Laughing Banana
Weeping Pickle
I think it's plausible that a decent portion of the user base will follow the games. The recent announcements seem to indicate that the developers are warming to the platform, with known franchises dropping the PSP in favor of PS3/Vita. I realize that none of these games are bombshells, but it's not an insignificant thing, either.
@Zeeroid, the abysmal-yet-steady hardware numbers there. My uneducated guess is that once the PSP devs drop the platform in favor of the Vita, those numbers will rise, as will new software announcements for the platform. That's the best-case scenario, admittedly.
The annoying thing here is Sony themselves seem intent to not drop PSP to give more support to PSVITA. I realize that currently PSP is bigger than PSVITA, but goddamn Sony it you have a new struggling handheld on the market you should throw ALL your support for it even if it means abandoning your previous device. By the looks of it right now all the best they can--or more precisely, want to--do is half-assing their support for PSVITA, ugh.
They seem afraid to take that gamble and I personally, as a PSVITA owner, is rather pissed because of it.