• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Greece has no money to pay the IMF, default imminent

Status
Not open for further replies.

oti

Banned
I guess this is it then. I remember the day they announced the program, my German classmates started ridiculing me for standing up for the Greeks and living in Germany began to feel very different all of a sudden. Off to a new beginning then, whatever it might entail.
 

Theonik

Member
I guess this is it then. I remember the day they announced the program, my German classmates started ridiculing me for standing up for the Greeks and living in Germany began to feel very different all of a sudden. Off to a new beginning then, whatever it might entail.
Living abroad as a Greek will continue sucking for the foreseeable future.
 
So is thinking that the money isn't already lost.

Pretty sure that the debt is in euros, tho.

Right it's Euros, sorry. So where did all that aid money go to? The Greek economy is in terrible shape even with all that money injected into it.

Has this ever happened before?

So the current Greek government was just extending the talks up until the last minute and use the referendum as a bailout of sorts to get out of the talks? Then what?
 
Masterful move by Tsipras. It wouldn't be right for the Greek government with its thin majority to take Greece out of the EU, nor would it be right for them to inflict the savage cuts demanded by its creditors and relinquish their financial sovereignty.

Why not? Russia has $365 billion in hard currency. It could afford to lend $20-30 billion to cover imports for the first tumultuous 6 months of introducing a national currency.
Why would Russia put ten percent of their hard currency st that kind of risk with zero reward? Russia isn't stupid
 

ICKE

Banned
edit: Note that even if they want Tsipras to lose support, I don't think he will. Greeks will rally to stand against the lenders the more the situation goes bad, until Syriza has enough legitimacy to take any measure needed. And this will fuel Podemos in Spain. People see an enemy and they want a protector.

If the banking sector collapses and there is widespread turmoil across the country, it might be better for some of these politicians to bail out. People tend to be rather angry when they lose everything.

I actually believed Varoufakis was a sensible person but he has been an utter embarrassment during this whole fiasco. Other Member States need to prepare for unexpected events. It is not a joke if people can't withdraw money from their bank accounts and we also have a huge refugee crisis going on. Greece needs help in one form or another.
 
I don't think that the population will support a foreign power that works against their interests and which is responsible for their bad situation. My guess is that the approval rate of Tsipras will still continue to rise. The EU has failed everywhere (refugees, foreign policy, regulation and taxation), I don't know why this should be an exception.


Not necessarily; what Greeks do best is fight one another, and the referendum is a prime reason for a fight. Already people are divided regarding Tsipras' rash decision for a referendum as if it was the final offer and whether it was the right move, and today you have previous PMs (who were responsible for the crisis to begin with, but are still influential in certain circles) taking jabs at him from every angle.

As for the common folk; they've already been bullied enough from European media and politicians that insult them, their personal and national sacrifices and their governments for 5 years without end in sight, and they are being sent like cattle to a slaughter (referendum) that no one knows if it will happen and what the question will be.

It's a bloody mess that could have been solved from the start if the EU and the EZ cared for its unity more than it cared for its banks. Instead what they care about is throwing Tsipras and Varoufakis out of their midst, so other more manageable pawns can take their place.


So the Greek people don't want to pay the debts owed but the Greek people also want to stay in the EU?

I'm confused as to what is going on.

The Greek people are all about paying their debts without having to be driven to the ground, ridiculed and held at gunpoint every few weeks.
 
economy has already collapsed, m8. You think anyone would've gone for austerity back in 2010 if they could see into the future and observe the awesome results that cut after cut produced? Hindsight is 20/20, sure, but insisting on the same measures when they've a solid track record of making the problem worse is downright obtuse

yeah the reason Germany loves the euro is because it devalued their currently comparatively. now they enjoy the trade and manufacturing as a result.

Greece getting control of its own currency, injecting its economy and devaluing its currency would do wonders for it.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
http://www.theguardian.com/business...s-referendum-tsipras-eurogroup-ministers-live

A final question about the consequences if the Greek people were to vote Yes vote in the referendum (ie, to accept the creditors offer)

Dijsselbloem: Much to our regret, the Greek authorities have rejected what was on the table even though it wasn’t finished. In the meantime there are already major risks for the Greek government handle. And if they vote yes, the question is ‘who are we working with to implement the programme?”

You see right there how disingenuous they have been; he's saying that even if the Greek government accepts the proposal, "we don't trust them". It's not like Tsipras would reveal that he's really an alien in human disguise just because the proposal is suddenly accepted, let alone because people voted to accept it in a referendum.

So it's clear as clear water that the real aim here has been attempting to undermine Syriza. The very reason such bad proposals are made is to have Syriza act against the people, to lose face. Dijsselbloem is clearly underlining this truth with this comment. "Oh they accepted the proposal uh? Well, did they really??" They would drag this on to cause as much damage as possible, that's the real aim, to push Syriza out and/or make people lose faith in alternative governments that stand up to the negotiators.

That's the real fear for the Troika: that Syriza is setting up a precedent when it comes to negotiations.
 
Right it's Euros, sorry. So where did all that aid money go to? The Greek economy is in terrible shape even with all that money injected into it.

Has this ever happened before?

So the current Greek government was just extending the talks up until the last minute and use the referendum as a bailout of sorts to get out of the talks? Then what?

+-95% of the money went towards paying the creditors.

I ain't even joking.

The current government was trying to convince the EU to stop demanding cuts in exchange for more money, and acquiesced a bit on the creditor's requests while not completely giving in in others. Both sides decided to kick the can down the road a coupla months back. Spain called it bullshit at the same, saying what everybody knew, that they'd have to face these issues in a few months anyway.
 
http://www.theguardian.com/business...s-referendum-tsipras-eurogroup-ministers-live



You see right there how disingenuous they have been; he's saying that even if the Greek government accepts the proposal, "we don't trust them". It's not like Tsipras would reveal that he's really an alien in human disguise just because the proposal is suddenly accepted, let alone because people voted to accept it in a referendum.

So it's clear as clear water that the real aim here has been attempting to undermine Syriza. The very reason such bad proposals are made is to have Syriza act against the people, to lose face. Dijsselbloem is clearly underlining this truth with this comment.


What Dijsselbloem is also saying is that a different government, a tamer, more manageable one, would be welcome in the future.

The EU and the EZ at work, ladies and gentlemen.
 
http://www.theguardian.com/business...s-referendum-tsipras-eurogroup-ministers-live



You see right there how disingenuous they have been; he's saying that even if the Greek government accepts the proposal, "we don't trust them". It's not like Tsipras would reveal that he's really an alien in human disguise just because the proposal is suddenly accepted, let alone because people voted to accept it in a referendum.

So it's clear as clear water that the real aim here has been attempting to undermine Syriza. The very reason such bad proposals are made is to have Syriza act against the people, to lose face. Dijsselbloem is clearly underlining this truth with this comment. "Oh they accepted the proposal uh? Well, did they really??" They would drag this on to cause as much damage as possible, that's the real aim, to push Syriza out and/or make people lose faith in alternative governments that stand up to the negotiators.

That's the real fear for the Troika: that Syriza is setting up a precedent when it comes to negotiations.

So the current greek government spends 6 months negotiating a new deal and all of a sudden if the greek people say yes they will implement all the measures?

Get real.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
So the current greek government spends 6 months negotiating a new deal and all of a sudden if the greek people say yes they will implement all the measures?

Get real.

So what the heck are they supposed to do? Say no or say yes? Why even propose anything then? Why even negotiate?

See, the closer they would have been to a deal, the more it would have been about making sure Syriza looks like they lost. Any time Greece would have nudged in the proposal's direction, it would have been changed to make it even less appealing. That's all that this has been about; making sure Syriza isn't setting an example for others to follow.
 

ICKE

Banned
It is rather historic that Greece was not invited to the meeting. The Eurogroup is about to lose one member and the consequences will be catastrophic for all those Greek citizens who own apartments, have a private business and so on.

This is what happens when you give reactionary loons too much power. Tsipras and his friends have managed to alienate almost every possible ally.
 

Osiris

I permanently banned my 6 year old daughter from using the PS4 for mistakenly sending grief reports as it's too hard to watch or talk to her
Thing is why not have a referendum months ago? Why wait until now?

Simple, they reached the point where rejecting proposals was making them look bad, therefore they are now passing the buck onto the Greek people for political cover, gamesmanship and as a delaying tactic.

I think Varoufakis may get a harsh lesson in the consequences of playing games on the edge of a cliff, personally.

The Guardian said:
And with that, Yanis Varoufakis’s Eurogroup press conference ends. Will there ever be another one?

When you have even The Guardian telegraphing the end of the Games Theory economist political life over this, well, enough said :p
 

chadskin

Member
If there were any questions about the competency of the Greek government left:

StefanLeifert: Brüssel, gestern Nacht: Griechischen Verhandler sehen Tweets aus Athen, verlassen Raum, kommen nicht mehr wieder. Dann TV-Ansprache Tsipras.

"Brussels, yesterday night: Greek negotiators see tweets from Athens, leave room, don't come back again. Then TV speech of Tsipras."

StefanLeifert: Institutionen und griechischen Verhandler standen übereinstimmenden Aussagen zufolge gestern kurz vor Einigung. Dann TV-Ansprache Tsipras.

"By all accounts, institutions and Greek negotiators were close to an agreement yesterday. Then TV speech of Tsipras."
 

Osiris

I permanently banned my 6 year old daughter from using the PS4 for mistakenly sending grief reports as it's too hard to watch or talk to her
If there were any questions about the competency of the Greek government left:



"Brussels, yesterday night: Greek negotiators see tweets from Athens, leave room, don't come back again. Then TV speech of Tsipras."



"By all accounts, institutions and Greek negotiators were close to an agreement yesterday. Then TV speech of Tsipras."

Oh wow.

Poor EU/EZ representatives must have gotten really tired with having to accommodate the children at the party :p
 

ICKE

Banned
I wonder what EU will do if Finland joins the shitshow. Looking at it right now, it's a very probable event.

Finland is not going to join anything. The newly elected government is implementing some reforms to save money, something a vast majority of the public supports. The debt ratio is in control and the country only needs to address its ongoing deficit.
 

LJ11

Member
Which banks hold the titles and are there any other countries in hook for the debt?

I get that the money is lost, but where did the money went?

Also why did they needed that amount?

Why was it provided to them in 1st place?


Banks don't hold a thing anymore, haircuts were given and the banks in each respective country were recapitalized. Mind you, they were recapped for making bad loans across the board, not just to Greece. ECB/EU loans covered the banks behind.
 
CIhRUnzWsAA3owk.jpg




The Eurogroup statement ...
 

Nabbis

Member
Finland is not going to join anything. The newly elected government is implementing some austerity measures, something a vast majority of the public supports.

Hahaha. That ain't gonna do shit. Our elderly(that will require hospital care) will increase by a buttload in the next 10-20 years. We don't even have the budgets to provide satisfactory care right now. We will be lacking both money and personal for that. Furthermore, the housing market is already showing signs of bursting and that's about the only major source of investment for individual Finnish people.

There's probably more that i forgot right now, but these issues are not even talked about on the governmental level. Our healthcare professors are already shitting themselves over what will follow after SOTE. As for the bolded, that ain't true at all. They are cutting from all the wrong places and increasing bureaucracy. That's not something even the average Joe wants. Furthermore, there's still nothing being done to industry going to other countries.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Which banks hold the titles and are there any other countries in hook for the debt?

I get that the money is lost, but where did the money went?

Also why did they needed that amount?

Why was it provided to them in 1st place?

To help banks outside of Greece.

Spain is the next big show. People know they need a party that will stand up for them otherwise they'll end up in a hard place. You'll see Podemos be elected just as Syriza was, and the Troika will freak out because they know they can't pull off the blame game on everyone, they'll have to give in eventually and accept that they are really not in a bargaining position.
 

Crisco

Banned
I really hope there's a federal prosecutor war room some where with a giant wall of connected strings building a RICO case to take down the entire banking cartel, including basically every major fiduciary institution that deals in US dollars (all of them). Between supporting the illegal drug trade, human trafficking, insider trader, bribery, and just straight up fraud, it should really be nothing but a matter of will to burn it all down.
 

Akyan

Member
To help banks outside of Greece.

The alternative was for Greece to default on their obligations and for their banking system to collapse. The government of the day could have chosen to not take the bailout, but they didn't.

It's perverse to me anyone to bash the Eurozone countries for offering, and then providing, assistance only to be made out to be some kind of monstrous overlord after the fact.

There are plenty of other countries within the group that had to take unpalatable actions (Ireland for one) who will rightly be aggrieved that they've contributed funds to Greece only to have it thrown back in their faces.
 
Banks don't hold a thing anymore, haircuts were given and the banks in each respective country were recapitalized. Mind you, they were recapped for making bad loans across the board, not just to Greece. ECB/EU loans covered the banks behind.

To help banks outside of Greece.

That's disgusting.

So even after doing that they went full austerity on the greece people on top of the fact that they needed to pay that amount?

They placed them in an impossible scenario.

Some politicians think they are playing games of thrones simulations.
 
The alternative was for Greece to default on their obligations and for their banking system to collapse. The government of the day could have chosen to not take the bailout, but they didn't.

It's perverse to me anyone to bash the Eurozone countries for offering, and then providing, assistance only to be made out to be some kind of monstrous overlord after the fact.

There are plenty of other countries within the group that had to take unpalatable actions (Ireland for one) who will rightly be aggrieved that they've contributed funds to Greece only to have it thrown back in their faces.

Now now, be fair. The risk of the whole eurozone collapsing if Greece didn't take that deal at the time was huge, which is why we nowadays see the "euro is safe from collapse if grexit happens" rethoric so often. Pretending that greece taking the deal beneffited only greece is downright obtuse.
 

Akyan

Member
Now now, be fair. The risk of the whole eurozone collapsing if Greece didn't take that deal at the time was huge, which is why we nowadays see the "euro is safer from grexit" rethoric so often. Pretending that greece taking the deal beneffited only greece is downright obtuse.

I didn't say there wasn't an advantage to the rest of the Eurozone group, but that doesn't negate the fact that Greece willingly took the money.
 
Fuck the banks, fuck Europe. I hope everything comes falling down to the point of a continental catastrophe.
Yes, please hope for the economic apocalypse and 500 million people to suffer and have their futures destroyed. That will surely not be a terrible thing...

You see right there how disingenuous they have been; he's saying that even if the Greek government accepts the proposal, "we don't trust them". It's not like Tsipras would reveal that he's really an alien in human disguise just because the proposal is suddenly accepted, let alone because people voted to accept it in a referendum.

So it's clear as clear water that the real aim here has been attempting to undermine Syriza. The very reason such bad proposals are made is to have Syriza act against the people, to lose face. Dijsselbloem is clearly underlining this truth with this comment. "Oh they accepted the proposal uh? Well, did they really??" They would drag this on to cause as much damage as possible, that's the real aim, to push Syriza out and/or make people lose faith in alternative governments that stand up to the negotiators.

That's the real fear for the Troika: that Syriza is setting up a precedent when it comes to negotiations.
The Greek government has already spoken out against making the deal. They still have the power to vote on it, no matter how the referendum goes. At this moment, you can't really blame anyone for distrusting the other party (that goes for both Greece trusting the EU and the EU trusting Greece).
 
I didn't say there wasn't an advantage to the rest of the Eurozone group, but that doesn't negate the fact that Greece willingly took the money.

And doesnt change the fact that it was in the Eurozone's best interest that Greece take the bloody money, at which point holding that fact against Greece is meaningless.
 
I didn't say there wasn't an advantage to the rest of the Eurozone group, but that doesn't negate the fact that Greece willingly took the money.

Greece (politicians) took the money by lying and EU (banks) gave them the money knowing they were lying but they were happy doing so.

It was a deal that benefitted both parties.
 

Arksy

Member
There are no good options from here, but I think a default decouple and devalue might be the least bad. At least that way they can export their way to growth.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
What's great is that at least, the threats will be exposed as propaganda. Greece will be fine, the Greek people will be better off, once all of this disingenuous negotiation that is all driven by a desire to preserve influence on the economic programs of the "lower" countries is over.

This has been nothing but a cartel trying to control how some countries in weakened positions spend their money in the favor of the cartel. It will come back to screw them.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom