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[shinra-bansho]

Are there turnout estimates?

 

[Tesseract]

.

are we looking at the same history

 

[Y2Kev]

So now that Halperin and Heilman predicted Nevada wrong no one will ever listen to them again. Right? Guys?

GAF, if you can take one lesson from today, one message, one moral, one theme-- it's that those two are absolutely not worth their weight in sawdust. Please, please, please, the only time they should be brought up is for a) post election drama that doesn't exist and b) mockery.

Nice message from Bernie. I hope he does well during the rest of the campaign and then campaigns hard in the summer either as the nominee or for Hillary. Or Joe Biden after he is drafted post-Hillary indictment.

 

[eBay Huckster]

are we looking at the same history

maybe

(this is nothing compared to what i'll be posting on social media in a week or so)

 

[XenodudeX]

So whats going on the Republican side?

 

[Basileus777]

So whats going on the Republican side?

People are still voting.

 

[Ecotic]

Rubio has overtaken Trump again on PredictIt.

 

[Diablos]

Congrats to Hillary.

I guess that's it for US being more like a western democracy for a while.

Just wish Hillary could me even more to the left.

I wish we didn't have an electorate that put the GOP back in charge of the House and now Senate but that's our reality here in the US.

What that party has done to our nation's politics is pure brutality. Since Reagan they've basically pulled the rug out from underneath when it comes to progressive policy and even common sense really. Like it or not we're slowly trying to crawl back like conservatives did after FDR.

Rubio has overtaken Trump again on PredictIt.

Haley really gave him a boost.

 

[RustyNails]

So whats going on the Republican side?

 

[Teggy]

So John King just did a thing on the magic board where Clinton won every single state for the rest of the primary 55-45 and she didn't have enough delegates to win without super delegates. I guess this is because there are few winner take all states and a 10 pt. win doesn't get you many extra delegates?

Pretty weird.

 

[Maengun1]

Happy to hear the Dem results! Now let's have Rubio finish as low as possible

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Happy to hear the Dem results! Now let's have Rubio finish as low as possible

He will give a good fight for 2nd it sounds like. People with access to early exits already doing the buying on prediction markets.

 

[RustyNails]

So John King just did a thing on the magic board where Clinton won every single state for the rest of the primary 55-45 and she didn't have enough delegates to win without super delegates. I guess this is because there are few winner take all states and a 10 pt. win doesn't get you many extra delegates?

Pretty weird.

He didn't count winner take all states and assumed the margin of victory in all states is 10 points for hillary, excluding obvious ones like Vermont which he had for bernie.

 

[Foffy]

Bernie gaffers: Sorry if I hurt your feelings. I don't deny your passion and enthusiasm. I realize I probably look like an elder millennial shouting from the rooftops that this guy is bad. We need each other in November.

You say this now after personal crusades of mockery and berating others?

 

[Macho Madness]

So John King just did a thing on the magic board where Clinton won every single state for the rest of the primary 55-45 and she didn't have enough delegates to win without super delegates. I guess this is because there are few winner take all states and a 10 pt. win doesn't get you many extra delegates?

Pretty weird.

Well that's a stupid segment. If she's winning every state 55-45, there is no way Bernie is in the race at that point.

Checkmate, John King.

 

[Diablos]

So John King just did a thing on the magic board where Clinton won every single state for the rest of the primary 55-45 and she didn't have enough delegates to win without super delegates. I guess this is because there are few winner take all states and a 10 pt. win doesn't get you many extra delegates?

Pretty weird.

If this is true Hillary still has a tough slog ahead because I am thinking a lot of Super Tuesday races will have Bernie within 10 points of her

Well that's a stupid segment. If she's winning every state 55-45, there is no way Bernie is in the race at that point.

Checkmate, John King.

Is there any way he can be forced to stop though?

 

[cartoon_soldier]

If this is true Hillary still has a tough slog ahead because I am thinking a lot of Super Tuesday races will have Bernie within 10 points of her..

If Hillary wins SC by 10+ (which she should) Bernie is done for.

 

[johnsmith]

GAF, if you can take one lesson from today, one message, one moral, one theme-- it's that those two are absolutely not worth their weight in sawdust. Please, please, please, the only time they should be brought up is for a) post election drama that doesn't exist and b) mockery.

Sorry, but there's no way I'm not going to read their 2016 book.

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

The only president signs at my early voting precinct in Texas were for Donald J. Trump.

 

[Diablos]

I wanna go to Texas so I can put some water that looks like oil into a jar. Think of it as a souvenir.

 

[kirblar]

That has the distinct sound of "we're wrapping it up soon" to it. (The first half of each paragraph specifically)

 

[Yoda]

If Hillary wins SC by 10+ (which she should) Bernie is done for.

No he isn't. She's been the favorite to win there for the last half year. No one is expecting Bernie to win in SC.

Happy to hear the Dem results! Now let's have Rubio finish as low as possible

I'm not convinced Trump will do that poorly against her. He's the only Repub who trashes free trade (NAFTA, TPP, etc...) and those treaties have pillaged blue collar communities. If he tied to those Hillary (She was in support of TPP until the primary started), it'd make states where she should win far more competitive for example Ohio.

 

[danm999]

SC won't end the race. But it will tell us likely Super Tuesday is to end the race.

 

[UltimaPooh]

Is there any way he can be forced to stop though?

Why would you even worry about Bernie being forced out?

She'll get the super delegates to push her over and it'll be over.

Or Bernie.. As we all suspect he will do, will drop out.

Worst case scenario is some deals will be made to get Bernie to drop.

 

[Black Republican]

Happy to hear the Dem results! Now let's have Rubio finish as low as possible

still calling 2nd place, barely

 

[Macho Madness]

That has the distinct sound of "we're wrapping it up soon" to it. (The first half of each paragraph specifically)

Well, his campaign apparently spent a ton of money on ads in Nevada, and is spending tons of money on ads in South Carolina. If the people who are donating give up, that's the death rattle. But l don't sense them giving up yet.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

NV turnout estimate

@RalstonReports
I'm hearing state Dems estimating turnout at 80,000. It was almost 120,000 in '08.

 

[UltimaPooh]

Well, his campaign apparently spent a ton of money on ads in Nevada, and is spending tons of money on ads in South Carolina. If the people who are donating give up, that's the death rattle. But l don't sense them giving up yet.

Probably.

In fact I've been debating if I should send more money his way. I probably will in the next couple days.

 

[Macho Madness]

Ralston said earlier today that if it was over 70k, Clinton should be very concerned. Done with you, Jon.

Jon Ralston is a mess.

 

[And_Gignac]

Seems like Sanders won the Hispanic vote, going by exit polls.


54% vs 43% going by NBC. He barely won whites by 2%


http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV



I still cant deal.

 

[shinra-bansho]

No he isn't. She's been the favorite to win there for the last half year. No one is expecting Bernie to win in SC.

I don't think a 10 pt margin would be that resounding. She should be aiming for something nearer to a 20 pt gap.

But there's no path to the nomination without gaining support from black voters.
And if that remains where it is, then the proportional system will likely make a Super Tuesday win insurmountable.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

NV turnout estimate

Political Revolution!

 

[danm999]

Ralston said earlier today that if it was over 70k, Clinton should be very concerned. Done with you, Jon.

Jon Ralston is a mess.

He's been an idiot over this for weeks. Just desperate for attention for Nevada.

Now we can go back to ignoring it.

 

[brainchild]

You did good, Hillary. You did damn good.

 

[PopcornMegaphone]

Seems like Sanders won the Hispanic vote, going by exit polls.


54% vs 43% going by NBC.


http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV

This is clearly wrong is you look at the actual results. Clinton won the Hispanic areas.

 

[Jack Remington]

Anything yet on the Republican side?

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Seems like Sanders won the Hispanic vote, going by exit polls.


54% vs 43% going by NBC.


http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV

No, it'a not possible, just look at the actual results.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

Seems like Sanders won the Hispanic vote, going by exit polls.


54% vs 43% going by NBC. He barely won whites by 2%


http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV

https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/701167317900775425

 

[Wilsongt]

Just read a Georgia telecom company is going to leave because of that new anti-gay bill that will probably pass.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

NV turnout estimate

Big drop obviously but there was just so much interest in '08. Some good news is that the estimate was for 70K turnout. Coming in over is something.

 

[harSon]

I saw this article by Dolores Huerta in another thread: https://medium.com/@DoloresHuerta/o...not-who-he-says-he-is-b79980adff6a#.596bf2y7o

If you’ve been following the Democratic primary, you may have noticed that Bernie Sanders has positioned himself as a champion of the immigrant community. From the letter he sent to Barack Obama last week, to the work he, his campaign, and surrogates have done attacking other candidates’ positions, you would think that he has been a lifelong champion on issues that matter to Latinos and immigrants. But here’s the truth: Candidate Bernie Sanders, advocate for immigrants, is not the same as Senator Bernie Sanders.

 

[Effect]

NV turnout estimate

I hope this puts the nail in this idea that Sanders is another Obama. Hes' not bringing out new people the way he did.

 

[UltimaPooh]

I hope this puts the nail in this idea that Sanders is another Obama. Hes' not bringing out new people the way he did.

Who said Bernie is the new Obama?

 

[Wafflecakes]

Who said Bernie is the new Obama?

Tons of people?

 

[pigeon]

You say this now after personal crusades of mockery and berating others?

I mean, it wouldn't be very on point if he apologized after not having done anything. Obviously people apologize because they did something!

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

Who said Bernie is the new Obama?

He's promising a revolution but he's writing checks his ass has yet to cash in three states. He needs more turnout than Obama.

 

[Yoda]

I hope this puts the nail in this idea that Sanders is another Obama. Hes' not bringing out new people the way he did.

Usually it's republicans who cheer for low voter turnout.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Usually it's republicans who cheer for low voter turnout.

This isn't cheering.

(To take a cue from a Kos staple, it's jeering.)

 

[A Human Becoming]

Tons of people?

I mean, if you're saying he needs a high turnout to win than sure.

 

[Effect]

Usually it's republicans who cheer for low voter turnout.

That's not cheering for a low voter turn out. Sanders is promising a revolution and suggesting he can bring new people to the table. That's what is pushed as a reason for why he's electable. He's not doing that though. He hasn't done that yet.