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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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Never mind, you too know true suffering.

Someday, we'll be able to escape this though. I believe.

I believe.

tumblr_n00raoVNkh1sb2ja1o1_500.gif

I need to move. I should be able to get work wherever I want because I am a teacher, but I also don't want to move too far away from family.

...ugh.

At least Idaho is massively raising teacher pay. I respect out state legislature for that. I could be making 50k in a couple years.
 
I think I am going to take today in all my History classes and have a Presidential campaign ad day where we just watch a ton of ads.

Should be fun.
 
:O

BRB, starting e-mail chain with seven years of bad luck if not forwarded.

Buddy if you don't do it you'll get eight years of bad luck... under the dark reign of Hillary Clinton, the Murder-Pervert! >:O

You will say w o w.

I can't wait for WikiLeaks to just start posting emails that claim she is an actual lizard person. You know, like Al Gore.
 

Loudninja

Member
I can taste the freedom. But I'm already upset about the end of polling after election night. Withdrawals going to be so bad. Its the first thing I check every morning and wait for them like a fanboy.
Om Nov 9th you guys will be waiting for a poll on who won the election. :p
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 1-3:
zO3QasP.png


Why do republicans even care to vote if so many think the count is going to be rigged?
 
Make sure to get the Daisy ad where Lyndon Johnson basically threatened nuclear fucking holocaust if you didn't vote for him.

Oh yeah.

The must watch list:
We Like Ike
Kennedy, Kennedy, Kennedy
Daisy
LBJ saw ad
Morning in America

Any others that people can think of? Going to sneak in Hillary's ad that dropped tonight.
 
Oh yeah.

The must watch list:
We Like Ike
Kennedy, Kennedy, Kennedy
Daisy
LBJ saw ad
Morning in America

Any others that people can think of? Going to sneak in Hillary's ad that dropped tonight.
Confessions of a Republican, though that's the same election as Daisy so idk if you want to overstuff it with LBJ. Firms is pretty good too. Willie Horton is pretty important.
 
Om Nov 9th you guys will be waiting for a poll on who won the election. :p

(Hillary's Inauguration Day)

WOLF BLITZER: It's a dead heat folks, really anyone's race.

NATE SILVER: Hillary Clinton might literally be our president now, but have we considered the partisan nonresponse bias leading to systematic polling error?

NEOGAF: I just don't know about Iowa, you guys.
 
IBD tracker now Trump +2, both losing support to third parties. 2012's so called "most accurate pollster" better be confident in their final result tonight/tomorrow.
 

johnsmith

remember me
Oh yeah.

The must watch list:
We Like Ike
Kennedy, Kennedy, Kennedy
Daisy
LBJ saw ad
Morning in America

Any others that people can think of? Going to sneak in Hillary's ad that dropped tonight.

Confessions of a Republican
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiG0AE8zdTU

LBJ had so many good ads. it's insane how much this ad applies to Trump. So much that Clinton remade it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oeYKFRV34kY


For a laugh there's this gem from Jeb
Boots - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VC6H-8hktFE

and Ted Cruz's Clinton ads which just made me like her more
It Feels Good to Be a Clinton https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FECIYlo3KRY
War Room https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cpqoVqqDGk
dat huma
 

Holmes

Member
Hence why I don't like there... because I have the worst luck.

I live in Twin Falls.
A co-worker whose desk is beside mine told me she lived in Coeur d'Alene for two years. It was beautiful. A few weeks after she moved back to California, she was informed that everyone in her old community one morning got a letter taped on their doors informing them that they, the KKK, is moving into the community. So that's a thing.
 

Loudninja

Member
(Hillary's Inauguration Day)

WOLF BLITZER: It's a dead heat folks, really anyone's race.

NATE SILVER: Hillary Clinton might literally be our president now, but have we considered the partisan nonresponse bias leading to systematic polling error?

NEOGAF: I just don't know about Iowa, you guys.
Sounds about right. :)
 
Confessions of a Republican
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiG0AE8zdTU

LBJ had so many good ads. it's insane how much this ad applies to Trump. So much that Clinton remade it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oeYKFRV34kY


For a laugh there's this gem from Jeb
Boots - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VC6H-8hktFE

and Ted Cruz's Clinton ads which just made me like her more
It Feels Good to Be a Clinton https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FECIYlo3KRY
War Room https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cpqoVqqDGk
dat huma

Lol, Ted Cruz is such a fucking loser.
 
What!? No he most certainly is not. He has done a ton of good journalism. Just because everything isn't OMG BOMBASTIC doesn't negate the great work he has done this cycle.

Huh? His research has been awesome. Just because the media doesn't give a shit about quality journalism this cycle doesn't mean he is some compulsive liar like Rick Wilson. This kind of attitude is not good for the press. Either it has to light the world on fire or it's not worth it.

Because he's not delivering the level of opppppppppppoooooooooo you're obsessed with. Ok. Whatever.

Ok, maybe lying was strong. But I don't trust him. I mean,

‏@kurteichenwald 4 Nov 2012
Sorry, one for the road. Romney staff kidnapped supporters, forcing them to keep their kids in the cold for Foto-op.

@kurteichenwald 17 Aug 2012
We have right to know if Romney is a felon. If he won't reveal if he sought amnesty in 2009 for hiding his swiss account, he should withdraw

He also had that Trump in mental hospital report with no facts to back it up.
 

KingBroly

Banned
IBD tracker now Trump +2, both losing support to third parties. 2012's so called "most accurate pollster" better be confident in their final result tonight/tomorrow.

The LA Times poll was pretty accurate in 2012 as well. I think it's an interesting methodology, especially during this particular campaign cycle
 
A co-worker whose desk is beside mine told me she lived in Coeur d'Alene for two years. It was beautiful. A few weeks after she moved back to California, she was informed that everyone in her old community one morning got letter taped on their doors informing them that they, the KKK, is moving into the community. So that's a thing.

I was considering looking for a job in Coeur d'Alene next year.

I guess I could go with Spokane instead.
 

shiba5

Member
Trump is in VA (LOL) talking about bleaching emails again. You'd think someone in his campaign would tell him how stupid he sounds.
 

shiba5

Member
I can't even do this anymore.

Oliver North at Trump rally: "Who is it that's going to hold Hillary Clinton accountable for all the crimes she committed? We the people!"
 
The LA Times poll was pretty accurate in 2012 as well. I think it's an interesting methodology, especially during this particular campaign cycle
The LA Times poll in 2012 is different from the LA Times poll in 2016. RAND is doing their same poll (basically) and had Hillary +9 or some other such silly number. Their methodology is only as good as their initial sample, and that poll has been debunked a million times.

I mean, today, it has Trump losing Hispanic voters by 3 points.
 

Stinkles

Clothed, sober, cooperative
Trump is in VA (LOL) talking about bleaching emails again. You'd think someone in his campaign would tell him how stupid he sounds.

Imagine you work for him and have to choose between keeping him "negative verb emails" or explain how formatting and sterilizing fat32 sectors differ.


Bleach away, Dolan.
 
The LA Times poll in 2012 is different from the LA Times poll in 2016. RAND is doing their same poll (basically) and had Hillary +9 or some other such silly number. Their methodology is only as good as their initial sample, and that poll has been debunked a million times.

I mean, today, it has Trump losing Hispanic voters by 3 points.

TBH I kind of respect LA Times for sticking to their guns with their model.

You cannot really tell how a model performs and make adjustments until after the elections.
 

geomon

Member
I can't even do this anymore.

Oliver North at Trump rally: "Who is it that's going to hold Hillary Clinton accountable for all the crimes she committed? We the people!"

It still kills me how nobody went to jail for Iran-Contra. One of the biggest reasons why I will never ever vote for a Bush.
 
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