Wanting your insights/opinions on a few questions:
Would Obama stand a better chance against Romney or Santorum? Would non-Republicans (Dems, 'Independents') be more inspired to keep Romney or Santorum away from the presidency? Would more Republicans be more likely to refuse to vote for Romney or Santorum?
as things stand now, Obama obliterates them both, but for different reasons.
Romney has been seriously, seriously damaged by this primary. numerous gaffes, plus his tax returns, etc have put him in a position where the working class (even working class republicans) don't trust him (and conservative republicans never really have). He's gotten a reputation for trying to buy his candidacy with negative campaign ads, and his favorables are in the basement. people absolutely loathe this guy, and there really isn't a clear way to turn this around. He's been exposed, and Independents have abandoned him for Obama.
Santorum has better favorables, but is on the record for such extreme nonsense that he's poison to moderates. Independents were never for him in the first place, but the hard right loves him. he gets the nomination, and you have another sarah palin situation. Mitt isn't a terrible debater, but Santorum is so hard right in his positions that he'll get absolutely destroyed by Obama in a debate, and then it's game over.
Romney gets the nomination and republicans won't stay home per se, but you're not going to see a lot of enthusiasm. Santorum gets the nod, and conservatives will come out in force, while independents vote democrat en masse.
either one is lose/lose.