Chû Totoro
Member
You could have saved a lot of time saying:
You guys presented well supported data and projected figures that match that data I'm going to just contest it by disagreeing and making some stuff up.
Actually you're 100% right. My point was clearly to prove that even if you have a lot of things on which you can rely your point that doesn't prevent it to being a supposition. Of course it has more chance to occurs when you assume things with a constructive and well made reflection but it's still not guarantee to happen.
Wii U could surpass GC sales or it couldn't. Of course when I read Amirox's posts I'm going to say that it seems like it's not possible. But like I also said when you have a different vision of gaming the way you see things differ (some will say bias but I think Marc^o^ don't say things like "they're going to sell more because it's Nintendo" but rather "the momentum they manage to create with Mario Kart 8 is going to be even stronger in the next months / years").
Chu, are you arguing that because we cannot "prove" projections (in that the truth only becomes known with absolute certainty later), that therefore all projections are equally rational?
A Meteorologist uses the most advanced scientific instruments we have available to make a projection that today it will be 85 degrees, while another person does an interpretive dance and decides it will be 25 degrees, and you treat these projections equally?
The preponderance of historical data suggests that the Wii U will not recover meaningfully in terms of units sold. It might make a profit for Nintendo -- that's entirely possible, given Nintendo's frugality -- but it's extremely unlikely to go on to sell 30M+ units because history tells us that consoles which start the way the Wii U has sell closer to 5-15 million, not 20 or 30 or 40 million.
Could it possibly break out of this projection? Could the Wii U buck historical trends? Sure, of course, it's possible. It's a very low probability chance, but it's possible. Based on the evidence we have available to us right now, the likely outcome for the Wii U is 10-15M lifetime units sold.
You now have in one post Amirox's and Marc^o^'s opinions
That's what I was trying to say. It's good to discuss and to try to make a point but sometimes just to acknowledge that both opinions can co-exist without making the world explode.
Of course in a forum the main thing is to discuss but I learned (the hard ban way) that sometimes it's just useless to try again and again to convince someone. Just be happy that he's at least understood and respect your point of view.
I posted this because Amirox and Marc^o^are both posters I like. When I see people who are always making console warz posts I just let them and laugh a little while before thread closure.