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True lol! I've certainly diablos'd. Remember when we had Rubio had a chance? Hah hah.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT3| You know what they say about big Michigans - big Florida
- Thread starter Spoiled Milk
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Ziltoidia 9
Member
It was towards the end of his chat, but I misread it and it appears he was talking about iowa, weirdly. Here is the full exchange.
Everything that happens favors Sanders. Hillary's plan was to trap us all in a crystal of suspended time until November. Unfortunately Sonic got in the way.
I can't stress too much over Trump's prospects in Ohio. We're past the point of no return on him definitely ruining the party's chances in November. He wins Ohio and someone comes closer in the delegate count? He still enters he convention with a stronger claim to the nomination than anyone else. He loses Ohio and falls just short of that magic number for the first ballot? There's almost no way they can deny him.
The GOP is damned either way. Right now, its voters are just picking which flavor of turd sprinkles they'd like on their 2016 ice cream.
The GOP is damned either way. Right now, its voters are just picking which flavor of turd sprinkles they'd like on their 2016 ice cream.
FloydtheFathead
Member
Either way, you can't lose.
A Trump nom removes the plausible deniability of a contested convention for the semi sane people left in the Republican Party. It was amusing to me that before Super Tuesday all those republicans came out and said basically "we aren't a party of racists guys, don't support trump" and then he overwhelmingly won. I think a Trump nom forces a day of reckoning in the party. It makes the crazies double down and the moderates jump ship.
I agree, the upcoming States aren't looking very Cruz-friendly now that he has exhausted his options in the south.
Exactly, there's no situation that doesn't result in laughs.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Forbes doesn't understand that 26 > 15 apparently.
I'm actually really looking forward to the RNC for this, just to see what will happen. Are Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell really going to walk out on that floor and talk about how excited they are to be supporting Donald Trump?
I have no idea how any of this is ever going to work for them. It's the best reality television show ever. Somebody should go just to do confessionals and edit them into the YouTube clips.
Based on what? Cruz was way ahead in the most recent head-to-head national polling.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-hits-wall-gop-critics-back-convention-fight/story?id=37474752
BoboBrazil
Member
Kasich is so delusional. He says running a positive campaign is beginning to pay off for him. The guy finishes 3rd or 4th in most states.
Dominican Power
Member
Does anyone know if you have to register every time you vote?
Box of Kittens
Banned
There were over a dozen judicial races on the ballot here. The good news was various bar associations gave assessments of how well qualified the candidates were and the Sun-Times had a nice pdf with a chart summarizing all the rankings. I used that to guide my judgment. I have no idea whether there's anything similar where you are.
Rafa=FedKilla
Banned
I want so badly to be a delegate at the RNC in July. Why wasn't I born establishment?
It would be awesome if they just said fuck it and let Trump pick all the presenters.
All his rich business friends praising him for hours.
BoboBrazil
Member
Based on what? Cruz was way ahead in the most recent head-to-head national polling.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-hits-wall-gop-critics-back-convention-fight/story?id=37474752
Most people aren't aware of how batshit insane Cruz is. When the field narrows to 2 media will put more focus on him and he will drop.
RastaMentality
Banned
CNN is pushing the whole "if Trump loses Ohio; there's gonna be a brokered convention" which we all know isn't true. Which also means my No shares are gonna plummet.
I'd be interested to see what happens with Cruz/Trump in California. Just anecdotally through all my clients from the central valley and through like Santa Barbara through down to LA are all hot for Trump if they're republicans.
It's pretty wild. Then again I deal with agriculture so most of my clients are just old money ag guys who are riled up about anything immigration or that cuts back on their product vs Mexican ag.
It's pretty wild. Then again I deal with agriculture so most of my clients are just old money ag guys who are riled up about anything immigration or that cuts back on their product vs Mexican ag.
FloydtheFathead
Member
What the hell would a Trump nomination acceptance speech even look like. I can't even imagine honestly.
Forbes doesn't understand that 26 > 15 apparently.
Ashamed to admit I spent a solid 2 minutes trying to figure out what was wrong w/ the Kasich and Cruz graphs (15 and 26 favorable respectively) before realizing you meant the Hillary graph
How does that even happen though? I mean I can't imagine they are drawing these charts manually
Omarosa gonna have a prime-time speaking slot and his buddy Carl gonna introduce him.
I have an image of such a thing in my head, it's nothing more than a wisp of an idea but it feels glorious.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
Great, incredibly, unbelievably, great.
Crossover stuff has me spooked. I say it goes for Bernie.
Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory is a Democrat specialty.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
How so?
Agreed. I feel like Bernie's got a better shot in Ohio than Illinois. Kasich I don't see losing since he's got the father, son, and holy ghost of Ohio college football behind him.
It'd narrow the field earlier than he'd want. He needs a big field for another string of primaries before it can safely narrow.
It's in order of net favorability?
The Hillary chart is off proportionally.
Oh lol
Box of Kittens
Banned
That really stood out to me. Actually I first noticed it comparing the relative sizes of the 15 for Clinton to the 16 for Sanders and thinking "something's just not right here."
Top conservatives gather to plot third-party run against Trump
The meeting is scheduled for two days after tonight's primaries in what many Republican operatives believe will determine whether Trump is on an unstoppable march to the nomination.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/...-party-run-against-trump-220786#ixzz430DF9MCS
The meeting is scheduled for two days after tonight's primaries in what many Republican operatives believe will determine whether Trump is on an unstoppable march to the nomination.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/...-party-run-against-trump-220786#ixzz430DF9MCS
Coriolanus
Banned
Meant he didn't get focus fired or scrutinized and managed to not drop out until now. Win win!
Mock
Code:
Democratic
Hillary Clinton 103
Bernie Sanders 63
Republican
John Kasich 4
Ted Cruz 4
Donald Trump 3
Marco Rubio 3This could spell trouble for Clinton!
For Ohio, at least, there's a site called http://www.judge4yourself.com that has a pretty good rundown on all judicial ballots. But yeah, usually electing small time positions like this are an utter shitshow unless you're really clued into local politics. Hopefully we'll see more of these kinds of resources pop up in the future.
The Lamonster
Member
a lot of girl power in there I think.
Beer Monkey
Member
A really disturbingly high number of friends on FB are bragging that they voted for Bernie today and saying that this election is the most important ever.
1) I remember when you admitted to not voting in 2013 and 2014 and 2015. Hey, remember that shitty mayor we got a couple of years ago when turnout was at a record low in our city?
2) This election isn't more important than the ones you keep skipping, and the presidential elections and primaries are arguably less important than many other votes you cast.
TIL how many people I know are assholes and idiots.
Don't worry, you can go back to being a shitty non-participant real soon.
1) I remember when you admitted to not voting in 2013 and 2014 and 2015. Hey, remember that shitty mayor we got a couple of years ago when turnout was at a record low in our city?
2) This election isn't more important than the ones you keep skipping, and the presidential elections and primaries are arguably less important than many other votes you cast.
TIL how many people I know are assholes and idiots.
Don't worry, you can go back to being a shitty non-participant real soon.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Dear God, these people still hate Trump for thinking that Planned Parenthood's non-abortion stuff is pretty nice instead of the fact that Trump is a misogynistic, racist, fascist.
BoboBrazil
Member
Forbes doesn't understand that 26 > 15 apparently.
The colors are correct, the numbers should be swapped. [26 Unfavorable, 15 No opinion]
http://www.gallup.com/poll/189887/t...=Election 2016&g_medium=lead&g_campaign=tiles
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Please, please, please run Tom Cotton as an independent in the Fall. Pretty please, do it, please.
Save the down ballot candidates.
YAS KING
Yeah, I saw that, but doesn't he kind of have to say that so people will vote for him today?
Oh, and I'm guessing Hillary didn't reach 1 million donors last night because I stopped getting emails about it...
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
If Tom Cotton or another "true conservative" gets like 10% of the vote though (which is a definite possibility), then it shows that movement conservatism is dead and that it's Trump's party now. It would be humiliating.
Onward we march to a convention.
BoboBrazil
Member
Most people vote the same down ticket so Hillary winning would cause most down ticket races to go dem no?
I still think this is a supremely dumb move. Trump is going to lose regardless. Just let him lose. They might be thinking of down ticket races, but I think this is far worse for them because Trump will go scorched earth telling his fanboys to not vote for any Republican opposing him.
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