Saint Gregory
Member
@AndrewBahl
Trump supporter I just spoke with said he "enjoyed" the video. "Tell me you haven't said something like that," he told me
Deplorable.
@AndrewBahl
Trump supporter I just spoke with said he "enjoyed" the video. "Tell me you haven't said something like that," he told me
It's a joke mocking a moronic position on abortion, not abortions themselves.Pence is an abhorrent human being, but I don't find abortion jokes over social media very funny.
Nah, I think in the end he's bailing on this ticket. It won't be Trump that drops out, but Pence. It's the best way for the GOP to rally around the idea that Trump has "gone too far" and they can try to hold off the weird alt-right moving in to sleep on their political couch this election.
The real fun will be who's the bitch that has to take the VP spot on the ticket if Pence drops to finalize the designs of Master Mold. It's pretty much either Christie or Giuliani, as both of them know they don't have careers anymore.
Wait, even Pence is gonna toss him round the bus?!
@AndrewBahl
Trump supporter I just spoke with said he "enjoyed" the video. "Tell me you haven't said something like that," he told me
That's actually in really poor taste.
You do realize that Pence pushed for and signed a bill mandating funerals for aborted and miscarried fetuses, right?
It isn't an abortion joke it is a direct jab at his abhorrent policy that he wanted to push on women.
Not really. It's appropriate for Pence and his dangerous, bizarre, retrograde politics.
It's a joke mocking a moronic position on abortion, not abortions themselves.
Is this one of those "we shouldn't say mean things about Republicans or use their logic against them but rather try to understand their toxic views? And empathise?" type posts?
Either way, lol.
Needs another "panel" added showing Louis CK with a big grin on his face.It's like the word brought back savory memories for that dude.
We'll just have to get rid of those who don't want to be stronger together then.You think this is the country coming together? Sadly, it's about to get beyond nasty. I fear for the republic.
Apoplectic. Had to look that one up. Guess I learned a new word today.
@AndrewBahl
Trump supporter I just spoke with said he "enjoyed" the video. "Tell me you haven't said something like that," he told me
The best words.Such a great word.
They're being savage today.
Red shirt guy?Anyone see this guy in the background on CNN, imitating the commentary?
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
I was saying something like thin in Poligaf, Trump can't even do rallies anymore. There is going to be footage of people chanting 'Grab em in the pussy' and all sorts of vile shit.
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
The un-endorsement we've all been waiting for: Arnold Schwarzenegger
Anyone see this guy in the background on CNN, imitating the commentary?
Its all over but the crying.MSNBC said there were 12 to 14 more tapes
Timing and the impossibility of defending it or trying to say it was taken out of context. He is talking about sexual assault, bluntly.Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
The un-endorsement we've all been waiting for: Arnold Schwarzenegger
Red shirt guy?
Wang said:Todays estimated Clinton win probability is 93%. The Meta-Margin is Clinton +3.3% and the red one-sigma band, indicating the likely range of electoral outcomes, is 290-348 EV. Betting markets are catching up, especially after yesterdays newest wave of Trump stories, especially the groping story.
The insta-consensus among commentators is that somehow this event is a cause of Trumps electoral doom. I think the logic is backwards to me, the growing obviousness of his doom created an environment for this story to blow up. The genuinely new development is the impact for downticket in both the Senate and the House.
In one common sentiment, catching Trump on tape bragging about groping women without consent is somehow a last straw that has caused supporters to desert him, starting off with GOP Reps. Jason Chaffetz (district Partisan Voting Index R+25%) and Martha Roby (R+17%), and Utah governors Gary Herbert (current) and Jon Huntsman (former). Taniels running tally of GOP reactions is here. Some PEC readers think this is a black swan an unexpected anomaly that moves everything.
However, the idea that the recording comes as a surprise does not make sense. Trumps record of misogynistic comments is abundant, and his unfiltered comments are part of his core appeal. As a reality television star with thousands of hours of candid footage, it was inevitable that such comments would come to light though its taken a while.
I would argue that this weekends public blowback is triggered by a growing realization of what will happen on November 8th. After the first debate, it became obvious that Trump was going to lose the general election. Clintons bounceback is small, but by modern (i.e. post-1996) standards it looks large. There isnt enough time for opinion to shift back (for instance, within my random diffusion assumption), especially given the natural setpoint of the race (my Bayesian prior that assumes regression to the mean). In other words, peoples intuitions started telling them that time had run out for Trump.
Based on past elections, I estimate that peoples animal spirits about a campaign start to shift when the front-runners win probability gets close to 95% as defined using PECs methods. At that point, the marketplace of ideas starts looking for a reason to pile on to the loser. Enter the video/audio recording.
Elected officials have a nose for the stench of a candidate who is on the cusp of becoming a loser. All along, Republican officials have been skittish about Trump, who executed a hostile takeover of their party. Now they have an excuse to jump ship.
Gotta make sure he's distancing himself for the new ApprenticeThe un-endorsement we've all been waiting for: Arnold Schwarzenegger
I'm bothered by this.
People are holding this against Donald Trump, a 10 year old sexism video, and he's completely going to lose the election because of it.
But not all the shit he said for the past 2 years while running for office?
I don't understand life anymore.
MSNBC said there were 12 to 14 more tapes
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
I was saying something like thin in Poligaf, Trump can't even do rallies anymore. There is going to be footage of people chanting 'Grab em in the pussy' and all sorts of vile shit.
Yeah. I even said to my self.. am i not straight enough as i have never spoke along the lines of sexually assaulting a women around my guy friends? If people still support trump after this it's fukin scary how morally misguided almost half of the us population is.As for the "Everyone talks like that", yeah, I've said some stupid things in my life, but firstly, I've never gone that far with it. Secondly, and this is the important one, I'm not running for President.
Why is this blowing up like this? Why not everything that came before?
Hypothetically, if you had a video showing Hillary being disrespectful to "the help" and muffled audio of her saying what could be considered disparaging comments about a certain minority group, would you sell it to the media?
What about all the racist shit he said and continues saying on video? He has also said many sexiest things on tape. But the bullets just kept bouncing like he is some kind of white Luke Cage.They finally got him on tape doing it. Also, "grab them by the pussy."
So we're edging until November, then?MSNBC said there were 12 to 14 more tapes
MSNBC said there were 12 to 14 more tapes
Come the fuck on. The dude wasn't a teenager or in his early 20s, he was 60.Are you REALLY the same guy you were 10 years ago? I'm not saying I support Trump, but come on, 10 years is a long time to change
Sam Wang from the PEC would argue that a lot of Republicans are dumping Trump not because of what he said, but because it was a way to ditch an obviously loosing ticket.