If Ohio is not going to flip, and Romney realizes it's not going to flip, then his best chance is one all-out drive to flip Iowa. Go for a 269 tie and take his (good) chances in the House of Representatives:
Obama keeps Ohio, but it's 269 tie.
If Romney wants to chance it, he can split half his resources between Iowa and New Hampshire and go for the win:
Obama keeps Ohio, but loses Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney wins with 273.
Iowa
The only state where we have a large amount of data is showing very good signs for Democrats. About 219,000 Iowans have cast early votes or absentee ballots (13.4 percent of the states 2008 turnout), and so far the breakdown is 53 percent Democratic and 28 percent Republican.
Republicans have been steadily narrowing that gap, but right now, Democrats are exceeding their 2008 early voting performance, when they carried the early vote by 18 points and President Obama won the state by nine points.
More than one-third of the vote in 2008 came from early voting, so if Democrats maintain their large edge in early voting, its going to be very tough for Republicans to win by enough on Election Day to make up for their early vote deficit.
That said, Republicans believe the trendline is important here, and they have been chipping away steadily at the Democrats lead, keeping it around a 50,000-voter edge over the last week. If they continue to chip away at this pace, they will lose the early vote by less than they did in 2008.
Another Obama "green energy" company goes belly-up:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...a123-systems-files-bankruptcy.html?cmpid=yhoo
Have there been any successes that the government gave money to, or was Romney right in his "You don't just pick the winners and losers, you pick the losers" comment? Looking for some positives here.
Perfect nickname, too!
If Romney wants to chance it, he can split half his resources between Iowa and New Hampshire and go for the win:
Obama keeps Ohio, but loses Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney wins with 273.
If Ohio is not going to flip, and Romney realizes it's not going to flip, then his best chance is one all-out drive to flip Iowa. Go for a 269 tie and take his (good) chances in the House of Representatives:
Obama keeps Ohio, but it's 269 tie.
If Romney wants to chance it, he can split half his resources between Iowa and New Hampshire and go for the win:
Obama keeps Ohio, but loses Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney wins with 273.
That is probably his best chance.
She's CNN. Of course she's gonna suck.I have little faith in Cindy Crowley
she is dense as fuck, she is one of the bird-brains who believed that Palin would be a GOP Candidate this year when I was yelling all along that Palin cares too much about money, books, tv and money to waste away as a Presidential candidate.
Cindy Crowley is going to drop the ball tonight
Candy Crowley
If Ohio is not going to flip, and Romney realizes it's not going to flip, then his best chance is one all-out drive to flip Iowa. Go for a 269 tie and take his (good) chances in the House of Representatives:
Obama keeps Ohio, but it's 269 tie.
If Romney wants to chance it, he can split half his resources between Iowa and New Hampshire and go for the win:
Obama keeps Ohio, but loses Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney wins with 273.
She's CNN. Of course she's gonna suck.
It's not up to Obama. He will do well. He's proven that when he does slip up during a campaign, he rights his wrongs and comes out ahead.
And Romney will deliver a great performance once again. No one should expect otherwise. But it's not up to Romney either.
The outcome of this debate will be decided by the media. The same media that called the Biden/Ryan match a "draw" when it clearly wasn't. Assuming Obama and Romney both do well, which way will the media go? They love an underdog. They love a tight race. However, where does the race even stand right now? Electoral college favors Obama. Popular vote favors Romney. Obviously the election is decided by the EC but shouldn't the popular vote results be more important to networks like CNN because that's who their viewership is?
A big problem with "objective" networks is that they give too much validity to republicans without a plan. Instead of trying to be fair and balanced, they should be reminding viewers that one side has a plan and the other side is blowing hot air.
Candy Crowley is employed by CNN. I do not expect a fair match like the one moderated by Martha Raddatz. Do not expect a CNN employee to call out a republican for not being specific enough. CNN/NBC/ABC anchors and pundits will decide this debate, not the candidates or the braindead undecided electorate.
Yeah, I doubt Romney's going to make any headway in Foreign Policy.Finding a map that works for Romney like I did is very difficult and (at the moment) implausible. His only hope is a clear win in tonight's debate.
Really, tonight is the last call for both candidates.
Romney is going to win another debate isn't he.
I don't understand how Romney can do anything to hurt Obama on foreign policy when nobody fucking cares about Libya or Iran.
Thank you.Some of you guys need to grow a pair and have at least the smallest bit of confindence. If you cant support your guy in a debate go vote for the opponet. I wouldnt trust a guy whose campagin I couldnt trust to run my country.
I don't understand how Romney can do anything to hurt Obama on foreign policy when nobody fucking cares about Libya or Iran.
I don't understand how Romney can do anything to hurt Obama on foreign policy when nobody fucking cares about Libya or Iran.
I don't understand how Romney can do anything to hurt Obama on foreign policy when nobody fucking cares about Libya or Iran.
Personalize it - reference this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3a0wlfImm8
I'm not sure how anyone could watch that video and not have second thoughts about voting for Obama. This makes it not about Libya, but how the administration treats people who are politically inconvenient.
I think the Romney campaign would have a tough time going there without looking like assholes for making Sean Smith's mother a political pawn, however.
Thank you.
After ONE damn debate and people go crazy.
Thank you.
After ONE damn debate and people go crazy.
You mean one damn debate that flipped a clear Obama victory into a close race? Let's be real. Being negative and being realistic are two distinct things. We're in a situation now where IF Obama loses tonight's debate, the election just might be over. That would be unfathomable just a three weeks ago.
There are three weeks left and multiple polls show the incumbent below 50%
His approval rating is still above 50 and still better than Romney even though Romney made some big gains after the debate.People dislike this President.
What about the third debate?
Already posted
What about the third debate?
I can't handle seeing Obama bomb another debate. Dear God in heaven, can't Kerry or Clinton just debate for him?
Personalize it - reference this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3a0wlfImm8
I'm not sure how anyone could watch that video and not have second thoughts about voting for Obama. This makes it not about Libya, but how the administration treats people who are politically inconvenient.
I think the Romney campaign would have a tough time going there without looking like assholes for making Sean Smith's mother a political pawn, however.
The South has to change for a democrat to ever get such a landslide.With how divided we are growing as a country, I wonder if we'll ever again see such landslide victories as Regan saw the two times he was elected. I wonder what that would take at this point.
The Daily Kos/PPP poll shows Obama cratering through a three day period
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
His approval rating is still above 50 and still better than Romney even though Romney made some big gains after the debate.
Wisconsin has not gone red since Reagan.
New Hampshire is not going red, the Northeast has this shit locked down.
I think North Carolina is gone, unfortunately.
So the race basically comes down to NV, CO, IA, OH, VA, FL.
Obama's (9) Winning Combinations: OH/IA, FL, OH/VA, OH/NV, VA/IA, OH/CO, VA/NV, VA/CO, CO/NV/IA
Romney's (4) Winning Combinations: FL/OH/VA/CO, FL/OH/VA/NV, FL/OH/VA/IA, FL/OH/CO/NV/IA.
Jeez...Relax! Obama didn't rise to the most powerful position in the world without knowing what he was doing. Every man is allowed a fuck up and he's had his...He's got this.
The Daily Kos/PPP poll shows Obama cratering through a three day period
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
Now, take into consideration the idea that Ohio is pretty much gone for Romney. Assuming 80% turnout (it was ~66% in 2008), he'd have to win the remaining vote by quite a large margin. Obama knows this, which is why he has the Big Dog, Springsteen, etc camped-out there this week.
His approval rating is still above 50 and still better than Romney even though Romney made some big gains after the debate.
Wisconsin has not gone red since Reagan.
New Hampshire is not going red, the Northeast has this shit locked down.
I think North Carolina is gone, unfortunately.
So the race basically comes down to NV, CO, IA, OH, VA, FL.
Obama's (9) Winning Combinations: OH/IA, FL, OH/VA, OH/NV, VA/IA, OH/CO, VA/NV, VA/CO, CO/NV/IA
Romney's (4) Winning Combinations: FL/OH/VA/CO, FL/OH/VA/NV, FL/OH/VA/IA, FL/OH/CO/NV/IA.
Seriously, can we at least wait until after the debate to excoriate the man?
Indeed.Seriously, can we at least wait until after the debate to excoriate the man? God, such needless defeatism.
His approval rating is still above 50 and still better than Romney even though Romney made some big gains after the debate.
Wisconsin has not gone red since Reagan.
New Hampshire is not going red, them Northeast has this shit locked down.
I think North Carolina is gone, unfortunately.
So the race basically comes down to NV, CO, IA, OH, VA, FL.
Obama's (9) Winning Combinations: OH/IA, FL, OH/VA, OH/NV, VA/IA, OH/CO, VA/NV, VA/CO, CO/NV/IA
Romney's (4) Winning Combinations: FL/OH/VA/CO, FL/OH/VA/NV, FL/OH/VA/IA, FL/OH/CO/NV/IA.