He wants to try the "use their own words against them" tactic but the problem is her words aren't completely fucking terrifying and idiotic.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT9| The Wrath of Khan!
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He wants to try the "use their own words against them" tactic but the problem is her words aren't completely fucking terrifying and idiotic.
You really think so (regarding her win)? It's very tentative to me. I'm not sure why. Maybe I'm just a diablos.
With a bimodal distribution, it's actually quite trivial to make a (fixed) center the most extreme position if the interval is compact
Anyways, yes, we agree.
Yeah but some things are worth considering certain and not fretting about. I think my issue is just that I don't trust white people! This country would be a better place with more black women. That's what I've learned!
User 463088
Banned
If there's one thing you can count on white people to do right, it's to look out for ourselves. Most think that Trump is a threat to their very way of life. That's enough to give me a lot of comfort.
I think we should hold off on some like Rubio until September.
Retromelon
Member
this pole discussion is fascinating,really, but I fear the two of you are skirting the bigger issue here: Is wario libertarian
Trump is pretty much hard locked in the electoral college at this point. He needs to dramatically change the race in order to have a shot. Even then his ceiling seems to be either 269 or 265.
Also hard to see how the Dems don't pick up four Senate seats. It would be nice to see some of the tougher races tighten a bit. Still keeping fingers crossed for a 2008 style wave.
Agreed. Tammy Baldwin taught me to keep hope alive in situations like this.
Some things, yes. I don't know if I'd peg anything predicted on polling in that category though. Don't lose sleep over it but don't be complacent either.
User 463088
Banned
I think the more important question is "Is our children learning?"
We're well past the point where a convention bounce would be collapsing and she's either stabilizing or expanding.
Also people aren't switching from Trump because he has a gaffe or two, they think he's crazy. It's hard to imagine them going back to him because he has one good debate (unlikely in any case).
However stay scared, donate more.
nature boy
Member
What about Arizona?
Trump's problem is simple: GOP voters are punishing the party for going to the extreme.
This is the one form of general election protest vote that works- you cannot pull your party to a further extreme in a general because they'll just write off your vote going forward. However, you CAN punish a party for going too far to the extreme, forcing them to moderate in future elections.
whyamihere
Banned
Oops. Lean R. I ultimately expect, at this point, that McCain will win.
Though if Cortez Masto, McGinty, Ross, Kirkpatrick, Judge, and Duckworth win, there'll be 25 women in the Senate (because we're losing Mikulski).
Voysa Reezun
Banned
I'm hoping that McCain's irascible nature gets the best of him and he repudiates Trump just in time for the nutbars all over Maricopa County to pitch a fit and allow Kirkpatrick to eke out a win. It's possible. Trump apparently got his phone back and is bitching again, so I'm sure that he'll say something shitty about a member of his own party or a military member or the whole state of Arizona soon enough.
I read parts of this interview and was surprised at how forward he was in saying that the Alt-Right is bigoted and not really conservative. I don't know if it's because he believes that the Alt-Right isn't really strong enough inside his own party to cause an ultimate schism or if he's finally prepping for an eventual takesies-backsies of his Trump endorsement or what, but it was striking.
Not enough to repudiate Trump: Other T though.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Well, those moderate Republicans should start voting in their primaries if that's the case. The GOP primaries are what causes the crazies to make it to the big stage.
whyamihere
Banned
Yeah. I could easily see Kirkpatrick and Ross winning while Strickland loses.
This may be a consequence of the negative associations with the GOP label pushing so many moderate Rs to label themselves "independent" over the past few decades. They were getting pushed out and didn't even realize that was what was happening.
neurosisxeno
Member
Part of me wants to vote against Patrick Leahy, but I haven't bothered seeing who is running against him and I don't think it's anything short of "Certainly D".
Ceiling of 269 is pretty bad! Lol.
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
I wonder what the media does if we get to September, and especially October where it's obvious Trump's out. Do they fake polling to make it look close? Do they keep the narrative that it's close in order to keep interest?
Good point, will donate more.
whyamihere
Banned
They'll do what they did in 2008 and say it's close.
neurosisxeno
Member
Just checked, it's Scott Milne running against Patrick Leahy. Check out his super amazing Campaign Site.
eBay Huckster
Member
and volunteer, especially if you're in a swing state (or even just a swing district. i'm looking at you, parts of socal-poligaf)
Hillary: A Criminal for America
nature boy
Member
+1 into the column "this is a PR stunt, he doesn't want to be president".
Yeah McCain will edge it by a small margin, you'll have Clinton crossovers that'll vote for McCain.
We aren't really. Everyone said that you need to leave it two to three weeks after the conventions before you can see how the race lies. We're absolutely still in that time period,
Hillary will be scrutinized more and held to a higher standard (rightly so perhaps) than Trump through the rest of the election. Although I'm glad the press are now treating Trump as they should, he still gets a pass on so much of his bs maybe because he spews so much bs the media has to choose which to cover and which to pass on.
And somehow, someway, I'm sure the narrative will be a horse race down to the wire which is fine by me if it keeps people from getting complacent.
And somehow, someway, I'm sure the narrative will be a horse race down to the wire which is fine by me if it keeps people from getting complacent.
We aren't out of it yet, but the mass GOP voter defections are real and unlikely to be persuaded back onto the Trump bus.
andthebeatgoeson
Junior Member
I was getting 8 emails a day, so I opted for the option in Hillary's email for 'less email'. They "blessed" me and only sent 4 a day. So i unsubscribed last night.
It "takes a few days" to go thru. I just wanted some of those sweet drinking glasses.
User 463088
Banned
Like, why does he do these things? Seriously. No one was talking about the former CIA director endorsing Hillary. Now, he brings it up during a slow news cycle when someone might actually pay attention?
What a fucking lunatic.
User 463088
Banned
Ya, we gout ours.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT 10| WE ARE ALL DIABLOS
nature boy
Member
That's because there would normally still be a lift from the convention. But it would be in the process of deflating -- she'd be on a negative trendline, with about half her original bounce.
Currently she isn't trending downwards much at all.
Not sure that Ryan realizes he has very few constituents that aren't racists
The alt-right are quite literally, because of their young age collectively, the future of the party.
Get used to it Ryan!
Need forma to bait him.
Someone tweet at Forma and tell her to make some jokes about his hand size.
User 85168
Banned
"Everyone turns on Jeb, First Rubot and now his own son. Sad!"
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
My favorite part of this is he labels them "non-conservative."
Right. Sure thing, Paul.
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