The Technomancer
card-carrying scientician
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT| Ask us about our performance with Latinos in Nevada
- Thread starter Makai
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User 463088
Banned
Back to polling numbers - if Kasich comes in second in South Carolina I actually think that gives him the best chance of being the nominee after. That state should be horrendously hostile to him, so hitting second there would be amazing for him. If he makes that and the other establishment candidates start folding, there's enough 'not Trump' votes out there to start giving him wins in the vote rich, winner takes all states like Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Especially if Cruz plays to type and hangs in until the bitter end, dividing the anti-establishment vote.
Especially if Cruz plays to type and hangs in until the bitter end, dividing the anti-establishment vote.
neurosisxeno
Member
It's currently -12 out and I'm considering going downtown for some drinks. It's been an eventful day.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
I'm going to a benefit concert with my girlfriend here in the next hour and I want to just sit outside refreshing this thread. This whole election was already crazy and then this happens. Goddamn.
StopMakingSense
Member
Obama court appointee whose nom was approved 97-0
Wow that sounds amazing. I'm drinking St. Germain which is made from flowers. 😂I got some Peanut Butter and Jello vodka shooters.
And a fuck ton of other stuff.
haha. It'll work out for Jeb, too!
Aaron Strife
Banned
So let's say Democrats win the Senate majority in 2016. The senators get sworn in two weeks earlier than the president.
If Obama nominated a justice in that two-week window and they're confirmed after he leaves office, that still counts as Obama's nominee right
It would be kind of sad to have his last SCOTUS nominee swiped out from under him, even if it's under another Democrat.
If Obama nominated a justice in that two-week window and they're confirmed after he leaves office, that still counts as Obama's nominee right
It would be kind of sad to have his last SCOTUS nominee swiped out from under him, even if it's under another Democrat.
You can't shit on a guy who just died, that'd look even worse. Anyone who attacks him over speaking well of the dead is going to look like a grade-A asshole.
It's okay to be nice to other people
Basileus777
Member
If the race narrows, Kasich isn't really the best position to consolidate as he has poor favorables and a lot of those Rubio/Jeb votes would actually go to Cruz or Trump. He's probably the candidate most poorly positioned to taking Trump one-on-one. Well other than Jeb.
It's okay to be nice to other people
I don't see why he had to say anything at all other than offer his condolences
Hobbestetrician
Member
Vacation and then a summit with SE Asian leaders early in the week. I am on vacation just down the road from him, saw Air Force One in the sky yesterday.
Four_Chamber
Member
And here we go...Obama will nominate another justice
Game on
Game on
Aaron Strife
Banned
A person just died, man.
FloydtheFathead
Member
You think Trump would go to Cruz and say "if you drop out, I will put you on the Court?"
User 463088
Banned
To be fair, I doubt Bachmann has ever read Shakespeare.
Basileus777
Member
Sessions on CNN is claiming that appointments this late in a term don't normally make it through and that Obama has already had his way by picking two Justices. I'd expect to hear that a lot more from the Republicans.
Yoda
Member
His death (Scalia) has profound consequences for the governance of this country, the Republicans were already attempting to pre-empt him by claiming the next president should fill the vacancy. If he didn't say anything the debate would allow the opposition to push said narrative without any counter-balance. Now the debate will surly descend into Partisan zingers about why Obama ought not appoint someone. Knowing the Republicans they will over-play their hand, ideally giving Obama leverage to get his nominee through.
FloydtheFathead
Member
Really? It seems like a possible thing to do to consolidate anti-establishment support in case the rise of Manky's favorite candidate somehow rises further.
Officerrob
Banned
He just died, no politician is going to shit on him
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
I think people have a very hard time distinguishing somber Obama from tired Obama.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Pretty pitiful argument. Appointments this late in the term usually aren't for a Supreme Court justice. And Obama got re-elected after nominating his two, is that just what every president is supposed to get? Because Reagan got three.
Basileus777
Member
Bill gave him backhanded praise anyway. He basically said even though Scalia was wrong about everything, at least he was a true believer, and isn't it nice that he was friends with Ginsburg.
FloydtheFathead
Member
So Obama would be the Democrats Reagan
All Mitch McConnell has to do is not bring up the vote. It's not like this is tied to the budget or debt ceiling, default is not looming if the GOP blocks the vote.
Aaron Strife
Banned
I dunno if he's staring down polls showing Ayotte, Toomey, FL-SEN etc. going down that might force his hand.
He knows the risks. GOP WH>purple state senators.
Aaron Strife
Banned
And how does this help a Republican get into the White House, exactly?
Democrats will now have a HUGE (not spelling it yuge, sorry internet) reason to turn out to vote. Like this is absolutely a "first 100 days" kind of thing. Republicans do too, but there are more of us.
If they do this then they forfeit the election. The Dem nominee is going to be hitting the GOP's pick over the head with this at every opportunity.
Basileus777
Member
80 years 80 years 80 years. Expect to hear that ad nauseam regardless of how true it is.
I just mean why worry about Toomey for example. Republicans would trade him for the WH without thinking twice. They can win without getting PA or FL if they carry OH or vice versa if the map/candidate is right for them.
FloydtheFathead
Member
So picking Kasich? Have they given any inclination of doing so?
Is there anyone else up there who could?
FloydtheFathead
Member
With who Trump? He has stated that he pretty much despises him. There's no way he would.
Roland_Gunner
Member
The only way the Republicans get the White House without Florida is by getting PA or something even crazier like Wisconsin AND Nevada.
Not if Sanders wins the nomination or the unthinkable happens to Hillary
Okay so something that won't happen and then something no one can control for so for so who cares?
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