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Stock-Age: Stocks, Options and Dividends oh my!
- Thread starter koam
- Start date
mckmas8808
Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
RSTEIN said:
I hate last 10 minute sell offs.
Ether_Snake
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onipex said:
Up 14% in AH, nice
STP finished up 10%. Went from 9$ to 14$ in 5 days.
HON finished up 7%. BHI down 4% in AH for whatever.
tyguy20204
Member
I had some RIMM a few weeks ago and sold my shares because of some negative nancy analysts. I've got to start trusting my own research, I missed out big time.
So where do you guys think we are headed from here on out? Back down as the negative earnings reports start coming in? Or slowly up?
So where do you guys think we are headed from here on out? Back down as the negative earnings reports start coming in? Or slowly up?
tyguy20204
Member
RIMM released earnings way above expectations.
Profit margins hovering around 42-43%, analysts expected <=40%.
Subcriptions 3.7M+, analysts expected 3M.
Raised 2009 Guidance, analysts expected to either continue or lower guidance
Plus a ton more.
Really a great earnings report for them.
Profit margins hovering around 42-43%, analysts expected <=40%.
Subcriptions 3.7M+, analysts expected 3M.
Raised 2009 Guidance, analysts expected to either continue or lower guidance
Plus a ton more.
Really a great earnings report for them.
tyguy20204
Member
I keep waiting for the market to go down, but maybe it'll only start happening once the new earning season starts next week and we get a reality check.
I can't for the life of me understand why DHI (which I shorted) keeps going up. I realize that new construction increased for the first time since July, but by god, we're still in a recession, this stock is way overpriced, and it keeps going up!
I can't for the life of me understand why DHI (which I shorted) keeps going up. I realize that new construction increased for the first time since July, but by god, we're still in a recession, this stock is way overpriced, and it keeps going up!
mckmas8808
Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
RSTEIN said:
You were doing your last 10 minute sell off again weren't you? Looks like the market decided to go up in the last 5 minutes. :lol
I'll be buying an inflation-protected treasury note at auction on Tuesday. It's strange - because it's a "noncompetitive bid," it looks like I don't get to select the price I pay or even see what the yield will be until the auction day. I just say, I want one note, figure out the price for me.
I looked into the results of the last TIPS auction. All of the noncompetitive bids resulted in sales, but less than half of the competitive bids resulted in actual sales because the Treasury had a fixed budget for the issue, and they served the smaller, individual investors first.
It all feels kind of abnormal. But at least there's no commission charge.. and no management expenses like in mutual funds.
I looked into the results of the last TIPS auction. All of the noncompetitive bids resulted in sales, but less than half of the competitive bids resulted in actual sales because the Treasury had a fixed budget for the issue, and they served the smaller, individual investors first.
It all feels kind of abnormal. But at least there's no commission charge.. and no management expenses like in mutual funds.
Epsilon-delta
Banned
tyguy20204 said:
Well, according to the chart, the DHI 15-day SMA crossed over both the 50-day & 200-day SMA.
It will likely keep going up but for how long, that is the question.
Yahoo Finance Chart for DHI
Ether_Snake
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I'm down 5000$ total now, it feels good compared to how low I was recently. ATVI is my only green stock for now.
I'm still a bear though, cause like I said before I expect a false-recovery, but since the economy remains identical to what it was before, and since trade with China will continue along the same road it has before, growing the trade deficit, then I expect another collapse as job losses continue anyway, which will prevent prices to go up, while debt continues to grow too quickly due to credit cards and such. Basically the system hasn't changed, but getting into debt is now more likely due to lack of jobs (you don't need a job to max a credit card), and the only real difference is how much fewer people will have a purchasing power like they had before, which can only be a permanent negative on the economy.
LOTS of permanent jobs need to be created, and that can only happen if China stops being a protectionist nation, because currently trade with protectionist China is causing the US deficit to continue to grow non-stop. If this doesn't change, forget it, there is nowhere to go but down again.
I'm still a bear though, cause like I said before I expect a false-recovery, but since the economy remains identical to what it was before, and since trade with China will continue along the same road it has before, growing the trade deficit, then I expect another collapse as job losses continue anyway, which will prevent prices to go up, while debt continues to grow too quickly due to credit cards and such. Basically the system hasn't changed, but getting into debt is now more likely due to lack of jobs (you don't need a job to max a credit card), and the only real difference is how much fewer people will have a purchasing power like they had before, which can only be a permanent negative on the economy.
LOTS of permanent jobs need to be created, and that can only happen if China stops being a protectionist nation, because currently trade with protectionist China is causing the US deficit to continue to grow non-stop. If this doesn't change, forget it, there is nowhere to go but down again.
With the current admin and all the greenies...
Its all about SOLAR. Holy crap the last two week I doubled my money in this. In AZ it has tons of room to grow as a part of the system.
The bear market is there so make sure you cover the posistions as I fully expect the market to go like this (if the dollar doesn't default in which case this doesn't matter>
8000>>5500>>7000>4000>etc.
Play the market accordingly as we are only 30% into the housing crash...
Its all about SOLAR. Holy crap the last two week I doubled my money in this. In AZ it has tons of room to grow as a part of the system.
The bear market is there so make sure you cover the posistions as I fully expect the market to go like this (if the dollar doesn't default in which case this doesn't matter>
8000>>5500>>7000>4000>etc.
Play the market accordingly as we are only 30% into the housing crash...
mckmas8808
Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Nicodimas said:
I'd say we are 70% through the housing crash.
Epsilon-delta
Banned
Javaman said:I was talking to someone at work the other day and he told me he moved his entire $200,000 401k out of stocks and into bonds and money markets in the first week of March. Ouch.
Your co-worker missed out on one of the greatest increases in the stock market, 21% in four weeks. Hasn't happened since May 1933.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123896664697090681.html
Oh shit.....looks like I might get burned by another tech company. This stock is gonna drop 50% tomorrow (imagine if you shorted it on Friday). I will now be forced to hold my shares of this company and buy more shares at a lower price to recoup some of my losses. I hope Sun gets a deal with IBM or another company like Cisco at a later date.
tarius1210 said:
oh shit, if Sun is looking for other people to buy them out, this could be interesting?
Also does this means shares are gonna plummet on monday?
Javaman said:
Yeah I'm hoping AIG will rise enough so I can get out of it and cover my shorts just in case.
I'm not expecting good things out of C also, as well as AIG, BAC for me is up in the air but with the recent bad tidings about the Meryll Lynch purchase I don't see their balance sheets looking so hot.
Zyzyxxz said:
Sun has been shopping themselves around since last summer. Maybe they have a better offer on the table from another potential buyer, who knows. The quote from the following sentence has me thinking:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/AP-sources-Sun-deal-cloudy-apf-14853478.html
Why would they do that if the deal was on its way to being completed? Very strange.
The stock price will plummet tomorrow, how much it falls is anyone's guess. I think there will be panic selling early. This really sucks balls because everyone has been saying that the deal would be announced on Monday. For some strange reason I have a feeling that the stock price will reach its current level again within the next few months. Maybe I'm just crazy.
You got itsonarrat said:
You may say all you want, but only 30% have actually reset. The one bought at the height in 2005 and 2006 reset in 10 and 11. This is about 40% with the last 20 reseting all the way out to 2016. The ones bought in 05-06 were at the height of the prices too.
Alt A'optionss are up and coming.
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/10/imf-mortgage-reset-chart.html
Sacramento: 80 percent of the subprime resets are through, here come the option ARMs
March 25th, 2009 Categories: Graphs and Charts, Mortgage and Loans, Pre Foreclosures, Real Estate News, Real Estate Trends, Sacramento Home Buyers, Sacramento Real Estate
Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist of the California Association of Realtors, said a couple weeks ago that the subprime loans that triggered the housing slump and global economic downturn has largely run its course in the Sacramento region.
But now, the next round of problem mortgages; the Pay Option ARM, Alt-A, Neg-Am, are imploding, and they are the big ones! Most of these were very expensive, big jumbo houses.
Thousands of those loans are going to cause problems for Sacramento-area borrowers, experts say. $750 billion of option ARMs were originated from 2004 to 2007 with most of them in California and Florida.
These loans are blowing up just like the subprimes. As of December of 2008, an amazing 28% of option ARMs were late or in foreclosure.The problem is that option ARMs were prime products because they were made to people with with higher credit scores. Never mind the fact they made no where near enough money to afford the home they were buying! Once the loan resets, the game is over!
The average increase in payment is over $1000 per month! And almost 60% of these homes are under water, or are not worth the underlying debt!
As you can see, the longer the lock on the original payment, the higher the reset
We could see this problem around until 2015 or so.
Ether_Snake
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Nikkei near 9000.
tarius1210 said:
Damn I could use some more money, maybe I'll unload some of my Ford shares to get into Sun tomorrow.
I think there will be a selloff too but Sun is too good of a company not buy out. If they broke off talks maybe they had a similar offer worth as much and had trouble picking a new daddy.
I'll be in to sweep in a few shares if the selloff is bad enough.
RSTEIN said:
I phrased it badly/incorrectly. The basic issue seems to be "no one gives a shit about this stock so I can't find anyone to buy my contracts" :lol I think the real problem is I bought too far OTM (July $20 put). I can't remember my rationale for this, but that's what I got. The price has declined nearly 6% so far, but the bid has only moved up once by 5 cents, to my break even price. I'm just impatient
If we have a down week, I could see some decent profit on this one.Ether_Snake
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AMD still rising.