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PoliGAF 2017 |OT5| The Man In the High Chair

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Russian sanctions bill hurts EU allies (they're hypocrites, I know) and has caused complete disintegration of Russian relations (which were never good but it's getting worse). Should we really pass them?
 
Russian sanctions bill hurts EU allies (they're hypocrites, I know) and has caused complete disintegration of Russian relations (which were never good but it's getting worse). Should we really pass them?
It's either that or just let Russians continue to go unpunished. But hey, nobody here gives a shit about that, right?
 

Loxley

Member
Russian sanctions bill hurts EU allies (they're hypocrites, I know) and has caused complete disintegration of Russian relations (which were never good but it's getting worse). Should we really pass them?

I honestly don't know what the hell the EU expects the US to do. Shrug our shoulders and act like nothing happened? Because that's basically the alternative to sanctions.That would give Russia the go-ahead to just do it all over again if they know they won't be punished in any real way.
 
I honestly don't know what the hell the EU expects the US to do. Shrug our shoulders and act like nothing happened? Because that's basically the alternative to sanctions.That would give Russia the go-ahead to just do it all over again if they know they won't be punished in any real way.
According to the people on NeoGAF that answer is yes.
 

Chumly

Member
I honestly don't know what the hell the EU expects the US to do. Shrug our shoulders and act like nothing happened? Because that's basically the alternative to sanctions.That would give Russia the go-ahead to just do it all over again if they know they won't be punished in any real way.
THIS

Frankly it's scary seeing people just brush it off
 
It's either that or just let Russians continue to go unpunished. But hey, nobody here gives a shit about that, right?

I honestly don't know what the hell the EU expects the US to do. Shrug our shoulders and act like nothing happened? Because that's basically the alternative to sanctions.That would give Russia the go-ahead to just do it all over again if they know they won't be punished in any real way.
We already sanctioned them over the elections. I don't get it, are we supposed to keep adding more sanctions until we can get an erection again? It's gone, Johnny, it'll never go up again.
 
Russian sanctions bill hurts EU allies (they're hypocrites, I know) and has caused complete disintegration of Russian relations (which were never good but it's getting worse). Should we really pass them?

Russia wants to destroy NATO and fuck their shit up so they need to take the long view and get over the short term.
 
This bill prevents Trump from lifting the existing Russian sanctions, which currently he can just do whenever he wants.
Considering we have a WH that is trying to get rid of those sanctions in first place - I would say yes.
Yes, I agree, but it also imposes new sanctions, to the best of my knowledge. As I recall, the EU didn't have problems with the last round of sanctions, only this one. I'm just not sure why whatever Obama did wasn't a satisfactory response.
 

sc0la

Unconfirmed Member
This bill prevents Trump from lifting the existing Russian sanctions, which currently he can just do whenever he wants.
What's the over under on him doing that before he signs the bill or it goes back to congress for an over ride?
 

kirblar

Member
Came in here to say the same thing. According to Pence, it's 'very soon'.

How long can a President sit on a bill legally speaking? Can he just sit on it indefinitely?
10 (possibly business) days IIRC. I suspect likely going to wimp out and let it go into law without his signature.
 
I'm just not sure why whatever Obama did wasn't a satisfactory response.

Here's why he struggled on the issue big time:

 

Maengun1

Member
I try to avoid reading or listening to the actual words trump says for my own mental health (it's easier to just read the dumb shit he does secondhand in the form of news), idk why I clicked on that WSJ interview transcript thread in OT.

"Even though everyone says Iran is complying with the nuclear deal, I'm going to say they aren't LOL. Btw, Obama is a doodoo head lol"

Ugh my blood is boiling now. I haaaaate him. My cat would be a better president.
 

grandjedi6

Master of the Google Search
Came in here to say the same thing. According to Pence, it's 'very soon'.

How long can a President sit on a bill legally speaking? Can he just sit on it indefinitely?

10 (possibly business) days IIRC. I suspect likely going to wimp out and let it go into law without his signature.
The President has 10 days (excluding Sundays) to sign or veto the bill. After these ten days the bill becomes law if Congress is in session or gets pocket vetoed if they are not in session. However pocket vetos rarely happen anymore since Congress always designates someone to "grab" the bill after the ten days (just like how they remain "in session" to avoid recess appointments). The one exception being the time Bush tried to pocket veto an appropriations bill. But generally Presidents don't want to challenge pocket vetoes in court and lose the ability forever.

So I guess expect Trump to nonsensically claim he pocket vetoed the bill on Aug 9th even though that's not a thing
 
My cat would be a better president.

The point being that the Republican electorate and establishment agree that they would rather have no government at all than one with a Democrat even touching it. Same goes for their superpower status, considering the generals are all very civil about being nearby to prevent catastrophic orders by an individual they all know is an unqualified criminal.
 

Vimes

Member
Signing of the sanctions bill has been delayed to a Spring 2018 launch window to give it more polish, and avoid the crowded holiday season
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
I honestly don't know what the hell the EU expects the US to do. Shrug our shoulders and act like nothing happened? Because that's basically the alternative to sanctions.That would give Russia the go-ahead to just do it all over again if they know they won't be punished in any real way.

The EU expects the United States not to be fucking moronic. The EU is not anti-sanction. The EU has helped co-ordinate several previous rounds of sanctions. The objection is not to sanctions in general, it's to the sanctions on Russian oil and gas specifically, since the EU is still dependent on it. And when I say still dependent, I mean: people will die as a result of these sanctions when the cost of fuel spikes in Eastern European countries that have very little alternative; you're going to see a significant rise in winter deaths. It's little wonder the EU is telling the US to kindly go fuck itself, since there are alternative measures the US could have made that the EU would have been supportive of.

But instead, the Democrats have displayed all the tact of a priapic rhinoceros and shat all over their ally. Meanwhile, Putin is loving it since the divisions between the EU and the US will make future co-operation between the two over Russia harder. It's an enormous own goal.
 
I mean: people will die as a result of these sanctions when the cost of fuel spikes in Eastern European countries that have very little alternative; you're going to see a significant rise in winter deaths.

Would you happen to have any data or facts to back up such a ridiculous claim?
 

leroidys

Member
The EU expects the United States not to be fucking moronic. The EU is not anti-sanction. The EU has helped co-ordinate several previous rounds of sanctions. The objection is not to sanctions in general, it's to the sanctions on Russian oil and gas specifically, since the EU is still dependent on it. And when I say still dependent, I mean: people will die as a result of these sanctions when the cost of fuel spikes in Eastern European countries that have very little alternative; you're going to see a significant rise in winter deaths. It's little wonder the EU is telling the US to kindly go fuck itself, since there are alternative measures the US could have made that the EU would have been supportive of.

But instead, the Democrats have displayed all the tact of a priapic rhinoceros and shat all over their ally. Meanwhile, Putin is loving it since the divisions between the EU and the US will make future co-operation between the two over Russia harder. It's an enormous own goal.
???
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member

The Republicans as well, but we sort of expect them to be bone-headed. It's another thing altogether when it comes from a party that Europe sees as something they can work with.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Lol @ "the Democrats"
You sure love talking down to everybody from your high perch overseas don't you?

No matter, more and more posters here don't take you seriously anymore.

What is Europe doing to stop depending on the Russian gas teat?
 
https://ec.europa.eu/energy/intelli...ean_fuel_poverty_and_energy_efficiency_en.pdf

although it doesn't take a genius to work out that winter mortality is related to heating prices, and a steep and unavoidable spark in heating prices means deaths.

That document does not back up your claims.

The word 'Russia' is not in there at all.

A white paper on the concept of 'fuel poverty' is not evidence that the law would increase European fuel prices, or that any increaes would cause additional winter-related deaths.
 

CCS

Banned
Serious question: where is Europe supposed to get its oil and gas from if not Russia?

Only Norway (and the very last remnants of British oilfields) can produce its own. If not Russia, who should Europe buy from? The oil states in the Gulf? You're just swapping out funding Russia for funding terrorism and repressive ideology, which isn't really an improvement.
 
Ok, I'm looking up this EU stuff and j learned the president's name is "Juncker". LOL. never change, Europe.
The extent of the hacking wasn't clear before. It was the initial response while waiting for more information. The plan was always to hit them harder. We just needed to know how hard.
I am glad for laughing stock's post but we definitely did know the extent by January.
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
What is Europe doing to stop depending on the Russian gas teat?

Poland built an LNG terminal, Western European countries reformed their energy markets to make it easier to sell energy from more-dependent to less-dependent countries to more dependent ones and often effectively sell fuel at slightly below market price, the three Baltic countries are planning LNG terminals, the EU Parliament regularly passes energy efficiency measures to reduce fuel consumption requirements, and the EU is investing heavily in renewable energy (much more heavily than the United States). They were trying to build up Hungary as a domestic producer, but that's obviously complicated by Hungary's political situation. There's also the Trans-Adriatic pipeline taking in gas from Azerbaijan, but that reduces dependency on Russia to increase it on Turkey, so YMMV.

Of course, you knew absoutely none of this, and this whole thread knew absolutely none of this, and yet you're perfectly content to sit and talk big words on the internet about sanctions you don't really understand in a geopolitical situation you don't really understand because it makes you feel like a big, tough, hard guy. That's not how this works.
 
Serious question: where is Europe supposed to get its oil and gas from if not Russia?

Only Norway (and the very last remnants of British oilfields) can produce its own. If not Russia, who should Europe buy from? The oil states in the Gulf? You're just swapping out funding Russia for funding terrorism and repressive ideology, which isn't really an improvement.
Liquefied natural gas from the Bakken. It's a business plot. Maybe. ;)
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
That document does not back up your claims.

The word 'Russia' is not in there at all.

A white paper on the concept of 'fuel poverty' is not evidence that the law would increase European fuel prices, or that any increaes would cause additional winter-related deaths.

It does clearly state that winter mortality in the EU is directly related to fuel prices.

If this law did not increase European prices for Russian gas, then Europe would not alter the amount of Russian gas it buys, meaning this would not be a very good sanction. The whole point of a sanction is that it increases the prices for that good; I just assumed you could work that out yourself instead of needing me to explain: hey, fuel sanctions increase fuel prices! I mean, what on earth did you think they did?
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
The vote passed the Senate 98-2.

Democrats?

They have no power.

I didn't expect them to stop it. I expected them to vote against, if only symbolically, to indicate that when they retake the White House (which I hope they do), Europe has a firm and reliable partner in the efforts to reduce Russian influence. Instead, the Democrats are signalling to the EU that they can't be relied upon any more than the Republicans. We're literally at the point where the EU is considering trade retaliation and initiating a trade war; I don't think you realise the extent to which this has infuriated the United States' closest geopolitical ally.
 
I didn't expect them to stop it. I expected them to vote against, if only symbolically, to indicate that when they retake the White House (which I hope they do), Europe has a firm and reliable partner in the efforts to reduce Russian influence. Instead, the Democrats are signalling to the EU that they can't be relied upon any more than the Republicans. We're literally at the point where the EU is considering trade retaliation and initiating a trade war; I don't think you realise the extent to which this has infuriated the United States' closest geopolitical ally.

We are in a cold war.

People are going to suffer just like they did in the 80s.
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Isn't this off the table now?

Not unless something has changed since the end of Monday I'm unaware of it, and even then, this is a severe enough issue for US-EU relations that I think it would be difficult to take anything off the table definitively - there's every chance it could become a hot-button political issue domestically.
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
We are in a cold war.

People are going to suffer just like they did in the 80s.

Translated: we are going to put in place sanctions for which we have no clear objective and no reasonable explanation for why they'll cause Russia to change behaviour or strategy all in order to make ourselves feel better about the fact our election infrastructure is insecure and woefully out-of-date in a manner that seriously harms our closest ally and will lead to the deaths of their citizens and the slowing of their economy when they're already internally unstable.

The thing about war is that you need allies.
 

barber

Member
Yeah LNG is becoming really important in the Baltic and Scandinavia. Lots of major ports have them. Plus EU in general has one of the largest renewable investments in the world, lots of solar.
Europe is looking in a long term non-dependance of Russia, but you cannot build tons of new energy infrastructure in a moment, so the short-term is as crab said "not to kill poor people in winter".
Edit: as crab said, other sanction would be mostly aok with europe (except germany cause Deutsche Bank loves him his Russian money), but energy ones are really bad, unless usa starts selling us petrol at a loss to compensate.
 
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