Still way too many undecideds in these polls. Who are these people?
Well it also had Johnson at 6 and Stein at 3 so that's 95%. Still, I don't buy that these people are actually undecided either.
Still way too many undecideds in these polls. Who are these people?
Me,I voted for Hillary but I am still quite undecided!15.5m early votes cast, according the midday update. It's going to crush the 2012 figure at this point.
The boundaries drawn for the districts Dems need to take would like to have a word with you. I really don't think looking at national trends helps when so many were walled off to concentrate what are now Trump die hards.
Still way too many undecideds in these polls. Who are these people?
Me too lolDrain the swamp is such a stupid catch phrase. Makes me think of swamp ass.
Drain the swamp is such a stupid catch phrase. Makes me think of swamp ass.
Bad news for Kay Hagan.KAY HAGAN AT THE RALLY. SHE'S RUNNING.
Weren't the pundits saying this will be the lowest turnout election because both candidates suck???15.5m early votes cast, according the midday update. It's going to crush the 2012 figure at this point.
@Nate_Cohn
New Quinnipiac polls:
Clinton+4 in NC
Trump+1 in GA
Clinton+12 in VA
Tie in Iowa
https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2397
!!!!!!!!
So some Florida early voting things:
Dems are now tied in the early vote after 3 days. This is a good thing. GOP usually has a massive lead in absentee. They did not this year. But, the fact that the party registration is 41/41/18 doesn't tell the whole story. A plurality of Puerto Rican voters are registered as no party affiliation. Also, 20% of African American voters are NPA.
The counties in which Democrats are over performing our registration (I included the total number of votes out of each county from 2012)
Alachua (120k)
Sarasota (207k)
Palm Beach (601k)
Broward (757k)
Orange (464k)
The counties in which Republicans are over performing their registrations
Holmes (8k)
Dixie (6.9k)
Okeechobee (12k)
Glades (4k)
Baker (11k)
We're also turning out more voters who wouldn't pass a likely voter screens than the GOP is.
Candace Smith @CandaceSmith_ 1h
SPRINGFIELD, OH-- Amid chants of "Lock Her Up" man right in front of press pen yells, "Lock up the media with her!"
Time for RCP to flip VA from Lean D to Tossup now!!!!!!!!
15.5m early votes cast, according the midday update. It's going to crush the 2012 figure at this point.
The boundaries drawn for the districts Dems need to take would like to have a word with you. I really don't think looking at national trends helps when so many were walled off to concentrate what are now Trump die hards.
Still way too many undecideds in these polls. Who are these people?
IAClinton leads 48 - 42 percent among Georgia early voters
Clinton leads 61 - 27 percent among Iowa likely voters who have cast ballots.
Anyone got comparisons to '12?Q-pac
GA
IA
@IAStartingLine
"Clinton leads 61 - 27 percent among Iowa likely voters who have cast ballots"
!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!
You can check your board of elections's website. They should have them. There's also a guy who posts this on twitter. He worked for Obama.Where do you get these numbers from, I was curious how my county was doing (St. Lucie)
Jawja's gon' flip.
This is a wave election and Manmademan is right. I think the Democratic Party is going to win the House.
InterestingMorning JoeVerified account
‏@Morning_Joe
Here's why Clinton is taking a big lead with millennial voters
So if McGinty has a solid lead in a voter file poll, I'm now pretty convinced that Dems will at least win 51 seats with WI, IL, IN, NV, PA, and NH. NC and MO could go either way but would be icing.
Why? I think no one wants to be the first guy to stick his neck out on something impossible, then have to eat crow on November 9th.
It's far easier to hedge bets and play it conservative and act surprised when a flip happens, then have to walk back a narrative like Gallup did in 08 or Nate bronze did in the primaries.
I am trying
Interesting
Yasss queens. Good old southern gays. Yassssss.Good, keep all eyes on Georgia. Nobody will expect the gay-blue-coup in South Carolina.
I'm sure 1980 and 1984 were super early. I don't know the exact time, though.Whats the earliest they ever called a presidential election?
Interesting
Whats the earliest they ever called a presidential election?
Whats the earliest they ever called a presidential election?
Google is failing me, but the earliest had to have been 1984. A blowout like that must have made for an early night.
And for a quick reference on the Q-Pac numbers:
It looks like Hillary's check to Q-pac cleared.