The PS4 and XBO are close. The XBO and Wii U are close. And the PS4 and Wii U are still relatively close. Considering these systems will sell tens of millions (or at least the PS4 and probably XBO are likely to.
They're all close in absolute terms, but that ignores the baseline rate of sales that brought them to those totals and consequently the expected trajectories based on those rates.
Those graphs must be worrying for MS... From US dominance to what can only be described as a "faltering sales trajectory". Alone their numbers are pretty good but compared to the nearest current competitor they are poor. After the initial sales fluffy they were a maybe 100k behind, but the gap is growing and is near 600k... Despite MS doing so much to try and turn this around they are getting nowhere. Let's face it, Sony has done sweet FA in the mean time... barely any system functionality patches, fewer "big games", etc. Sony are just cruising it with a steady stream of smaller games, some bundles and the promise of a rosy future with Morpheus and glimpses from their own studios. Put on top of that the fact that Sony could start getting aggressive if they had to and the heads of Redmond must be concerned.
Many of their perceived future revenues are drying up fast; Media revenues from XBox streamed TV, ad revenues for NuAds, partnership revenue with cable providers to promote TV, valuable marketing and demographic info from Kinect. All gone, gone, gone. MS's dream of the XB1 being more than a games console lie in tatters, as they needed a dominant position to push their non-gaming agenda. I honk MS have realised this and just put Phil Spencer in charge to at least try and rescue the gaming credentials of the device before it is too late.
I don't think the new MS has much of a tolerance for failure and if the current trends continue they will throw the XB1 under a bus in order to rush out new hardware to try and get gamers back on side. The alternative is to "get out the game" but as the new MS is all about devices and services on those devices they can't afford to. However the recent ditching of home created "TV content" means they may abandon that strategy too for now as they don't have a large enough captured audience to guarantee returns. Who knows what will happen... It is painfully obvious that MS don't have a clue either.
I think this "lack of message" is filtering down to the masses too, which is dangerous to the long term success of XBox. Risk averse people wanting a console to play games on for the next 5-6 years (I.e. not early adopters) should probably look to get a PS4, as we know that will have legs and has a VR plan for the future. It is a brave man who wants to suggest the WiiU and XB1 will even exist in 2-3 years time.
The XB1 is not "doomed" yet, but it is a long way from a risk free option just now.
The weakness was RSX, not CELL
Agreed.. The Cell was a PITA to code for but had the power under the hood. RSX was "okay" but it was mostly the split memory that exacerbated the issue, meaning the PITA quotient rose massively as you needed to use the Cell for more low level stuff.
This time round, simplicity and power are both in the PS4 camp. Cerney's vision writ large.