reads that Sony shipped only 700k consoles on Europe launch. That is ridiculous if we assume those are shipped numbers. It would be like 2-3 consoles for every euron shop out there and would mean that there was shortage of consoles in EU market where there wasn't any. In fact many shops where overstocked because PS3 at start was hot.
 
It would take another Wii phenomena to sell 12-16M in its first year, and not even factoring the $400~ price. Maybe the core gamer will cause sales to explode...we've been waiting too long.
 
It would take another Wii phenomena to sell 12-16M in its first year, and not even factoring the $400~ price. Maybe the core gamer will cause sales to explode...we've been waiting too long.

Shipments =/= sales.

Vita shipped a lot of units but sold only half of that if not less.

If you consider shop stock + warehouses chain then you need a lot of units to cover it.
Actual sales could be way lower for first months but it still mean shops need to be stocked full.
 
Do you think with 3 mln they can stock all shops on planet in case of worldwide launch ? 6,5 was alone for JP and US in case of PS3 launch.

Sony uses the standard Japanese fiscal year, so Euro launch stocks are included in that fiscal '06 figure. You're really overestimating just how many consoles sell at launch; even for a console as shit-hot and priced to move as the PS2, it took only about ten million to provide five months of units for the US and PAL plus a year+ in Japan and Asia.
 
Sony uses the standard Japanese fiscal year, so Euro launch stocks are included in that fiscal '06 figure. You're really overestimating just how many consoles sell at launch; even for a console as shit-hot and priced to move as the PS2, it took only about ten million to provide five months of units for the US and PAL plus a year+ in Japan and Asia.


Shipped or sold ? That figure does not mean they will sell 10-12 mln at lauch.
 
Not if they plan to lunch worldwide.

EU (+australia) - 5mln
US - 6mln
JAP - 3mln

That is alone 14mln. They need to stuff channels because x-mas is coming and they will release console probably October. So they need to serve initial spike + x-mas sales.

Is this a joke or do you actually believe those numbers are possible?
 
Shipped or sold ? That figure does not mean they will sell 10-12 mln at lauch.

Shipped. So including not just stock making its way through the retail chain, but (iirc Sony's accounting methods of the day) stock on a boat somewhere between China and LA or Rotterdam.
 
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