89% in a poll is insane.
83/10 against Romney.
89/7 against Santorum
But both GOP frontrunners are running well behind Barack Obama in general election matchups. Among all voters, Obama leads Romney by 12 points (54% to 42%) and Santorum by 18 points (57% to 39%). Obamas advantage among women voters, while largely unchanged from a month ago, remains substantial 20 points over Romney and 26 points over Santorum
As you dive into the numbers, a few things stand out clearly:
1. President Obama is beating Romney among men 49 to 46. Romney simply can't win a general election while losing men and losing women by 20 points as he is in this poll.
2. Romney is only beating Obama by 8 points among Whites, 52-44. For Romney to win, that number has to look a lot more like 60-40 or better. He's got to run up the score with Whites. Big time.
3. Romney's losing all people of color 83-13! SEVENTY POINTS! You simply can't win a general election with numbers like that while not simultaneously building up a huge advantage among Whites.
From DailyKos, on the new Pew Poll:
I hope to understand one day what information the White House has that makes spending an additional day in Afghanistan a worthwhile proposition. It's insane.Forget my two front teeth, Santa. Can I receive this as an early Christmas gift?
U.S. Officials Debate Speeding Afghan PulloutForgive me for not holding my breath. It'd be prudent to hasten the withdrawal. Although, I suspect Biden's proposal, which is the best option of the three, is unlikely to be chosen. Donilon's proposal is a terribly flawed alternative, but it's likely the only alternative with a realistic chance of being adopted.
"A woman must be married to go to the polls and her husband must accompany her into the booth to ensure that her silly woman mind doesn't make the wrong choice."
WTF is that?
Republican women's health policy applied to the franchise.WTF is that?
I can sorta understand . . .I hope to understand one day what information the White House has that makes spending an additional day in Afghanistan a worthwhile proposition. It's insane.
He's staked some spectacularly inane positions in the past-Gelb-Biden derp. But he's been closer to correct on Afghanistan since becoming VP. As I recall, he opposed the escalation in 2009 when it was being considered. Additionally, if Obama were to accelerate the withdrawal, it'd be a fairly transparent admission the surge was a mistakeThese are the times when I like Joe Biden the most.
A step in the right direction.WTF is that?
"A woman must be married to go to the polls and her husband must accompany her into the booth to ensure that her silly woman mind doesn't make the wrong choice."
That's why the GOP needs to change FAST. If they don't start appealing to minorities they'll be irrelevant in a decade or two.
Mr. Obamas military commanders, meanwhile, want to maintain troops in Afghanistan as long as possible. If cuts have to be made, the commanders favor making them at the end of 2013, after the fighting season is largely finished. Any troop cuts made midyear would mean that those forces would not be available during the main fighting season, which runs from spring to early fall.
Now that I remember, I scoured the bookmarks on my work PC last evening and found a USGS report on domestic REE supply I had previously used.why bring history into this conversation?
anyway re: US/Europe vs China in rare earth minerals... aren't we supposed to have a pretty good supply off of our shores? Why don't we mine them?
I'll reserve a seat for you.Aw shit, is it fighting season already? I completely missed spring training. And I haven't even gotten my season tickets yet.
83/10 against Romney.
89/7 against Santorum
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
...I swear I just had this discussion with Ghal. "How confident are you that X will win" is a miserable, terrible, no-good, very bad way to predict potential behavior.The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
Hahaha. That's amazing.The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
"A woman must be married to go to the polls and her husband must accompany her into the booth to ensure that her silly woman mind doesn't make the wrong choice."
Hahaha. That's amazing.
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
Hey, he's dedicated to his craft.PD has been in top form, hasn't he?
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
Kerry energized the base about as much as a bag of potatoes powering a nuclear plant.I don't agree with you in this case but I do believe that had something to do with Kerry losing. The media that morning and early afternoon were shouting from the rooftops about Kerry winning exit polls in swing states. I'm positive it convinced some dems to stay home and some GOP to go out and vote.
Kerry energized the base about as much as a bag of potatoes powering a nuclear plant.
This is true, but he also has a point. IIRC, it's one of the reasons the networks now withhold exit poll results until after the polls have closed in those states, so as not to influence voters.
Holy shit, they were allowed to release exit polls before end of polls before? Who the heck thought that was a good idea?
Am I missing something here or do most of you want to keep pointing out Romney flip-flops when he needs to, while simultaneously ignoring Obama has more flip-flops than Miami beach?
I mean, talking about all Obama needs to do is play sound bites of Romney flip flopping, ignoring that this very tactic would backfire massively if Romney fired back, or mentioning how bad he is because he has changed his stance on different topics.
Obama lives in a very weak glass house when it comes to some of this stuff and if he's smart, he'll stay far away from throwing those stones.
I give him three weeks.Am I missing something here or do most of you want to keep pointing out Romney flip-flops when he needs to, while simultaneously ignoring Obama has more flip-flops than Miami beach?
I mean, talking about all Obama needs to do is play sound bites of Romney flip flopping, ignoring that this very tactic would backfire massively if Romney fired back, or mentioning how bad he is because he has changed his stance on different topics.
Obama lives in a very weak glass house when it comes to some of this stuff and if he's smart, he'll stay far away from throwing those stones. Better to stick to stuff like the economy improving and fighting the battle that the GOP will bring stating it improved despite him, not because. Stick to battles that are easier to win, not ones that make you look like a terrible hypocrite.
Why not? If someone wanted to take exit polls, I don't see why it should be illegal or frowned upon to report what is found, whether an independent or national source.
Holy shit, they were allowed to release exit polls before end of polls before? Who the heck thought that was a good idea?
Aw shit, is it fighting season already? I completely missed spring training. And I haven't even gotten my season tickets yet.
Your act is wearing thin. Surely you can do better than that.
Aw shit, is it fighting season already? I completely missed spring training. And I haven't even gotten my season tickets yet.
Am I missing something here or do most of you want to keep pointing out Romney flip-flops when he needs to, while simultaneously ignoring Obama has more flip-flops than Miami beach?
I mean, talking about all Obama needs to do is play sound bites of Romney flip flopping, ignoring that this very tactic would backfire massively if Romney fired back, or mentioning how bad he is because he has changed his stance on different topics.
Obama lives in a very weak glass house when it comes to some of this stuff and if he's smart, he'll stay far away from throwing those stones. Better to stick to stuff like the economy improving and fighting the battle that the GOP will bring stating it improved despite him, not because. Stick to battles that are easier to win, not ones that make you look like a terrible hypocrite.
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
You mock but this fighting 'season' phenomenon is apparently real in Afghanistan. They mostly chill out in the winter and then start the fighting back up in the spring. It is one of those signs that should be telling us "You are wasting your time trying to change Afghanistan . . . they have a 'fighting season'".
I never told you guys, but I lost my job a couple weeks ago due to "Business Realignment."
Am I still allowed to vote for Obama?
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.
This and only this.I can sorta understand . . .
-Pulling out is viewed as 'losing'.
3. Romney's losing all people of color 83-13! SEVENTY POINTS! You simply can't win a general election with numbers like that while not simultaneously building up a huge advantage among Whites.
This is true, but he also has a point. IIRC, it's one of the reasons the networks now withhold exit poll results until after the polls have closed in those states, so as not to influence voters.
LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
So it's better that Romney's people are less enthusiastic now? I love this guy.
The recent polls seem encouraging but these numbers might be more important. If folks think Obama is going to win anyway they'll probably stay home.
Out of the frying pan into the oven. Obama can't catch a break, this is going to be tough.