But when I mentioned Trump specifically the developers claim he could swipe New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio and the lot from the Democrats his Charlie Brown cloud lifted instantly.
Its not real, a grinning Benenson said of Trumps repeated claim he can defeat Clinton (or Sanders) by wrestling away swing-state voters.
I dont see any state that Democrats have won five out of six times, or six out of six times, that Trump, you know, at face value, poses a threat in. I just dont see it, said Benenson, who was the top pollster in Barack Obamas two successful presidential campaigns.
Whats the evidence of it? The evidence of it, theyve turned out a lot of people. I think hes broken 50 percent in only one state, right?
If you look at the states that Democrats have won ... in five out of the last six [presidential contests], it adds up to 257 electoral votes. It means you only need 13 more to get to 270 if we perform that way.