BrokenFiction
Member
Damn, Megyn destroyed Gingrich. That was great.
Barbara Corcoran said that when she was pregnant, Donald Trump came up to her and said "My wife is pregnant too, but her boobs are so much bigger than yours"
What the fuck.Barbara Corcoran said that when she was pregnant, Donald Trump came up to her and said "My wife is pregnant too, but her boobs are so much bigger than yours"
It is very good, as long as you accept that it's not there to entertain you but to engage you in thinking. I know that sounds stupid, but seriously. The show has layers, and it's enjoyable.
Sweet. Gonna start watching.Incredible. The new season is also very good. Definitely in my top 4 shows right now.
The Newt Gingrich story spread to CNN and MSNBC.
CNN is now talking about Newt coming "unraveled" with Megyn Kelly. Hilarious. Nice going jowl boy.
Hillary needs to do an interview with Megyn Kelly. We need this.
Hillary needs to do an interview with Megyn Kelly. We need this.
Pence just referred to Trump as his "opponent". Nice Freudian slip.
http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN12P2ZSPeople working on Trump's White House transition, which is led by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, have been asked by Trump to narrow down those efforts and refocus on the race, the sources, who asked not to be identified, said Tuesday.
The model is still way too responsive to those polls, but the actual margins between her and Trump are pretty similar to HuffPo's forecast. They are more in Trump's favor compared to the NYT Upshot however.Whoa. Hillary was at 88.1% in the polls-only model on the 17th. Now she's at 84.9%. What happened?!?!?! Is this August all over again?!?!?!?!?!!?!??!?!
(these fucking 50-state polls, jesus christ, this model)
I am just so shocked Newt did this. He was the one basically telling Trump not to do this.
Newt does this and it's a story lol
Girl, that whole interview was weird. That pivot hurt my neck. Their firewall is the American people. And it's not a big deal he's going to Utah, because he was going west anyway.Mike Pence, as a self-proclaimed "religious man", is going to have to answer to God for the lies he's telling on the Clinton Foundation.
And you people wanted Oppo
wang only uses state pollingThe model is still way too responsive to those polls, but the actual margins between her and Trump are pretty similar to HuffPo's forecast. They are more in Trump's favor compared to the NYT Upshot however.
Sam Wang also uses the data from the national polls, but I don't believe he uses the individual state polling in his forecast. I really don't think they make that big a difference in the marginal differences in most cases.
I wonder if Pence realizes how slimy he comes off in interviews.
He may be fooling diehard republicans, but there isn't a single democrat falling for his snake in the grass schtick.
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Pretty interesting talk from Nate Bronze and Harry "Very Single" Enten on why Hillary is an underrated candidate. Gets into how her numbers have improved, and how she's running a good campaign and why people want to vote for her (scroll down for the video):
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-where-are-the-undecided-voters/
Reading this just reminds me of why 538 is such a disappointment. Bad statistical analysis about how the the race is tightening? Even in these pieces they overreact and read too deeply into small fluctuations of polls. Why does it feel like no one at 538 knows how to write?
Yes because PA doesn't have early voting. We also have numbers showing that dems are essentially running even with republicans in FL which is HUGE by historical standardsIs newt talking out of his ass when he said early voting is leaning towards republicans in PA and FL?
Wow thanks, she seemed like she had her head screwed on as well.
fire and brimstone on CNN
This cnn panel
Clinton's presidency is pretty much a done deal at this point, absent some major catastrophe that can be laid solely at the Democrats' feet and one that voters would better trust Trump to take care of (what would this even be?)According to PredictWise state-by-state probabilities of Clinton winning, these are the states which are >90%.
They add up to 273.