Sorry for being quite inactive today. And for this super fractured post you are going to read now, but there are so much different things I want to comment at. Let's get started:
Alright, so we have someone who can secretly day kill. Royal_Flush, you're the authority on these types of murders right?
I remember that, yes. We were in a thunderdome between scrafty (scum) and Rats (town). I had to possible plans:
a) Force a tie by killing someone on scrafty literally last minute
b) Several minutes before day end kill someone on Rats so it looked like I wanted to get Scrafty lynched (Several minutes so town can't think it through)
Neither of that obviously happened. As far as I can tell, Boo Boo'n wasn't hard after anyone in particular, had literally no votes on him and did not stick out specifically in any other way.
OK, so let's assume it's a scum power. And whoever used it did either not think about the above plans or saw me fail miserably in GAFia. That would mean he just used it to kill get rid of a townie. But why not pick obvious doctor targets like Coppa, Sorian or TL21xx instead? This whole thing doesn't make any sense.
On the other hand, we have Retro's Stand By Screen. That makes me doubt it is a delayed NK, as he would just have posted the result instead of stopping the game for a short time? Or at least that's what I'd have done. Delayed NK makes way more sense from the motivation POV, tough.
Wow, we've lost four townies already. I think Boo Boo was a distraction kill. He wasn't applying enough heat to anyone to be an immediate threat I think.
Distraction from what? We weren't on the tail of anybody.
Okay, in line with what others have been saying, there are some questions:
- When did this occur?
- Why did this occur?
[*]Should we even go for Ferret as the suspect or is that just Obsfucation?
Coppa jumping immediately on Ferret strikes me as odd. Either he is looking for discussion on his thoughts or is using him as a scapegoat. I'll know more if he gets off Ferret soon - though me bringing this up may cause him to do so as well.
I don't think Ferret is the best lynch candidate today. By far not the worst, but there are other paths I want to take. Especially since I still am not sure what's your collective problem with him. I feel like an idiot with you all being suspicious of him and I just don't get any vibes (in either direction) at all from him...
4. Boo boo. I'm going to throw out that it's possible that TL21xx is the scum with the day phase kill, using it because he knows he can't follow through tonight on his promise to use his power. Keep in mind I am not suggesting I believe this, just that it is a possibility.
5. If there's a blocker on the scum team and TL is telling the truth, they could block him tonight in hopes that he is lynched tomorrow for failing to deliver.
6. We can't be certain that there isn't another night phase killer, depending on what PRs town has. A doctor, blocker or switcher could have saved someone last night. Occam suggests that none of that happened and we just had a single scum night kill, but I like to keep the possibility in the back of my ind.
4. Why not use it next day phase then? We already kind of agreed to not lynch him. Unless it's a delayed night power, then it would make sense again.
5. That's a risk we have to take.
6. I'd be surprised of there wasn't. Again, maybe we already are seeing him but don't realize it, because his kills are delayed...
As I said before, I honestly thought that Darklighter was a little more valuable to keep around, since there was more discussion around him and we could get a somewhat better read on the situation if they took out him than we would with Stanley. Plus, since I had a good feeling at that point that nothing was going to happen to cause Scrafty to become a worthwhile lynch to most other players, So I decided to go with what I felt was best in the short-term rather than what I felt was the real best option.[1] Still, I can easily see how suspicious I was acting there, and if you want to lynch me today, then I have no hard feelings.
Other thoughts:
- Since Stanley didn't get killed night 1 (and, in fact, the mafia's strategy seems to be leaning towards more active posters), I don't really think there's any point in trying to lynch him today unless he ends up sending really bad scum signals.
- On Ty4on's haiku curse: While it's been pointed out that similar abilities have been assigned to town players before, it just seems like cursing someone to disrupt their ability to contribute to the discussion in a meaningful way just feels very anti-town. [2]Gonna assume the ability is a scum one until proven otherwise.
- On Boo Boo'N's death: Yeah, IDK. Scum trying to throw us off our game? Town that thought they had a good target after Ferret & Boo's back and forth?[3] Neutral just stiring the pot for the hell of it? So many possibilities that it's almost impossible to figure out why it happened, which is NOT good for us...
- Another thing that has been pointed out before is the fact that, despite all that is happening, Sorian and Coppa are coming out of this unscathed. It'd seem like, at the very least, one of them would have been hit with the haiku curse. I know that a lot of people think it's that scum is afraid that they might have read legit scum, but I still can't shake the feeling that they're scum themselves. Still, might be worthwhile to go through their lists and see who Sorian and Coppa suspected that Fireblend didn't.
- On TL21xx: Hints at PR D1. Doesn't die N1. Doesn't put in his action for claimed RL reasons. Makes a full claim with a character that, according to some, isn't exactly in-flavor. Doesn't die to the out of left field day kill that happened after claim. Yeah, there's a LOT of worrying stuff going on there that makes him what I feel is our top scum for the day. [4]
[1]: I don't understand. That doesn't make the slightest sense. Please explain in another way.
[2]: The target doesn't make a lot of sense for an anti-town ability, as you even point out further down.
[3]: Again: What game? We weren't on to someone in particular. Also afaik in that dispute between Boo Boo'n and Ferret, Boo Boo'n was the more rusted party, so why kill him?
[4]: That smells very strong like bussing.
So I wake up and there's two people who have been killed...
This is awful. ;_;
I need to gather my thoughts.
He started his new job yesterday and with the time difference being why he hasn't been as active as he would have wished.
I myself don't have internet only through my mobile device at the moment sadly.
Not much thoughts going on in your head, huh? Don't make empty promises, make yourself useful!
Maybe I should just vote for anyone that is 100% trying to sell the haiku thing as a scum power. It almost feels like people are just trying to slip it past under the assumption that it must be scum aligned when that likely isn't the case based on the target.
What benefit has scum in convincing us that the power is scum aligned?
The more I think about it, the more I think TL is fake-claiming, but much like with Ty4on there's a simple solution: wait one more night phase.
We're waiting to see two things:
1. Does the Haiku thing go away, and does a town come forward about it. If not, we can somewhat confirm it's a Scum power.
2. Does TL activate his night phase power? If not, we can pretty much turbo him as scum.
So putting TL21xx/Ty4on aside is, I think, the best course of action for today.
As for Boo boo'n specifically dying, it's one of two things (as has been covered several times before my post) :
1. Done by scum to make us kill Ferret
2. Done as such an obvious #1 so that we leave Ferret alone
I realize the two options are sort of a WIFOU dichotomy, but it does perhaps bring up a rather basic question:
How much do we trust Ferret? If we decide we trust Ferret enough today to keep him alive today, will we continue to be able to trust him going forward?
For me, I don't find much in his posts that gives me a scum vibe.
"Who does?", I guess, is the obvious next question.
Setre: his most recent post moved him from my "probably scum" list to my "probably town". This is subject to change if we find more information on seath or what happened to Boo boo'n.
speaking of, Seath is still somewhat on my "probably scum" list for vagueish posts. This is subject to change as seath is apparently collecting (and hopefully posting) thoughts on recent matters. "I'll get back to you all" is a pretty anti-town scum move if there's no follow through.
Mazre... I mean, it's probably coincidence, but it wouldn't be the first time someone literally gave away their role with their avatar.
This post is very good. It should get more attention. I don't entirely agree with your two names at the end, but the up to there it's exactly mirroring my thoughts.
I'm like, still suspicious of Pop. His whole, like "you guys can totally kill me if you want" thing seems like, super suspect to me.
I think it'd be like, suuuper pertinent if you like, told us who you're suspicious of and who you like, trust, Pop. Shyeah.
There is more in his post I don't like (see above), but I second the request for more Pop-O-Matic posts. (Fake Edit: Seems like he already did)
I think Mike's behavior and Boo's vote make him pretty suspicious. For me the bigger question is whether he's just an obvious scapegoat or scum using reverse psychology.
That post. It's completely context free, short statement, that has been said in a similar way many times before in the posts before. I really dislike it.
I don't know who wants to frame me, but it was really well done, hats off to the team or player who sent the command. Killed Boo Boo'n right after I said playing dumb helps me live and it was a couple of posts after he voted for me. Kinda too obvious that someone is framing me, so I don't know why you guys are grilling me. (Hmmm grilled cock)
Why did Boo die so early? Because it was perfect timing.
Alt explanations? TL's to blame for? Maybe he's trying to play it by saying his PR is a night PR, but he actually used it now on an unsuspecting player to throw attention away from him?
To be honest, if I was scum, I would've advise whoever had the day kill power to kill someone that can effect the game (Sorian or Coppa). But hey not my power or team!
Perfect timing for what? I like the two alt explanations much more.
Bolded haiku is clever, I don't think it's a side effect to another power but it is a fair thought.
Hey, I suggested this right from the beginning
Ok then if he was talking about me and ferret then:
Maybe scum preventing us
From searching lurkers
this is him saying that the real scum are just fucking with you guys.
Making you guys vote for either me or ferret is what they want. They know we both are town and want both of us out, instead of taking out time to pressure the less active.
I hate to say this, but I agree...
Vote: Trigger
(Alternative: Pop-O-Matic, since that reads list is super safe and didn't shift my view on him a lot)