ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
I mean, Mexico didn't send weapons to the Jeb campaign so they're doing better than we would in this situation.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT3| You know what they say about big Michigans - big Florida
- Thread starter Spoiled Milk
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I mean, Mexico didn't send weapons to the Jeb campaign so they're doing better than we would in this situation.
Snowman Prophet of Doom
Member
I have no idea why this Tyler guy has warranted so much discussion in here except that one poster with a hack pop science guy as his avatar took an idiosyncratic interest in him because he "successfully" predicted a single win contrary to the polls.
User 463088
Banned
My presinct is more than 30% non-white, so I'd die of shock if he'd shown up here.Daniel B·;198776093 said:
I'm mostly kidding
shinra-bansho
Member
That people are taking it seriously is the more amusing part. That and his Madonna name status.
But he's seemingly just throwing a bajillion random variables until something sticks in terms of fitting to past results and that gives favourable projections and assuming some sort of predictive power that clearly isn't there.
But he's seemingly just throwing a bajillion random variables until something sticks in terms of fitting to past results and that gives favourable projections and assuming some sort of predictive power that clearly isn't there.
Macho Madness
Member
Tonight's episode of The Circus will take a look at the dying Sanders campaign: https://vid.me/qaln
I really wish I had showtime to watch this show. Looks great.
Maybe I'll have to get one of those free trials I'm always seeing and watch the season.
I really wish I had showtime to watch this show. Looks great.
Maybe I'll have to get one of those free trials I'm always seeing and watch the season.
Reading through his posts on Reddit he seems pretty chill, but the people responding to him do not.
StopMakingSense
Member
Ah, Facebook, where I don't bother posting about Hillary for fear of rattling all my Bernie fan friends. Im sure that data is PURE.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
From 1980 on:
"I'd like to have a beer with that guy" winner=Beer
1980:
Beer: Reagan
Actual: Reagan
1984:
Beer: Reagan
Actual: Reagan
1988:
Beer: Literally anyone other than HW Bush
Actual: HW Bush
1992:
Beer: Clinton
Actual: Clinton
1996:
Beer: Clinton
Actual: Clinton
2000:
Beer: W
Actual: W
2004:
Beer: W
Actual: W
2008:
Beer: Obama
Actual: Obama
2012:
Beer: Obama
Actual: Obama
Does Hillary's heavy drinking mean she has the election in the bag?
"I'd like to have a beer with that guy" winner=Beer
1980:
Beer: Reagan
Actual: Reagan
1984:
Beer: Reagan
Actual: Reagan
1988:
Beer: Literally anyone other than HW Bush
Actual: HW Bush
1992:
Beer: Clinton
Actual: Clinton
1996:
Beer: Clinton
Actual: Clinton
2000:
Beer: W
Actual: W
2004:
Beer: W
Actual: W
2008:
Beer: Obama
Actual: Obama
2012:
Beer: Obama
Actual: Obama
Does Hillary's heavy drinking mean she has the election in the bag?
The new nomination test, drink PoliGaf under the table and Win!
StopMakingSense
Member
Isn't Hillary's drinking reputation more for doing shots?
vicissitudes
Banned
But Trump doesn't drink 
Macho Madness
Member
I don't mean to bash on the poor Tyler fella too much. I realize he's just probably having a little fun with data but S4P
eats it up and it's comical. Especially when he says things like this:
And the closed primary thing. How can you not giggle?
eats it up and it's comical. Especially when he says things like this:
And the closed primary thing. How can you not giggle?
Basileus777
Member
Having a beer with Reagan sounds like a really uncomfortable experience.
Those empty seats on the plane are brutal.
Macho Madness
Member
And Ron Paul would be nearing the end of his second term
Utah comeback.But Trump doesn't drink
Aaron Strife
Banned
2012 is Obama by default...
Also Bush apparently quit drinking cold turkey, so then 2000 and 04 would be as well. Unless his definition of "cold turkey" gave him a little leeway for a beer every now and then.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
My lobbying group had a large meeting about "Talking to conservatives" and I couldn't help but think "shouldn't we have a Talking to Nationalists event instead?" I'm really starting to think conservatism will be killed by nationalism.
Snowman Prophet of Doom
Member
Bernie should start dressing in Rastafarian garb, just go all out on courting the youth demographic in contrast to Hillary's appeal to crusty old alcoholics.
neurosisxeno
Member
The phrase is not to be taken literally, Aaron.
Aaron Strife
Banned
I'm just saying
excelsiorlef
Member
I love this villainization of Clinton. It immediately lets me know who to tune out on Facebook
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Hillary's PACs were not amused by Trump.
Well, they were pretty amused but you know what I meant:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V_eTKSzoAUY&feature=youtu.be
Sorry if old.
Well, they were pretty amused but you know what I meant:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V_eTKSzoAUY&feature=youtu.be
Sorry if old.
Those are the worst subtitles ever
one or two words taking up the whole screen.
Ew, 360p video. Up your game, Priorities USA.
shinra-bansho
Member
HD is only for the general.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Bad Meets Evil would have worked well for Trump and Cruz back when they were best bros.
This feels like it could be translated to a Trump verse about how much the media covers him pretty easily too.
This feels like it could be translated to a Trump verse about how much the media covers him pretty easily too.
TheAbsolution
Member
That Circus clip of the empty seats on the plane is fucking depressing. Damn.
titiklabingapat
Member
Is there a full ep or are these just previews?
TheAbsolution
Member
That was a clip from this week's episode.
You have to have Showtime to watch the rest. I think there's 10 episodes so far.
cartoon_soldier
Member
PPP had a pretty good polling night Tuesday I think right?
Utah poll showing Clinton beating Trump in the general there: http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865650513/Poll-Utah-would-vote-for-a-Democrat-for-president-over-Trump.html
User 463088
Banned
Apparently, we get Showtime. Going to check out The Circus.
Ted Cruz makes my teeth itch.
Ted Cruz makes my teeth itch.
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
TheAbsolution
Member
Watching a show about the current election that's two and half months old, I have to say does make the hindsight factor a little bit of fun.
User 463088
Banned
Thinking back to Iowa it seems so long ago.Watching a show about the current election that's two and half months old, I have to say does make the hindsight factor a little bit of fun.
User 463088
Banned
Jeb! makes me sad and uncomfortable.
I remember, so much diablosing. So many people losing their minds over nothing.
RastaMentality
Banned
I want Kev to watch The Circus, knowing how much he hates Heilemann and Halperin.
Watching the latest episode and damn, Kasich is rude as fuck and you can see it.
Watching the latest episode and damn, Kasich is rude as fuck and you can see it.
shinra-bansho
Member
Summary of today's FEC releases.
Cruz is burning through cash at the highest rate outside of Trump, who can just loan his campaign money.
Rubio was doing okay for cash at the end of February at least.
Code:
Raised Spent Cash Spent/Raised
Hillary Clinton 29.5 31.6 30.8 107%
Bernie Sanders 43.3 41 17.2 95%
Donald Trump 2 9.5 1.3 475%
Ted Cruz 11.8 17.5 8.1 148%
John Kasich 3.4 3.6 1.3 106%
Marco Rubio 9.6 9.2 5.5 96%Rubio was doing okay for cash at the end of February at least.
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