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PoliGAF 2012 Community Thread

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Chichikov

Member
Santorum on women in our military

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/10/rick-santorum-women-military-combat-roles_n_1267851.html

LOL, it's amazing one when who has never served can have such misogynist views of women in the military
And he just doubled down on that position on CNN.
That's about wrap it for him.

I have to say, I'm starting to think that Santorum is the one person who actually believes in all the Republican talking points in earnest.

Edit: And he just said that IDF has no women in combat roles, which is wrong.
LOL, dumbass.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
The people who buy the "Obama is in a war on religion" line are the same people who claim he is a marxist athiest muslim from Kenya, who would have never voted for him anyway. Coming out strong against birth control, something that the vast majority of people in the US will use in their lifetime is not how you win swing voters, it's how you scare the shit of them and make them run for the hills in the opposite direction.

They aren't framing it as a birth control or women's rights issue, but as a constitutional issue.
 

Jak140

Member
They aren't framing it as a birth control or women's rights issue, but as a constitutional issue.

And as I said, the people who would actually buy that this was some kind of Obama War on Religion were the same group who would not have voted for him anyway. Do you honestly believe that there is some huge contingent outside of the GOP base who believes that Obama is hellbent on destroying religious freedom? Please.
 

Crisco

Banned
And he just doubled down on that position on CNN.
That's about wrap it for him.

I have to say, I'm starting to think that Santorum is the one person who actually believes in all the Republican talking points in earnest.

Edit: And he just said that IDF has no women in combat roles, which is wrong.
LOL, dumbass.

He does. That's what makes him absolutely terrifying.
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
And he just doubled down on that position on CNN.
That's about wrap it for him.

I have to say, I'm starting to think that Santorum is the one person who actually believes in all the Republican talking points in earnest.

Edit: And he just said that IDF has no women in combat roles, which is wrong.
LOL, dumbass.

IDF also allows openly gay men and women. I wonder what he thinks about that.
 

Chichikov

Member
IDF also allows openly gay men and women. I wonder what he thinks about that.
Blitzer actually asked him about that (while acknowledging the wrong fact about women, so yeah, even when nail a guy nicely, he got to put some stupid on it).
Santorum seemed perplexed.

Edit: nice, google is now reporting primaries results when you search for a candidate name.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
Rasmussen is probably exaggerating the gap so they can claim a great surge when the GOP convention happens. But I'm thinking Obama is starting to look pretty safe. Romney is the best they have an the more people learn about him, they less they like him.

I feel like this is true (both your first point and second). Rasmussen isn't very accurate regardless.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
I don't see how the GOP is losing in this. They effectively made the Obama administration look like they were infringing on Religious rights.


Because they made an issue out of something that 80% of the country doesn't even agree with them on. They wasted time talking about a social issue that the country doesn't even side with them on and not talk about jobs and the economy.

And then the White House within a week comes up with a reasonable compromise and shuts down the issue without blemish. I have a feeling that the GOP may be feeling the pressure of the economy getting better at a quicker pace than they expected and are now trying to find something to trash Obama on.
 
Rasmussen is probably exaggerating the gap so they can claim a great surge when the GOP convention happens. But I'm thinking Obama is starting to look pretty safe. Romney is the best they have an the more people learn about him, they less they like him.
They do seem to be rigging the results in Santorum's favor lately (he does better in state polls of OH/FL than Romney does), so I definitely think they're pushing an agenda by having Romney down so badly. They always have the main not-Romney perform better for a week or two.

The birth control controversy was entirely a media invention, and the White House put out a reasonable compromise while maintaining their core policy. I think it would have been wrong for Obama to get stuck on this issue when, fuck man, it's not even an issue.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Coming soon: Nutrition labels for health insurance
Posted by Sarah Kliff at 02:56 PM ET, 02/09/2012



healthlabelnew.jpg





See that? That’s what your health insurance brochure is going to look like starting Sept. 23, 2012. Earlier today, the White House finalized a key consumer-oriented provision of the health reform law: Standardized labels for health insurance plans. Think of them as nutrition facts for a health insurance plan that outline a health plan’s deductible, out-of-pocket limits and costs for visits to the emergency room or primary care doctor. What you see above is one part of a four-page document that insurance companies will have to provide to potential subscribers. You can see the full thing here.

These labels have been in the works for over a year now and, in the past month or so, got caught in some tussling between the insurance industry and consumer advocates. Most of it was about when the labels kick in and what information they will include. In today’s final regulation, the big thing is probably the implementation date: Consumers wanted the labels to come online as soon as possible; insurers lobbied for a January 2014 start date.

HHS sided with the consumers, and the labels will come online in September 2012, early enough to kick in before many open enrollment periods this fall. I’m already hearing insurance industry sources raise this timeline as their biggest concern: They’re not sure if they can meet the deadline.

As for the information, that got slightly pared back. The summary no longer contains information on a health plan’s premium, although the administration argues that’s easily available elsewhere. “People get premium information, they will have that,” Steve Larsen, director of the Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight, told reporters this morning. “The goal of this provision was to focus on coverage, benefits and how they interact.”

The administration also pared back some information on the sample cost of a given course of medical treatment, such as having a baby or managing diabetes. Insurance companies only need to provide two examples now, rather than three.

Consumer groups that were panicking last month about big changes are now pretty happy with the final product. And in about seven months, American consumers will get a chance to decide what they think about it, too.


##################

Thoughts on the health care labels? Honestly I thought all companies did this, but I guess I was just lucky the insurance I've had in the past and present had this information.

I can't imagine not having this information.
 

Chichikov

Member
Thoughts on the health care labels? Honestly I thought all companies did this, but I guess I was just lucky the insurance I've had in the past and present had this information.

I can't imagine not having this information.
Looks good to me, not perfect, but a massive step in the right direction.
And fuck the insurance industry for fighting against this.

Now let's do it for credit cards and banks.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Looks good to me, not perfect, but a massive step in the right direction.
And fuck the insurance industry for fighting against this.

Now let's do it for credit cards and banks.

I agree. I don't even know why the insurance companies even fought this.
 
Fox News Poll:
Obama 47 Romney 42
Obama 50 Santorum 38

FL
Obama 47 Romney 44
Obama 47 Santorum 46

Gallup Obama Approval rating
Approve 48 Disapprove 46
 

GhaleonEB

Member
Fox News Poll:
Obama 47 Romney 42
Obama 50 Santorum 38

FL
Obama 47 Romney 44
Obama 47 Santorum 46

Gallup Obama Approval rating
Approve 48 Disapprove 46
Does Obama even have a swing state problem?

A reader thinks not:

You compare the ABC/WP national survey to a Gallup swing states survey. FWIW, the Gallup survey nationally around the same time showed the President and Romney even — so there might not be a six point deficit nationally versus a -1 in the swing states.

Also, do other surveys really support these findings? Maybe, but it is of interest to note surveys from swing states. Below are the Real Clear Politics averages in each of these states:

Obama +3.7 VA

Obama +6.5 WI

Obama +9.5 Michigan

Obama +3.2 PA

Obama +4.5 OH

Obama +3.5 NH

Romney +.3 Florida

Obama +2.6 Iowa

Romney +5 North Carolina

Nevada ‘s polling varies

Colorado — sparse polling, but Obama was +2 in his lowest

NM has Obama up in all of its surveys, but sparse.​
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...state-problem/2011/08/25/gIQAJ8JL4Q_blog.html

Doom, etc.
 
White House Offers Sneak Peak Its 10-Year Budget

* Deficit Reduction: $4 trillion over 10 years achieved largely by honoring the July debt limit deal, and by tax reforms that would both allow the Bush tax cuts for top earners to expire, and to enshrine a version of the Buffett rule into law. This section also includes hundreds of billions of dollars in as-yet unspecified cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, and other health programs, which will mimic proposals President Obama presented to the Super Committee in September.

* Economic Growth: $350 billion in immediate job creation measures, largely gleaned from renewing the payroll tax cut and emergency unemployment benefits.

* Longer-Term Investments: Affordability programs for education, $140.8 billion for research and development, $476 billion for surface transportation, paid for largely with savings from winding down the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and an infrastructure investment bank.
 

Clevinger

Member
This section also includes hundreds of billions of dollars in as-yet unspecified cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, and other health programs, which will mimic proposals President Obama presented to the Super Committee in September.

ugh, smfh

If it wasn't for Supreme Court nominees, at this point I wouldn't think twice about not voting (in the presidential election). God, what a shitty fucking Democrat.
 

ToxicAdam

Member
ugh, smfh

If it wasn't for Supreme Court nominees, at this point I wouldn't think twice about not voting (in the presidential election). God, what a shitty fucking Democrat.



Just think how conflicted you will be in 10 years when you are ardently defending his legacy against conservatives that are still trying to portray him as a socialist.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
ugh, smfh

If it wasn't for Supreme Court nominees, at this point I wouldn't think twice about not voting (in the presidential election). what a shitty fucking Democrat.

I must say, I really dislike your avatar due to the crazy post-processing done to it.

I would also ask as to what the president should do with the government health programs? In their current states, they are untenable money holes. Since either side is unable to push for the sufficient amount of significant tax increases to pay for them, cuts are necessary.
 

Clevinger

Member
I must say, I really dislike your avatar due to the crazy post-processing done to it.

I would also ask as to what the president should do with the government health programs? In their current states, they are untenable money holes. Since either side is unable to push for the sufficient amount of significant tax increases to pay for them, cuts are necessary.

Either raise taxes, cut defense, cut subsides etc. to pay for them or completely nationalize health care. You don't just cut the programs that people desperately need. That's what a shitty Democrat would do, which is what I'm angry about. Though really it's just that on top of all of the other ways he's a shitty Democrat that's broken the camel's back.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
Either raise taxes, cut defense, cut subsides etc. to pay for them or completely nationalize health care. You don't just cut the programs that people desperately need. That's what a shitty Democrat would do, which is what I'm angry about. Though really it's just that on top of all of the other ways he's a shitty Democrat that's broken the camel's back.

I am all for nationalizing health care, but in lieu of that, there is not much he can do.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
they are cutting billions out of defense. Take a look at that budget builder thing that they NY Times had a few months back, it is pretty damn stacked to the brim.
 

KtSlime

Member
Just think how conflicted you will be in 10 years when you are ardently defending his legacy against conservatives that are still trying to portray him as a socialist.

In 10 years we'll probably be longing for 'democrat' as 'left' as Obama, much like many do for Clinton now. This downward spiral to the right is truly horrifying.
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
Coming soon: Nutrition labels for health insurance
Posted by Sarah Kliff at 02:56 PM ET, 02/09/2012



healthlabelnew.jpg





See that? That’s what your health insurance brochure is going to look like starting Sept. 23, 2012. Earlier today, the White House finalized a key consumer-oriented provision of the health reform law: Standardized labels for health insurance plans. Think of them as nutrition facts for a health insurance plan that outline a health plan’s deductible, out-of-pocket limits and costs for visits to the emergency room or primary care doctor. What you see above is one part of a four-page document that insurance companies will have to provide to potential subscribers. You can see the full thing here.

These labels have been in the works for over a year now and, in the past month or so, got caught in some tussling between the insurance industry and consumer advocates. Most of it was about when the labels kick in and what information they will include. In today’s final regulation, the big thing is probably the implementation date: Consumers wanted the labels to come online as soon as possible; insurers lobbied for a January 2014 start date.

HHS sided with the consumers, and the labels will come online in September 2012, early enough to kick in before many open enrollment periods this fall. I’m already hearing insurance industry sources raise this timeline as their biggest concern: They’re not sure if they can meet the deadline.

As for the information, that got slightly pared back. The summary no longer contains information on a health plan’s premium, although the administration argues that’s easily available elsewhere. “People get premium information, they will have that,” Steve Larsen, director of the Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight, told reporters this morning. “The goal of this provision was to focus on coverage, benefits and how they interact.”

The administration also pared back some information on the sample cost of a given course of medical treatment, such as having a baby or managing diabetes. Insurance companies only need to provide two examples now, rather than three.

Consumer groups that were panicking last month about big changes are now pretty happy with the final product. And in about seven months, American consumers will get a chance to decide what they think about it, too.


##################

Thoughts on the health care labels? Honestly I thought all companies did this, but I guess I was just lucky the insurance I've had in the past and present had this information.

I can't imagine not having this information.

A standardized label is much needed! I had to look for new insurance lately and it was a pain in the ass to compare some of them.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
More:

White House Announces Contraception Accommodation For Religious Orgs

On a conference call with reporters Friday, a senior administration official announced that the White House will move the onus to provide women free contraceptive services to insurance companies if their religiously-affiliated employers object to providing insurance coverage that covers birth control.

"All women will still have access to free preventive care that includes contraceptive services," the official said. "The insurance company will be required to reach out directly and offer her contraceptive coverage free of charge," if the employer objects to providing that coverage in its benefit package.​
That is one damn smart way around it. From the perspective of the employee, it doesn't matter who offers the coverage so long as they are covered. The outrage will have to get even more convoluted - they're going to have to rage that even the employee's own insurance shouldn't provide contraception coverage. That'll go over well.

I'm surprised and impressed.

Well, unlike some people that will go unnamed, I had faith in the Chairman the entire time.
 

Puddles

Banned
So I'm putting together a paper on the federal budget, and I'm looking at the CBO figures on government spending, specifically table F-9 on this page: http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/108xx/doc10871/appendixf.shtml

So Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid are pretty straightforward. Income Security includes unemployment insurance, earned income and child tax credits, food stamps, family support, child nutrition, and foster care. Other Retirement and Disability seems straightforward.

Then we have "Other Programs." This section increased from $129 billion in 2008 to $374 billion in 2009. Does anyone know what is included in that? I'm having trouble finding this information.
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
So I'm putting together a paper on the federal budget, and I'm looking at the CBO figures on government spending, specifically table F-9 on this page: http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/108xx/doc10871/appendixf.shtml

So Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid are pretty straightforward. Income Security includes unemployment insurance, earned income and child tax credits, food stamps, family support, child nutrition, and foster care. Other Retirement and Disability seems straightforward.

Then we have "Other Programs." This section increased from $129 billion in 2008 to $374 billion in 2009. Does anyone know what is included in that? I'm having trouble finding this information.
Obama's reelection campaign slush fund? \talkradio
 
In 10 years we'll probably be longing for 'democrat' as 'left' as Obama, much like many do for Clinton now. This downward spiral to the right is truly horrifying.

I don't think Obama would pull the welfare reform shit that Clinton did. I think Healthcare Reform was based on seeing what Clinton failed to enact and being more cautious, I wouldn't be so quick to say that Clinton was absolutely to the left of Obama.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
I'll ask this again since no one responded the first time:

GhaleonGB said:
And we'll see how well all that holds up to a Florida-style carpet bombing soon enough.

Ezra Klein has a run down of responses to the mortgage deal, here:

All these fancy banking terms I don't even know.

Do you (or anyone here) happen to have a good resource for learning about banking/real estate in general, and a good breakdown of some of the Obama admin's housing related programs like HAMP?
 

WowBaby

Member
So I'm putting together a paper on the federal budget, and I'm looking at the CBO figures on government spending, specifically table F-9 on this page: http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/108xx/doc10871/appendixf.shtml

So Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid are pretty straightforward. Income Security includes unemployment insurance, earned income and child tax credits, food stamps, family support, child nutrition, and foster care. Other Retirement and Disability seems straightforward.

Then we have "Other Programs." This section increased from $129 billion in 2008 to $374 billion in 2009. Does anyone know what is included in that? I'm having trouble finding this information.

You're not looking hard enough.

800px-Fy2009spendingbycategory2.png
 

ToxicAdam

Member
If you make Calculated Risk blog a daily part of your reading regime, you can glean a lot of information from it. The analysis of the information is obviously slanted, but you can pick up a lot of understanding from it.
 

Puddles

Banned
Looking at past budget numbers makes me sad.

In 2000, we spent 3.0% of GDP on defense. In 2009, 4.6%.

In 2000, Social Security and Medicare were 6.3% of GDP. In 2009, 8.5%. In that same period, Medicaid went from 1.2 to 1.8% of GDP.

So those four items went from 10.5% of GDP to 14.7%. It is very rare for tax revenue to ever exceed 19% of GDP.

In 2000, there were 35 million Americans of retirement age, representing 12.4% of the population. In 2010, that number had increased to 40.3 million, representing 13% of the population. Only about a 4.8% increase in percentage of the overall population, yet there was a 17% increase in Social Security spending and a 59% increase in Medicare spending (Medicare Part D?).

You're not looking hard enough.

Get the fuck out with this shit. That's the total budget. I'm looking specifically for a breakdown of mandatory spending. Don't act dickish and pretend this was some absurdly simple question and then post something that doesn't answer the question. I know the fuck how to find the total federal budget.

Edit: Not to mention that your pie chart has the amazing explanatory "Unemployment/Welfare/Other Mandatory Spending" as one of its slices.
 

ezekial45

Banned
CNN headline on this was "Obama compromises." Which I suspect is exactly what he likes to see. Not sure that it's the best strategy, and I'm certainly personally in no mood for compromise given the state of the political landscape--drastically tilted to the far right--but it seems to be the PR image he wants to project for reelection, so it's a win for Obama in regards to that at least.

Bleh. I hate talking this kind of politics.

Bill Maher said the same thing on tonight's show.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
I'll ask this again since no one responded the first time:

If you make Calculated Risk blog a daily part of your reading regime, you can glean a lot of information from it. The analysis of the information is obviously slanted, but you can pick up a lot of understanding from it.

This is a good recommendation. I was trying to think of a place that serves as a good primer, and came up empty. The reason is, I never got one - I just started reading a few sites and began picking things up from there.

Ezra Klein's Wonkblog is a good source as well. And I check the Bloomberg economic calendar every day, which is invaluable; it's my first stop every week day morning. It provides a report on each economic release of the day, how that fared against expectations, some historical context, and a definition of the measure. Today's entry on the trade deficit is a good example. Click on "why investors care" at the end for more detail.

Between Calculated Risk, Wonkblog, and the Bloomberg site, you'll be picking up on a lot each day.
 

WowBaby

Member
Get the fuck out with this shit. That's the total budget. I'm looking specifically for a breakdown of mandatory spending. Don't act dickish and pretend this was some absurdly simple question and then post something that doesn't answer the question. I know the fuck how to find the total federal budget.

Edit: Not to mention that your pie chart has the amazing explanatory "Unemployment/Welfare/Other Mandatory Spending" as one of its slices.


Oh my, why the violence?
 

ToxicAdam

Member
Looking at past budget numbers makes me sad.

In 2000, we spent 3.0% of GDP on defense. In 2009, 4.6%.

In 2000, Social Security and Medicare were 6.3% of GDP. In 2009, 8.5%. In that same period, Medicaid went from 1.2 to 1.8% of GDP.

So those four items went from 10.5% of GDP to 14.7%. It is very rare for tax revenue to ever exceed 19% of GDP.


I don't know if you're really getting an accurate portrayal by comparing two separate data points. Especially considering the economic realities (which drives budgetary decisions) of both those given years. It's probably better to take 3-4 consecutive year chunks and compare those. I'm sure the point would still be the same, but it would be a more accurate portrayal.
 
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