Baemono
Member
Mario Wonder released in 2023, New Super Mario Bros U Deluxe Super Edition Mid Game released in 2018, Wonder is catching up pretty fastMario Wonder should be higher
The New Super Mario Bros games were all straight up trash
Mario Wonder released in 2023, New Super Mario Bros U Deluxe Super Edition Mid Game released in 2018, Wonder is catching up pretty fastMario Wonder should be higher
The New Super Mario Bros games were all straight up trash
I think DS and Wii were perfectly fine as a revival of the 2D titles back then. NSMB DS (2006) was the first new 2D entry since 1992 iirc. And the multiplayer in Wii felt very fresh at the time imo.The New Super Mario Bros games were all straight up trash
Not sure if you are being serious. I would suggest the 15 million figure was very conservative. And more of an indication of how many units Nintendo knew they could produce. 11 million would only happen if Nintendo have overestimated their initial production estimates.Nintendo's projected sales are 15 million by March 2026. Some analysts believe that is a conservative estimate and it will be closer to 20 million units sold.
I don't think it will reach either. May get close to 15... but I'm guessing it will sell maybe 11 million by March 2026.
Price issue based on what evidence?. Or are we still taking the faux outrage in niche internet sites and YouTube seriously. With of course the old anecdotal evidence of. Everybody I know personally thinks the Switch 2 is too expensive..... Thrown in for good measure.I don't expect supply to be an issue. The price is and will always be the issue. It's not an easy sell for parents. You might see a nice bump because of Pokemon, but I doubt it. Legends is not a mainline entry and it's quality leaves a lot to be desired.
But I don't see children clamoring for a Switch 2. And even if they are I don't see parents spending nearly $800 (CDN) to get their kid one.
The Switch 2 is a console for the hardcore, and the hardcore have already got one. Until there is a game with mass appeal released (like a Zelda or Mario), numbers will trickle up slowly. Maybe Pokemon is mass appeal enough. Maybe there are enough blind sheep who will spend any ungodly amount of money for a dogshit quality Pokemon game, but... I hope not.
I kinda agree with him, I feel that for now everybody who wanted one already bought it, I don't feel any hype for the product, Mario Kart is a great game but it's not a system seller, and Donkey Kong seems great but he isn't Mario or Pokémon, it's like Kirby, it's nice but it doesn't sell systems (it's not my tastes it's just what I feel : personally DK is my favorite Nintendo character of all time).So they sold in one month more than half of what they will sell in 9 months ?
Damn. I'm not exactly surprised but still kind of surprised the split was that big.
This sends Nintendo a message that $80 games ain't it. Even Mario Kart, their biggest seller has THIS HUGE of a ratio. No other game could possibly survive $80 except maybe Zelda...maybe
Well not really as customers have a choice. And the bundle is a pretty sweet deal.. To judge a wider pushback on the physical versions price. You would have to see the sales with no bundle available.Damn. I'm not exactly surprised but still kind of surprised the split was that big.
This sends Nintendo a message that $80 games ain't it. Even Mario Kart, their biggest seller has THIS HUGE of a ratio. No other game could possibly survive $80 except maybe Zelda...maybe
Seems very anecdotal.I kinda agree with him, I feel that for now everybody who wanted one already bought it
Switch 2 Hardware
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Switch (1) Global Shipment History (millions)
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Guess we will see what the numbers end up being in March of 2026.Not sure if you are being serious. I would suggest the 15 million figure was very conservative. And more of an indication of how many units Nintendo knew they could produce. 11 million would only happen if Nintendo have overestimated their initial production estimates.
Now the Switch 2 is a hard-core console. Guess not the hard -core people old on here who seem to hate it. And never miss an opportunity to drop poison in every Switch 2 thread.I don't expect supply to be an issue. The price is and will always be the issue. It's not an easy sell for parents. You might see a nice bump because of Pokemon, but I doubt it. Legends is not a mainline entry and it's quality leaves a lot to be desired.
But I don't see children clamoring for a Switch 2. And even if they are I don't see parents spending nearly $800 (CDN) to get their kid one.
The Switch 2 is a console for the hardcore, and the hardcore have already got one. Until there is a game with mass appeal released (like a Zelda or Mario), numbers will trickle up slowly. Maybe Pokemon is mass appeal enough. Maybe there are enough blind sheep who will spend any ungodly amount of money for a dogshit quality Pokemon game, but... I hope not.
You're out here talking like it was $800. It's $450, within the price range of every other console. Hell, the PS5 and Series consoles have even increased in price in several regions over the past few years.Guess we will see what the numbers end up being in March of 2026.
Not in a million years.Nintendo's projected sales are 15 million by March 2026. Some analysts believe that is a conservative estimate and it will be closer to 20 million units sold.
I don't think it will reach either. May get close to 15... but I'm guessing it will sell maybe 11 million by March 2026.
I have no idea why people fixate on price like this, have people stopped buying endless iPhones even though they cost a kidney?I don't expect supply to be an issue. The price is and will always be the issue. It's not an easy sell for parents. You might see a nice bump because of Pokemon, but I doubt it. Legends is not a mainline entry and it's quality leaves a lot to be desired.
But I don't see children clamoring for a Switch 2. And even if they are I don't see parents spending nearly $800 (CDN) to get their kid one.
The Switch 2 is a console for the hardcore, and the hardcore have already got one. Until there is a game with mass appeal released (like a Zelda or Mario), numbers will trickle up slowly. Maybe Pokemon is mass appeal enough. Maybe there are enough blind sheep who will spend any ungodly amount of money for a dogshit quality Pokemon game, but... I hope not.
while I agree with you, the iPhone argument isn't a good one, an iPhone does much more than just playing games.I have no idea why people fixate on price like this, have people stopped buying endless iPhones even though they cost kidney?
What it does isn't the point, the point is that if the product properly clicks with the public, then the price becomes much less important.while I agree with you, the iPhone argument isn't a good one, an iPhone does much more than just playing games.
Like comparing the price of a car and a watch, you wouldn't (or shouldn't) buy a watch that costs more than a car
But Mario Kart 8 wasn't a flop on the Wii U. It sold over 8 million units (more than Double Dash and Super Circuit and nearly as much as the original.)I kinda agree with him, I feel that for now everybody who wanted one already bought it, I don't feel any hype for the product, Mario Kart is a great game but it's not a system seller, and Donkey Kong seems great but he isn't Mario or Pokémon, it's like Kirby, it's nice but it doesn't sell systems (it's not my tastes it's just what I feel : personally DK is my favorite Nintendo character of all time).
For people who'll tell me "but MK9 sold dozens of millions", sure, but for me it's the Switch that sold MK9 and not otherwise. The proof is on an unpopullar Wii U it flopped, on the Switch, who everybody bought for the awesome gimmick (play handheld and on TV with the same device), people were searching for games, popular family games : the first to come in mind is MK9, so everybody buy MK9.
Now... The Switch 2 has 2 huge weaknesses :
- The Switch 1 still exists, gets huge supports for publishers, and it'll continue for AT LEAST 3 years, minimum (might be during 5+ years), most of games still releases on Switch 1.
- THE FUCKING PRICE, I dunno in USA but in EU, 430 alone and 500 with MKW. In fact EVERYBODY who I knew and wanted one day one, gave up the idea when they heard about the price. VS 270 for the Switch 1 normal and 320 for the OLED... So 430 is very expensive and nobody wants to pay this to have the "new cool toy" especially when the 1... still does the same and has 95% of the games.
For me at a point, Nintendo will have to drop the prices, of both Switch 1 and 2. I don't see the consumer adoption becoming huge.
Conversations I have with gamers I know (people buying +30 games per year), before the announce of the price "yeah sure, day fucking ONE !" after the announce of the price "well it's too expensive and anyway the original Switch still plays well and is sufficient as a side machine" for 90% of gamers a Nintendo machine is a side machine, not the main one,
There were considerably less Wii and Switch at launch as they were following a historical flop for Nintendo each time (Game Cube and Wii U)But it doesn't look like it's going to be anywhere near the Wii or Switch 1 were it was difficult to get for over a year.
The Wii was released mid November 2006 and sold through all stock in that six or so weeks for 3.5 Million in 2006, with constantly weekly sales of 200-250K with spikes of over a million for period where stock was held back for the holiday season in 2007 leading to over 16 million that year.There were considerably less Wii and Switch at launch as they were following a historical flop for Nintendo each time (Game Cube and Wii U)
Nintendo is dead, I guess.Has anyone else noticed Switch 2s sitting on store shelves along with being available for same day in store pickup or 2-3 day delivery for over a week straight now?
Japan is also the only region with weekly sales reports. And the numbers from there are showing that supply is available for walk in purchases, with weekly sales being lower than the previous week for several weeks in a row.
The Switch 2 has supposedly broken 6.1 million in a insanely short period of time, but has it already met market demand from diehards and must now sell to the average joe to keep up the trend? It's likely it will sell out in 3 months or so when holiday shopping pick up. But it doesn't look like it's going to be anywhere near the Wii or Switch 1 were it was difficult to get for over a year.
Japan is also the only region with weekly sales reports. And the numbers from there are showing that supply is available for walk in purchases, with weekly sales being lower than the previous week for several weeks in a row.
The Switch 2 still selling by a lottery in Japan… What are you talking about?Has anyone else noticed Switch 2s sitting on store shelves along with being available for same day in store pickup or 2-3 day delivery for over a week straight now?
Japan is also the only region with weekly sales reports. And the numbers from there are showing that supply is available for walk in purchases, with weekly sales being lower than the previous week for several weeks in a row.
The Switch 2 has supposedly broken 6.1 million in a insanely short period of time, but has it already met market demand from diehards and must now sell to the average joe to keep up the trend? It's likely it will sell out in 3 months or so when holiday shopping pick up. But it doesn't look like it's going to be anywhere near the Wii or Switch 1 were it was difficult to get for over a year.
It will help that Z-A is getting really positive previews and might get excellent reviews (at least the Switch 2 version).Seems very anecdotal.
What is your expectation for each upcoming quarter (Q2-Q4)?
I'll quoteLuminoth-4545 nice charts for reference:
I expect the Pokemon Legends bundle will sell out during the holidays (Q3), and they'll sell above 5M in that quarter alone.
It won't hurt, but I'm not sure the majority of Pokemon players even care. Scarlett/Violet is the worst reviewed mainline title ever (?) and it's not only the best selling entry on Switch, but also the second best selling mainline entry in the entire franchise - only behind Red/Blue.It will help that Z-A is getting really positive previews and might get excellent reviews (at least the Switch 2 version).
Right now it doesn't look like the Switch 2 is particularly overpriced or underpowered compared to its competition.
I kind of do count the Steam Deck, even though I know it's no contest. I love both systems.What competition?
It sells so well because it's a product with no competition just like the Switch 1
Nobody else is selling a portable console with an HDMI out
Unless you want to count SteamDeck (that runs PC games, it's not a console) that most of the world doesn't even know that exist.... LOL
People online and in hardcore forum like this especially tend to confuse their own hype for a mainstream sentiment. You can see in threads where people ask Nintendo to release Metroid Prime 4 to convince them buying a Switch 2 (a game that sadly will struggle to sell 2m in its full life cycle), or citing Zelda as the only worth Nintendo exclusive (a series that has never been big compared to other before BOTW), completely in opposite from what sales data suggests. You don't even have a official OT for Mario Party, and is one of the biggest Nintendo series in real world.
In some degree is the same for PS5, where lot of people were considering struggling because of no games, and then th
Nintendo doomed since 1983 lol
A bundle is $800 CDN.You're out here talking like it was $800. It's $450, within the price range of every other console. Hell, the PS5 and Series consoles have even increased in price in several regions over the past few years.
And this addresses my post how?A bundle is $800 CDN.
You said I'm talking as if the Switch 2 is $800... it quite literally is $800 for me. The Switch 1 released in 2017 for I believe $400 CDN. Which was at least $100 cheaper than the PS5 or Series X launch price.And this addresses my post how?
I bought the Steam Deck at launch and it replaced my Switch 1 for a while, I even bought the JSAUX dock to plug the Deck on a TV (works really well, although you can't really switch outputs while playing).What competition?
It sells so well because it's a product with no competition just like the Switch 1
Nobody else is selling a portable console with an HDMI out
Unless you want to count SteamDeck (that runs PC games, it's not a console) that most of the world doesn't even know that exist.... LOL
Which bundle? As far as I can see the official price for the Mario Kart bundle is still $699.A bundle is $800 CDN.
For its technical limitations, but the game itself is way more fun than Sword/ShieldScarlett/Violet is the worst reviewed mainline title ever (?)
Neither does Nintendo thoughNobody else is selling a portable console with an HDMI out
NSMB U is the best game in the 'New' franchise by a country mile. Some people genuinely put it up alongside Mario Bros 3 and World in terms of feel, level design and challenge. The thing that drags it down is the soundtrack.I think DS and Wii were perfectly fine as a revival of the 2D titles back then. NSMB DS (2006) was the first new 2D entry since 1992 iirc. And the multiplayer in Wii felt very fresh at the time imo.
After those it kinda went downhill though.. Both in terms of style/visuals and new ideas/gimmicks.
They are clearly holding Switch 1 price high to make people opt for Switch 2 instead - regular Switch being 270€ is highway robbery. If you have a family with multiple kids the best deal right now bar none is to get used Switch Lite which you can get for 100-120€ a piece.- THE FUCKING PRICE, I dunno in USA but in EU, 430 alone and 500 with MKW. In fact EVERYBODY who I knew and wanted one day one, gave up the idea when they heard about the price. VS 270 for the Switch 1 normal and 320 for the OLED... So 430 is very expensive and nobody wants to pay this to have the "new cool toy" especially when the 1... still does the same and has 95% of the games.
For me at a point, Nintendo will have to drop the prices, of both Switch 1 and 2. I don't see the consumer adoption becoming huge.
"Mario Kart isn't a system seller"I kinda agree with him, I feel that for now everybody who wanted one already bought it, I don't feel any hype for the product, Mario Kart is a great game but it's not a system seller, and Donkey Kong seems great but he isn't Mario or Pokémon, it's like Kirby, it's nice but it doesn't sell systems (it's not my tastes it's just what I feel : personally DK is my favorite Nintendo character of all time).
For people who'll tell me "but MK9 sold dozens of millions", sure, but for me it's the Switch that sold MK9 and not otherwise. The proof is on an unpopullar Wii U it flopped, on the Switch, who everybody bought for the awesome gimmick (play handheld and on TV with the same device), people were searching for games, popular family games : the first to come in mind is MK9, so everybody buy MK9.
Now... The Switch 2 has 2 huge weaknesses :
- The Switch 1 still exists, gets huge supports for publishers, and it'll continue for AT LEAST 3 years, minimum (might be during 5+ years), most of games still releases on Switch 1.
- THE FUCKING PRICE, I dunno in USA but in EU, 430 alone and 500 with MKW. In fact EVERYBODY who I knew and wanted one day one, gave up the idea when they heard about the price. VS 270 for the Switch 1 normal and 320 for the OLED... So 430 is very expensive and nobody wants to pay this to have the "new cool toy" especially when the 1... still does the same and has 95% of the games.
For me at a point, Nintendo will have to drop the prices, of both Switch 1 and 2. I don't see the consumer adoption becoming huge.
Conversations I have with gamers I know (people buying +30 games per year), before the announce of the price "yeah sure, day fucking ONE !" after the announce of the price "well it's too expensive and anyway the original Switch still plays well and is sufficient as a side machine" for 90% of gamers a Nintendo machine is a side machine, not the main one,
I enjoyed both but still felt the overall artstyle, music style etc. had been very played out by that point.NSMB U and NSMB U Luigi DLC
Switch 1 was less powerful than the PS4, yet sold more than PS4 at the same price point.It's not as powerful as a PS5 or Series X but it wants to charge as if it is.
Did you miss the part where the Switch 1 was half the price of a Switch 2? Less power at a cheaper price is a fair compromise. Less power at a more expensive price point is ludicrous.Switch 1 was less powerful than the PS4, yet sold more than PS4 at the same price point.
The mass market doesn't care about graphical performance nearly as much as you might think.
Switch 1 cost the same as a PS4, now Switch 2 costs around the same as a PS5, so no real change, relatively.Did you miss the part where the Switch 1 was half the price of a Switch 2? Less power at a cheaper price is a fair compromise. Less power at a more expensive price point is ludicrous.
But is that even true?Did you miss the part where the Switch 1 was half the price of a Switch 2?
"Mario Kart isn't a system seller"
Mario Kart World single handedly proceeds to propel a new console to become the fastest selling gaming hardware in history lol.
Did you miss the part where the Switch 1 was half the price of a Switch 2?
Did you miss the part where the Switch 1 was half the price of a Switch 2? Less power at a cheaper price is a fair compromise. Less power at a more expensive price point is ludicrous.
Neither does Nintendo though
Except it's not a "shit screen" unless you think any and every screen is automatically a "shit screen" if it's not an OLED. The overwhelming majority of Switch 2 owners say that it's a great screen for being "not an OLED"I don't care how many they've sold, a shit screen is still a shit screen and I won't buy one until it comes with an OLED.