How Could Hillary Lose?
If a candidate has ever been inevitablefor the nominationit is Mrs. Clinton today, the New York Times Nate Cohn declared early this year. Hillary is probable, but no longer inevitable, the Los Angeles Times David Horsey inferred months later. Polling guru Nate Silver nodded along with that assessment, giving Clinton an 85 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination. The general election is a whole different story, he cautioned.
PredictWise, which synthesizes data from pollsters and various betting markets, currently gives Clinton a 69 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination and a 42 percent chance of becoming president. She has a better chance of being sworn in on Jan. 20, 2017 than anyone else in the race (Joe Biden and Jeb Bush are tied for second at 12 percent each). Theres no denying that Clinton has a good shot at becoming Americas 45th president. But her high probability of winning the White House begs the question: How could Clinton blow it?
As the Democrats prepare to debate in Las Vegasthe first real test of the candidates mettlePolitico Magazine put that question to the experts. With Vice President Biden playing footsie with a run and Bernie Sanders nipping at Hillarys heels in the early states, we asked the sharpest political minds around to consider what it would take to derail Clintons campaignboth for the nomination and the general election. The threats they foresee for the inevitable nominee are collected below.